Got questions about how I trade?
Who I am and how I started?
Or what resources I recommend to learn trading?
🧵Check this thread before you ask questions or DM me 👇
Also:
⚠️I never DM first
⚠️Beware of imposters
⚠️I do not manage anyone's money
⚠️I am not selling anything
Frequently used abbreviations in my tweets:
About my trading:
- I am a full time trader trading the US stock markets
- I traded part time for 10 years from 2011-2021 while studying #Economics at the @UChicago
- I have been trading full time since 2 years after graduating from my #PhD at @Yale
- I come from a trading family
- Even my great-grandfather was a well known trader and my goal is to carry forward my legacy: en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Govindram…
- I am primarily a swing trader
- I trade long and short
- I am not an investment advisor and you should not follow my trades
Scan and :
- At the end of the day, I scan for stocks that have made big moves on high volume
- I then Flag the stocks that have a strong catalyst in TC2000
- Examples of strong catalysts: Earnings, new product, new contract, new CEO, new, analyst upgrade etc.
Watchlist:
- Everyday I then go through all Flagged stocks Star ones that meet my setup criteria [see next post]
- These stocks make up the watchlist I post on Twitter
- I do the same for longs and shorts
Swing trading setup “Flag”:
- Stock has momentum and gone up on huge vol
- It then goes sideways or downwards on low vol
- Entry is either on h1 / break of line of least resistance / 5min ORH
- SL is either LOD or swing low
Sell Rules:
- In Bearish/Uncertain mkts: Sell 80% in 3-5 days. Trail 20% with a close stop
- Bullish mkt: Sell half in 3-5 days. Sell half at c <10/20ma
- At start of a new bull market: Sell half on third leg up. Sell half at c<50ma.
- Move stop up at each swing low on the daily
Position Sizing:
- I use progressive exposure taught by @markminervini
- I start trading with positions where I risk 0.25% of my total equity
If 2-3 of the positions do well, I increase ROTE to 0.5%
If I get more traction, I trade full size at 1% ROTE
cont...
- If my stocks are not getting traction, I do the reverse and reduce position size from 1% to 0.5% to 0.25%
- I take a max of 2 risky positions at a time to cap max intraday loss to <2% of acct
- When indices get overbought, I reduce exposure (by not buying, or buying smaller)
- Please go through these resources multiple times. Everything I do is in there
- There are no secrets and no holy grail in this biz
- There's no substitute for hardwork, practice and experience
- It took me 10 years to become consistently profitable. Be patient with yourself
- I also do a movers study every weekend and post examples of the setup I trade
- Go through the tons of examples on my Twitter feed and imprint the chart patterns in your memory
- Once you have put in the time and hardwork, if you have specific questions I am happy to help😃
• • •
Missing some Tweet in this thread? You can try to
force a refresh
Great question. My biggest takeaway has been how much LESS opportunity there is for traders who trade the indian mkts.
- lower liquidity
- circuit limits on both side
- poor tech resources to scan
- less news
- limitations on shorting
etc..
🧵Notes from @PradeepBonde "Advanced Strategies" meeting:
- once in a lifetime opportunity is lining up
- many stocks currently down 80-90%
- sometime in the next 6mo the mkt will bottom. be prepared for that
- don't become a day trader now. huge danger of style drift
cont...
- if you become a daytrader now, youll still be in day trading mode when the big opportunity comes
- Kelvin Wong made his $100M after the 2009 bottom. for 6 yrs he was studying EPs and was ready for it
- fine tune your strategy. have a plan ready and get all tools in place
cont.
- in the next 18 months you can change your life, if youre prepared for this bounce
- in 2009, even after the mkt bottomed, many people were shorting or day trading and missed the big moves
- get full mind clarity on EPs, specially "turnaround EPs" in the next few months
Notes from @PradeepBonde AM meeting:
- SA = bearish even though there may be short term bounce
- find the key insight to mkt behavior [ref: to my Leonardo DiCaprio's RT from yest]
- range expansion kicks off a rally
- range contraction resolves in range expansion
cont...
- buying exhaustion => reversals
- selling exhaustion => reversals
- surprises => start big moves
- do you want to capture a move from start to finish or just the swing? swings are easier to capture
- any one of these insights can be converted into big $$$
- add SA to these insights and the real magic will happen ✨✨✨
- process is critical. "methods trump markets"
- tools like scans and worms can be very useful if you know how to use them correctly
- process and tools need to be combined to make money
Notes from @PradeepBonde premkt meeting:
- when you feel like youre gods gift to trading, you need to be careful and book profits
- the time to be bullish was 4 days ago [when mkt was oversold]
- timing is everything in this biz. dont chase the moves after the fact
cont...
- lots of stocks which were near lows, are making big moves
- in the short term more upside if likely
- but the action is part of a longer duration bearish move
- for the mkt to bottom we need bullish stampede, which is not there
- dont start to have "island dreams" today
- diligently do the 20% study. get into the weeds and ask... how did the moves start? how did they end?
- do this for 2 weeks and youll have a deep understanding of a mkt phenemenon that occurs thousands of times a yr
- even if you start with 50k, in 10 yrs youll have millions
Notes from pre mkt @PradeepBonde meeting:
- will there be follow through? lately theres one day moves without any follow through
- t2108 holding up like a champion
- commodity shorts could be good swings if there is follow through on short side = bullish
cont...
- if you have the mentality that its a shit mkt and you cant make money, then its game over. you need to come in with the mindset "how can i make money today?"
- you don't control the mkt environment, so stop complaining about it
- on the other side of this correction is $$$
cont
- there will be bear mkts, dont whine, manage it
- if you have a trade factory you wont have problems (the short side will light up)
- if you building the right mind clarity, in 1yr your fortune can change (example: @Qullamaggie in 2020)
cont...