The Middle East: risks and challenges for Ukraine. UkraineWorld spoke to Ihor Semyvolos, Director of the Center for Middle Eastern Studies. Key points – in our brief, #UkraineWorldAnalysis 1/7
Israel is trying to prevent Iran from producing nuclear weapons and delivery platforms. The strikes on Iran were aimed at ballistic missile production sites that are potentially capable of reaching Israeli territory. 2/7
Negotiations are ongoing, but the situation is unclear. Moscow and Tehran do not trust each other. Moscow has also promised Iran both planes and air defense equipment, but handing over the planes would mean a confrontation with neutral Israel. 3/7
Iran's nuclear program poses a potential danger to a large number of countries in the Middle East. The threat of a major war between Israel and Iran is real. Israel will try as much as possible to destroy Iranian offensive capabilities. 5/7
In case of such a war, it will undermine Russian capabilities in the war with Ukraine and remove a link from the axis of evil. It will also show that all countries side with Russia how dangerous this sort of cooperation can be. 6/ 7
Russia has joint plans with Iran. We are already seeing the merger of banking systems as an attempt to mitigate the impact of sanctions, as well as a North-South transport corridor. 7/7
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The message emerging from Kremlin’s propagandists is that the NATO membership of many parts of the “old Soviet Bloc” and the perspective membership of 🇺🇦 in the alliance pose a “threat to 🇷🇺 sovereignty.” 1/4
Russia’s president Putin argues that NATO’s “open door” policy is in direct contradiction to “Western assurances” given to the Soviet leadership in 1990.
But no such assurances were ever made. 2/4
The only formal agreement signed between NATO and the USSR (before its breakup in Dec 1991), was the Treaty of Final Settlement with Respect to Germany. 3/4
🇹🇷 Turkey's support for Ukraine and cooperation with Russia: highlights. UkraineWorld spoke to Yevgeniya Gaber, senior fellow at the Centre in Modern Turkish Studies. Key points – in our brief, #UkraineWorldAnalysis 1/12
Turkey is consistent in its support for Ukraine’s territorial integrity, though its rhetoric on Russia is generally very soft. Turkey stresses the importance of the full de-occupation of Ukraine, including Crimea, but calls for negotiations with Russia. 2/12
So, the question remains how to reach this goal. For a successful counter-offensive, it will be critical for Ukraine to be supplied with long-range weapons, tanks, and fighter jets, as well as for stronger sanctions to be levied against Russia. 3/12
A story of Okhtyrka, a town in Sumy Region - a fortress against Russian invasion last Feb-March. Bombed from the air by 🇷🇺 500kg bombs. Mayor stayed in the city and helped organize defense.
11 months of hostilities and 4 months of incessant Russian strikes on Ukrainian power facilities: 🇷🇺 strikes power plants and other important objects of the country's energy infrastructure. #AgainstRussianLies#UW_InfoWatch
Despite all these consequences of #RussiaUkraineWar, in order to increase the stability of the energy system in 2023, Ukraine will develop "green" generation and, within the year, plans to put into operation up to 500 MW of renewable energy capacity.
The stability of 🇺🇦's energy system will also be increased thanks to decentralisation and energy efficiency. 🇺🇦 has a flexible hydro-accumulating infrastructure, which, in combination with other electricity storage technologies, will allow 🇺🇦 to become a hub for its accumulation.
As well with other Western countries, the United States actively supports Ukraine after Russia launched “a special military operation to protect the civilian population of Donbas.” #AgainstRussianLies#UW_InfoWatch
The country will continue to provide military support to Ukraine for as long as necessary. The tank supply to Ukraine is not an escalation, it is a response to Russia’s actions. #ArmUkraine#StandWithUkraine
However, according to Deputy Foreign Minister of the Russian Federation Sergei Ryabkov, the United States is supplying its Abrams tanks in order to "trim the NATO line.” #RussiaIsLosing
The agreement to provide Ukraine with Leopards 2 and Abrams tanks ruined the Russian narrative about the West "losing interest" in Ukraine. However, it also created new narratives. 2/6
As it was made during HIMARS and NASAMS supplies, Russian propagandists focused on messages about "ineffectiveness" of the weapons in contrast to Russian. 3/6