Laurie Garrett Profile picture
Feb 4, 2023 8 tweets 5 min read Read on X
I don't think we can rule out mega-error as the source of the #ChineseSpyBalloon . Whether it was launched for "research" or "intelligence" purposes, it may never have been intended for Montana skies.
Here's my thinking (thread).
In the last week of January China --
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2/
...from Beijing to Siberia, experienced the coldest weather ON RECORD, with temperatures hitting -63 F in the far north. The frigid Polar Vortex air moved east, hit ocean, warmer air, and soared in an atmospheric river north towards Alaska/Yukon.
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washingtonpost.com/weather/2023/0…
3/ On Jan 31 that cold front fell over #Bozeman, and wind chill temp fell to -23F. Since, it has warmed, winds calmed, & now it is 41 F.
Any gas-filled container launched into the atmosphere from China in late January would have been battered by that frigid air flow.
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4/ Rather than "shoot the balloon down," as most #Republican leaders are shouting, @SpaceForceDoD should capture it, undamaged, for close analysis, determining its purpose & intended course.
We need to know -- not blow it to indecipherable smithereens.
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5/ BTW, ever heard of Fu-Go? During WWII Japan launched more than 9300 hydrogen balloons, to the USA. Some 1,000 of them reached this continent, but there were only 285 reported incidents of sightings, landings or explosions.
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web.mst.edu/~rogersda/fore…
6/ The balloons "were released with easterly wintertime jet stream winds above 30,000 feet to float 5,000 miles across the north Pacific."
(Sound familiar, #ChineseSpyBalloon ?)
In Japan they were called "Vengeance Balloons," and they carried small incendiary devices.
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7/ The Fu-Go devices were found as far south as Nogales AZ & east as far as Detroit. Based on diatom analysis of found balloons, the objects were determined to have come from Honshu, and it was learned they were made under government orders by Japanese school kids on that island.
8/ Fu-Go rode the same winter air currents over the Pacific that, in far more extreme, northerly form, carried the Chinese "spy balloon."
So, was the #ChineseSpyBalloon launched on a Fu-Go trajectory, blown off course in icy air stream? Regardless, its purpose?

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More from @Laurie_Garrett

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In a world without Internet or 24-hour news cycles the buzz in Washington about the event failed to reach the American people until that night. America assumed LBJ’s address would be about the widening war in Vietnam. On live television, a very haggard-looking LBJ began:
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"Good evening, my fellow Americans:
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Jul 9
While #Trump claims no direct connection to #Project2025 it's clear han no #Republican in national power has denounced the Heritage Foundation 887-page manifesto. I put a few hours into scrutinizing the Project's plans for @HHSGov & health agencies. (pages 449-502)
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Jul 5
When a society attacks its toiling scientists, ranking the opinions of quacks, religions & charlatans above those of scientific insight and discovery, it is a sorrowful time.
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-Muhammad ibn Zakariyā Rāzī or Rhazes of Baghdad (860 - 932 AD) beaten into blindness for introducing medical advances from non-Arab countries
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In 4 earth-shattering decisions this term, #SCOTUS gutted authority from all federal regulatory agencies. These are very radical decisions – essentially overturning all the sentiments of our nation’s founders debated in The Federalist Papers.
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This utterly reprehensible Pentagon disinfo campaign executed by the #Trump admin to create Asian suspicion of the Chinese #COVID #vaccine is reminiscent of the CIA's use of a fake #polio vax effort in Pakistan to obtain...
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&
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...DNA samples from children living in the Osama bin Laden compound in 2011. In both cases, geopolitics trumped public health, leading to countless deaths, assaults on health workers and vaccinators and undermining the credibility of #vaccines . This is appalling.
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In resp to angry public health leaders who later learned of the 2011 #CIA/#polio/binLaden effort, the #Obama admin on May16, 2014 stated that since Aug2013 a policy was in place forbidding the CIA from using #vaccination progs, workers, or genetic materials obtained...for intell.
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Trump’s deal to Big Oil [give my campaign $1B & all #Biden climate & green policies will be void] echoes the Teapot Dome Scandal in another #Republican #POTUS race 100 yrs ago. Until now, it was the biggest presidential corruption case in US history.
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