Simon Rosenberg Profile picture
Feb 3, 2023 14 tweets 8 min read Read on X
Here we go, my monthly #JobsDay thread:

Huge huge jobs report. 600k new jobs w/revisions!

Under Biden now:
- lowest peacetime unemployment rate since WWII
- lowest poverty/uninsured rates ever
- best recovery in G7
- lower trade deficits/deficits 1/

Let's now review a series of stats showing just remarkable the US economy is right now.

US economic recovery from COVID under @POTUS has been the best in the G7. 2/
@POTUS 33.8m jobs = 16 yrs Clinton Obama
12.1m jobs = 2 yrs Biden
1.9m jobs = 16 yrs Bush Bush Trump

6 times more jobs created in 2 yrs under Biden then under last 3 GOP Presidents *COMBINED* 3/
@POTUS A reminder that Trump was the first President since Hoover to have net job loss on their watch. 4/
@POTUS Since 1989 and a new age of globalization began 48m jobs have been created in US. 46m of those, 96%, have been created under Democratic Presidents.

One party has repeatedly moved us forward. The other repeatedly has failed to do its part. 5/
@POTUS While economy has repeatedly grown under Dems, don't think people realize how bad it's been under Rs.

3 straight recessions, incl Great Recession. Averaged only 10k jobs PER MONTH over 16 yrs. Last month = 5 years of GOP job creation. 5 yrs. 6/
@POTUS New businesses continue to be created at very elevated levels. Incredible sign of health and vitality of US economy, "can do spirit" of American people. 7/
@POTUS Wage growth remains at very elevated levels. In 2022 due to across the board strong wage growth real earning were positive, even with Putin's efforts to cripple West/world w/rising energy prices. 8/
@POTUS The uninsured rate is lowest in American history right now. Incredible achievement by the Democrats despite ferocious opposition. Imagine what that number would be it FL, TX expanded Medicaid. 9/
@POTUS There are still about 2 job openings per unemployed persons in the US, a remarkable stat. Many states have their lowest unemployment rates ever recorded, and are desperate for more workers.

Biden boom!!!! 10/
@POTUS The last 3 Dem Presidents saw the deficit drop on their watch. Clinton got us to surplus.

Last 3 Rs have seen the deficit explode on their watch. Trump's fiscal track record among worst in American history. 11/
@POTUS GDP growth is a favorite R stat.

So far Biden 3x Trump. 12/
@POTUS If you want to do a deeper dive into all this data come watch my presentation on Biden, Dems and the economy, With Democrat Things Get Better.

Think you will like it. 13/

@POTUS New @NavigatorSurvey polling shows that by leaning into these economic accomplishments Dems can make substantial gains w/voters.

Winning the econ argument w/MAGA is to me our highest political priority this year.

We can do this peeps. 14/

• • •

Missing some Tweet in this thread? You can try to force a refresh
 

Keep Current with Simon Rosenberg

Simon Rosenberg Profile picture

Stay in touch and get notified when new unrolls are available from this author!

Read all threads

This Thread may be Removed Anytime!

PDF

Twitter may remove this content at anytime! Save it as PDF for later use!

Try unrolling a thread yourself!

how to unroll video
  1. Follow @ThreadReaderApp to mention us!

  2. From a Twitter thread mention us with a keyword "unroll"
@threadreaderapp unroll

Practice here first or read more on our help page!

More from @SimonWDC

Nov 21
OMG @YouTube my video about the 2024 election was just taken down because I criticized Robert Kennedy for his anti-vaxx views and the impact they would have if implemented. You have to be kidding me.
I was accused of spreading medical misinformation and required to take an on-line course, which I did.
Read 4 tweets
Nov 5
Heading into Election night, Trump:
- is not leading in the battleground early vote
- is not leading in the polls or w/most forecasters
- did not raise more money, have more volunteers, or have anywhere as big crowds as Harris

There is no data right now suggesting he's winning
9 of 10 forecasters went into E-D with Harris now ahead:

The more rigorous @washingtonpost battleground averages have Harris winning the election today.

The right may have invented data, maps, Polymarket voodoo showing Trump leading but in the real world Harris has outperformed him and is winning. Image
Read 4 tweets
Nov 5
Some Election Day thoughts:
- Ds been overperforming since Dobbs, likely to do so again today. Dobbs before/after moment in US politics.
- Early vote, polling got better for Harris this week. Ds enter E-D in stronger battleground EV position than 2020. Encouraging sign. 1/
- The money, sweat and power of Dem grassroots needs far more attention. Dems now have a structural hard dollar advantage up/down the ticket, giving us bigger, more muscular campaigns w/vastly more volunteers.

Released a video on this yesterday 👇2/
hopiumchronicles.com/p/2-days-to-go…
VP @KamalaHarris has just turned in one of the greatest performances by an American politician in modern history. So many things could have tripped her up. None of them did. Extraordinary candidate, extraordinary campaign. She will be a great President for all of us. 3/
Read 13 tweets
Nov 4
Via TargetEarly, it is now official - Dems head into E-Day in a stronger position in the battleground early vote than 2020. More D post-Dobbs overperformance.

Rs big campaign to make gains in the early vote has failed, and their EV "memos" are just pure bullshit. Image
Cannot overstate how delusional and full of lying and fuckery Trump/right spin has been:
- flooding the zone with red wave polls
- outright lies about the early vote
- memory holing 2 1/2 years of GOP poll underperformance incl Trump
- Polymarket Voodoo!
I go deeper into latest polling/early vote data below.

The bottom line - the election is clearly breaking towards us now. Harris just had best week of polling. Early vote is good, keeps getting better. Red wave polls sign of Trumpian desperation.

Read 6 tweets
Oct 26
Early vote notes, via TargetEarly:
- Ds running much better in battleground than natl early vote (=better campaign)
- Ds running even w/Rs in battleground vs. 2020
- Ds running ahead of 2020 in GA/MI/NE-2/WI
- Ds closing gap in AZ/NC/NV/PA
Rs not winning battleground early vote
And a general reminder that Rs would not be flooding the zone with dozens of polls and creating betting market voodoo if they believed they were winning the election and everything was fine. You only cheat when you are losing.
When I say AZ/NC/NV/PA are closing the gap I mean against how we are performed there vs 2020. While we have a lead in the raw vote in PA, we are not performing there as well as we did in 2020. All of this data is vs. 2020.

Bottom line - we had a good week all.
Read 5 tweets
Oct 21
Red wave 2024 update:
- 70+ polls in the averages, 31 right-aligned groups have released polls since August
- Polymarket, Elon 2024 escalations
- Late last week they worked the natl polling average, moved it down, started spinning early vote hard 👇 1/
hopiumchronicles.com/p/vp-harris-an…
Part of their new efforts to drive the natl polling average down is addition of a TIPP daily tracking poll. Predictably, and perhaps comically, it showed the race - all of a sudden! - breaking to Trump after 6 weeks of a remarkably stable race and a bad media week for Trump 2/
Last Wed I did a polling roundup. Polling continued to be remarkably stable. 538 natl average actually ticked up for us that week. We were +4 and stable in Econ/YouGov, +5 in Marist, +4 in Morning Consult, NYT, +3 CBS, ABC. Steady as she goes. 3/
hopiumchronicles.com/p/2-new-polls-…
Read 15 tweets

Did Thread Reader help you today?

Support us! We are indie developers!


This site is made by just two indie developers on a laptop doing marketing, support and development! Read more about the story.

Become a Premium Member ($3/month or $30/year) and get exclusive features!

Become Premium

Don't want to be a Premium member but still want to support us?

Make a small donation by buying us coffee ($5) or help with server cost ($10)

Donate via Paypal

Or Donate anonymously using crypto!

Ethereum

0xfe58350B80634f60Fa6Dc149a72b4DFbc17D341E copy

Bitcoin

3ATGMxNzCUFzxpMCHL5sWSt4DVtS8UqXpi copy

Thank you for your support!

Follow Us!

:(