Let's now review a series of stats showing just remarkable the US economy is right now.
US economic recovery from COVID under @POTUS has been the best in the G7. 2/
@POTUS 33.8m jobs = 16 yrs Clinton Obama
12.1m jobs = 2 yrs Biden
1.9m jobs = 16 yrs Bush Bush Trump
6 times more jobs created in 2 yrs under Biden then under last 3 GOP Presidents *COMBINED* 3/
@POTUS A reminder that Trump was the first President since Hoover to have net job loss on their watch. 4/
@POTUS Since 1989 and a new age of globalization began 48m jobs have been created in US. 46m of those, 96%, have been created under Democratic Presidents.
One party has repeatedly moved us forward. The other repeatedly has failed to do its part. 5/
@POTUS While economy has repeatedly grown under Dems, don't think people realize how bad it's been under Rs.
3 straight recessions, incl Great Recession. Averaged only 10k jobs PER MONTH over 16 yrs. Last month = 5 years of GOP job creation. 5 yrs. 6/
@POTUS New businesses continue to be created at very elevated levels. Incredible sign of health and vitality of US economy, "can do spirit" of American people. 7/
@POTUS Wage growth remains at very elevated levels. In 2022 due to across the board strong wage growth real earning were positive, even with Putin's efforts to cripple West/world w/rising energy prices. 8/
@POTUS The uninsured rate is lowest in American history right now. Incredible achievement by the Democrats despite ferocious opposition. Imagine what that number would be it FL, TX expanded Medicaid. 9/
@POTUS There are still about 2 job openings per unemployed persons in the US, a remarkable stat. Many states have their lowest unemployment rates ever recorded, and are desperate for more workers.
Biden boom!!!! 10/
@POTUS The last 3 Dem Presidents saw the deficit drop on their watch. Clinton got us to surplus.
Last 3 Rs have seen the deficit explode on their watch. Trump's fiscal track record among worst in American history. 11/
A reminded Trump/MAGA have been lying about the 2020 election for almost 4 years now; they lied about a red wave coming in 2022; and they lie about this election and their opponents every single day.
It's an unending tornado of bullshit - media cannot play stenographer here.
The Trump campaign is lying about Walz’s 24 years of military service. And the lies are crude, easily debunked, puerile, desperate and disgraceful.
Biden gains in new polling:
- Fox News 3 pt Biden gain (8 pts since March)
- Echelon 4 pt Biden gain
- CBS/YouGov 3 pt Biden gain
- Morning Consult 2 pt Biden gain
- Yahoo/YouGov 2 pt Biden gain
- NYT 2 pt Biden gain
Election appears to be changing now 1/ foxnews.com/official-polls…
The Politico/Ipsos poll this week found a significant potential weakening of Trump with independents and Republicans post-felony verdict. 2/
My basic take on the election:
- Joe Biden is a good POTUS. The country is better off. We have a 💪case to make
- The Dem Party is strong and winning elections all over the country
- They have Trump - the ugliest political thing we've ever seen
More 👇3/ hopiumchronicles.com/p/making-june-…
In May 272,000 jobs were created in US, far exceeding expectations. Wage growth was robust. My job tracker now comes in at:
33.8m jobs - 16 yrs Clinton, Obama
15.6m jobs - 3+ yrs Biden
1.9m jobs - 16 yrs 2 Bushes, Trump
Biden 8x jobs as last 3 GOP Presidents *combined* 1/
The job creation rate has been 40x greater per month under Biden than under the last 3 GOP Presidents.
Last month's 272,000 jobs is over 2 years of GOP growth in a single month. 2/
Since 1989 and a new age of globalization began, 51m jobs have been created in America. 49m of those have been created under Dem Presidents - essentially all of them. Only 1 US political party been good at this capitalism thing - the Democrats. 3/
Very much enjoyed this smart @RonBrownstein @CNN deep dive into data suggesting that Biden is doing better with voters more likely to vote in 2024, and Trump is doing a bit better with a wider electorate that includes many disinterested voters. 1/
To me the biggest question is what happens with those disinterested voters who go through the process of becoming a voter. Will they come to vote more like those who are paying closer attention and become more Dem and help Biden win? I think this is the likely scenario. 2/
In election after election since Dobbs when voters have been given the choice between pragmatic Ds and extremist MAGAs voters have chosen Dems.
Our well-funded and muscular campaigns have put this choice to voters repeatedly, and we keep winning 👇3/
In 2022 Rs worked hard to craft the false "red wave" narrative about the election.
They're doing it again this year - lies about size of crowds, fundraising; claiming polling lead when there isn't one; showy events in D states, voting groups. 1/
This bravado is covering for very weak GOP, who've been losing elections across US, struggling to raise hard dollars, underperforming public polls in primaries, dozens of party leaders indicted, natl campaign a shambles, more "bad candidate" problems 2/
While Rs are weak, Ds are strong: winning elections across US since Dobbs, meaningful hard dollar/organizational advantages, encouraging Senate/House polling, D Govs in 5 of 7 battleground states, Biden has been good President/country is better off 👇 3/
Like other recent polls we see MI/PA/WI up for grabs and Biden performing better among LVs.
NYT LVs, Biden-Trump:
MI 47-46
PA 45-48
WI 46-47 (Biden leads among RVs)
More on why Biden's strength w/LVs matters below: 1/
As with other recent polling, findings about life satisfaction remain remarkably high.
74% satisfied
22% not satisfied
Simply there is not broad discontent in America, part of why Dems keep winning elections across US. 2/
The big finding in these NYT polls is Biden's weakness with young and people of color. Recent large sample polls had very different results with 18-29 year olds: