A few weeks ago, our municipal government sent out advice "on what to do in case of long-term blackout" 1/x
Which is fine and all (being prepared isn't a bad thing, altho *some* "preppers" are), but it would've been unthinkable a few years ago 2/x
I don't have a source handy right now, but a few years ago (back when I believed in Energiewende and hit opponents over the head with that factoid) average per year end customer outages were 15 minutes 3/x
And the trend at the time was towards _less_ outages. 15 minutes per year is roughly 28.5 ppm. That's like 99.99+% availability. Even in IT reliability like that will cost ya 4/x
And of course Germany's vast interconnected industry that *actually makes stuff* (unlike mostly deindustrialized countries like Britain) used this huge advantage (industrial electricity was also pretty cheap) 5/x
The fact that "outage that lasts *days*" is now in the realm of possibility enough to be even worthy of leaflets from local government is nothing short of calamitous. 6/x
And while "the discourse" (tm) will blame in on "Unforseeables" like Putin's illegal war of aggression, me in middle school could've told you about the dangers of putting all your eggs into a single basket... 7/x
The weird thing is that - despite "keep the nukes open" now polling better than "Döner is delicious" the published opinion and major political parties almost entirely ignore the issue and its implications. 8/x
Energy is, as @DecoupleMedia likes to point out "the master resource" and it is an incredibly important "Standortfaktor". So industry *will* face grievous consequences. But more importantly *people will die* if there's a blackout. 9/x
So in conclusion, while Germany has shot itself in the foot with a bazooka and is like "we'll do it again", it is not yet to late, to #SaveGer6 to at least soften the blow 10/x
The best time to course-correct would've been twenty years ago. The second best time is now. /fin
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