🧵Vuhledar, 02.02 - 03:00 AM update:
1/4 A few days ago, I wrote that the enemy made a few interesting decisions. I would like to shed some light on it. After the first two days of the assault, it became clear to RU command that their plan of a rapid and sudden assault has failed
2/4 At first, I thought that they will accept the failure and will concentrate on holding their gains instead of developing the assault. Especially when some units in the 155th brigade, as well as reserves, refused to assault the "dachi" area.
3/4 Instead, they frantically started to move units from other areas. For example, have moved one more brigade from the 3d army corps, and a few battalions from the 36th army. The enemy also abruptly moved reserves which were supposed to advance in a different sector.
4/4 Personally, it seems that the enemy generals act like a gambler who is trying to win back the money he has lost, by borrowing even more money from friends and family. Because of this, this battle for Vuhledar is likely to be much longer and bloodier than it was anticipated.

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More from @Tatarigami_UA

Feb 3
🧵Vuhledar🇺🇦, 03.02 - 07:00 AM update:

1/4 Not too many changes happened over the past 24 hours. The enemy continues to attack with numerous groups, however without results. The drop in morale is visible - the enemy does not engage as openly and confidently as previously.
2/4 The enemy attacks mostly during the daytime and reduces night-time combats, except for artillery shelling and brief tank shoot-and-scoot attacks: armed with thermal scopes(including French ones) tanks make 3-5 shots and then retreat.
3/4 Ukrainian military expert Oleksandr Kovalenko recently said that the so-called private military company "Patriot", affiliated with Shoigu is present in the Vuhledar area, and I can confirm this information. However, they haven't participated in a single combat operation
Read 4 tweets
Jan 31
🧵1/6 Vuhledar🇺🇦, 31.01 - 07:00 AM update:
Vuhledar holds. All previous assaults have been repulsed so far. The enemy has failed to establish control near Vuhledar. Any information about russian forces in Vuhledar is a part of their PsyOps.
2/6 The enemy hasn't reduced the number of assaults, however, the quality of assaults has dropped significantly for two reasons:
- weather conditions
- high casualties
3/6 The most experienced and motivated forces were eliminated during the first days of assaults. The 155th brigade has sustained high casualties both in men and armor, and their importance on the battlefield is dwindling.
Read 6 tweets
Jan 27
1/4 🧵🇺🇦Vuhledar, 27.01 - 22:00 update:
Vuhledar holds - the situation is stable at this moment. Enemy attempts to establish footholds near Vuhledar to develop the assault have failed. Attempts to outflank and take control over roads completely failed. Please re-tweet.
2/4 The enemy is demoralized by losses, which is why they are bringing additional reinforcements, but we will see in the nearest days if they will be able to throw them for another large assault.
3/4 It's known to us that they are trying to return wounded people to the frontlines just two days after the injury. Some squads and platoons sustained 80-90% casualties which significantly demoralizes the enemy.
Read 4 tweets
Jan 26
🧵1/4 Vuhledar, 26.01 16:00 update: UAF continues to control Vuhledar and roads that connect with Vuhledar. The enemy tries to establish fire control over roads but so far failed to achieve its goals. The enemy failed to set up a foothold near Vuhledar
2/4
The enemy attempted to use a large number of vehicles for the assault, but after losing the majority of its vehicles, switched tactics to constant small infantry squad assaults covered by non-stop artillery shelling. The enemy continues assault from Mykil's'ke and Pavlivka
3/4 The information spread by russian propagandists about reaching Vuhledar itself is factually incorrect. Their attempts to establish control over the eastern "dachi" area have failed so far. The situation overall remains difficult
Read 4 tweets
Jan 17
🧵After a series of serious defeats in the fall of 2022, Russian occupational forces faced serious logistical constraints, but they were able to adapt, which would also require more sophisticated answers from Ukraine and its allies.
During the Kherson liberation, Russian occupational forces (ROF) continued to utilize Myrne railway station and surrounding facilities to provide continuous logistical support for the entire Kherson army group.
Myrne station received several trains per day, loaded with ammo, vehicles, and troops. Some of these supplies were stored in facilities around the station. As soon as they became within Ukrainian reach, these facilities were stricken.
Read 12 tweets
Jan 12
🧵Despite continuous reports from OSINT groups, researchers, and even officials, based on the available to me the information I can't confirm that Russians are having critical logistical issues. Here are some major points:
1. Yes, Russians have occasional shortages of some types of ammo, but overall we continue observing significant efforts to organize logistics and move humongous numbers of supplies across entire Russia.
2. Russian logistical routes have been significantly disrupted multiple times and it forced them to change ways to deliver supplies, and how to transport them. It makes it harder to deliver, but it also makes it safer for them.
Read 7 tweets

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