JAN 2023 ADIZ REPORT
Hi everyone! It’s the last day of January, which means it’s time for the monthly report on ADIZ violations.
This month saw a smaller number of aircraft, with most violations taking place before the Lunar New Year and a larger violation today!
Hi everyone! It’s the last day of January, which means it’s time for the monthly report on ADIZ violations.
This month saw a smaller number of aircraft, with most violations taking place before the Lunar New Year and a larger violation today!
There were 9 pieces of notable Taiwan/China/U.S. related news this month
The biggest story this month was probably the Biden-Kishida summit, which comes on the heels of the announcement of a major defense spending increase by Japan.
The biggest story this month was probably the Biden-Kishida summit, which comes on the heels of the announcement of a major defense spending increase by Japan.
https://twitter.com/WilliamYang120/status/1614044306968580096?s=20&t=mLcJDAkaknA09GK36FiIKg
The Czech Republic’s President-elect Petr Pavel held a call with President Tsai on January 30th, and the Taiwan MFA expressed interest in an in-person meeting.
focustaiwan.tw/politics/20230…
focustaiwan.tw/politics/20230…
The U.S. military is on its way to secure new access to bases in the Philippines.
https://twitter.com/Aaron_MatthewIL/status/1620256556494520320?s=20&t=mLcJDAkaknA09GK36FiIKg
General Mike Minihan, head of the U.S. Air Force Air Mobility Command, sent a memo to his officers predicting a war with China in 2025.
nbcnews.com/politics/natio…
nbcnews.com/politics/natio…
According to @NikkeiAsia, the U.S. has expanded training to the Taiwanese armed forces with the National Guard.
https://twitter.com/NikkeiAsia/status/1616119368026406925?s=20&t=mLcJDAkaknA09GK36FiIKg
Vice President Lai Ching-te became the Chairperson of the Democratic Progressive Party in Taiwan.
https://twitter.com/ChingteLai/status/1615604028800659459?s=20&t=mLcJDAkaknA09GK36FiIKg
U.S. and Taiwan officials wrapped up their first round of trade negotiations and pledged to speed up the process of reaching a new agreement.
reuters.com/world/asia-pac…
reuters.com/world/asia-pac…
China announced that in 2022, it's population shrank naturally for the first time in decades.
https://twitter.com/OfficialBen_L/status/1615194310554836994?s=20&t=mLcJDAkaknA09GK36FiIKg
The USS Chung-Hoon (DDG-93) transited the Taiwan Strait on January 5th.
naval-technology.com/news/us-chung-…
naval-technology.com/news/us-chung-…
Now onto the data:
127 PLA aircraft were tracked inside Taiwan’s ADIZ this month. The highest monthly total on record is August 2022 with 446.
127 PLA aircraft were tracked inside Taiwan’s ADIZ this month. The highest monthly total on record is August 2022 with 446.
1/5/2022 saw the highest number of incursions in a single day for January, with 28 aircraft tracked. You can find my comments to @taiwanplusnews about it here:
https://twitter.com/taiwanplusnews/status/1612426462530883584?s=20&t=xeLgh63WxVAwEWq4c_vqew
Quick note about a statement made by the @MoNDefense on Twitter. The MND lists all aircraft tracked inside the ADIZ under two categories Southwestern and Median Line. This statement seems to be a clarification about the “forces in surrounding area.”
https://twitter.com/OfficialBen_L/status/1619141975038640129?s=20&t=xeLgh63WxVAwEWq4c_vqew
The majority of aircraft tracked this month were fighter aircraft.
14 different airframes were tracked in the ADIZ this month. The highest variety of airframes tracked in one month is 18 (September 2022).
The most common aircraft was the J-16
The most common aircraft was the J-16
In total, the PLA violated the ADIZ 23 days this month
Median line crossings continued to occur on a regular basis, and made up nearly half of violations this month (and were equal to Southwestern violations).
The breakdown was as follows:
Median Line - 61
Eastern ADIZ - 0
Northeast ADIZ - 5
Southern ADIZ - 0
Southwest ADIZ - 61
The breakdown was as follows:
Median Line - 61
Eastern ADIZ - 0
Northeast ADIZ - 5
Southern ADIZ - 0
Southwest ADIZ - 61
Here is a visual breakdown of this month's ADIZ flights up to January 30th, as well as flights tracked by the Japanese MoD made by @detresfa_
https://twitter.com/detresfa_/status/1620442980879593472?s=20&t=xeLgh63WxVAwEWq4c_vqew
UAVs violated the ADIZ 16 times this month, with the most common being the BZK-005. This brings the total number of publicly tracked UAVs to 87.
UAVs have made up around 10% of aircraft in the ADIZ since information began being made available on 9/5/2022.
UAVs have made up around 10% of aircraft in the ADIZ since information began being made available on 9/5/2022.
Adding this month’s data, the total number of ADIZ violations for 2023 is 127.
The approximate grand total is 3228.
The approximate grand total is 3228.
According to the MND, 366 aircraft were tracked outside of the ADIZ near Taiwan.
Naval craft tracked near Taiwan totaled 110.
Naval craft tracked near Taiwan totaled 110.
That concludes the first monthly report of 2023! I hope everyone had a great start to the new year, and I look forward to continuing to interact with you all on these topics!
I’m still looking for a home for my 2022 ADIZ Annual Report. It’s about 15 pages with *never before seen* graphs and graphics. If your organization is interested, my DMs are open!
And, as always, here is the link to the tracker. docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d…
@JaimeOcon1 @johnsfeng @BonnieGlaser @Aaron_MatthewIL @DavidMSacks1 @JeromeTaylor @ryankakiuchan @erinhale
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