Tomas Pueyo Profile picture
Feb 7, 2023 21 tweets 7 min read Read on X
India just passed China as the most populous country in the world. Why?

Because of the biggest accident in history

Look at where people live in India. What's that band up north?
It's the Ganges river basin. It hosts ~half the country's population. It's one of the densest places on Earth. Why?
Because it's one of the most fertile places on Earth.
It's one of the main producers of wheat, peas, potatoes, rice, lentils, eggplant...

And why is it so fertile?
• It's hot (tropical)
• It rains a lot
• It has a many rivers bringing water and irrigation
• The rivers also bring fertilizing silts

Why so much water?
The mountains.

Wind comes from the ocean full of water
It hits the Himalayas
Climbs up
Gets colder
The water condensates and rains down
This is a good depiction of clouds (and their humidity) being stopped by mountains:
Here you can see how India (to the left) is much greener than Tibet (right).

You can tell where the mountains stop the water from the wind
In India, this happens across hundreds of kms
And what causes the mountains? The Indo-Australian Tectonic Plate hitting the Eurasian Plate
But why is the Ganges valley so flat when it's just next to the Himalayas, the tallest mountain range in the world?

It's *because* of the Himalayas: They're so heavy that gravity crushes down the region around it! The same thing happens in the Indus valley nearby
Now we know why:
• It's flat
• Humid winds discharge their water there

But hold on, why are there humid winds to begin with?
They're not supposed to be there! Every other part of the world at the same latitude is a desert!

Why is the Sahara a desert but India a garden?
The equator is the warmest part of the world, hit directly by the Sun

Hot air, full of humidity, goes up, hits colder air, water condensates, and rains down.

But air keeps going, and falls down farther north, completely dry. Hence the Sahara.

So why not India?
The monsoon

In Indian summers, winds come from the sea, full of water.

What force pushing the monsoon is so huge that it predominates over the normal circulation of wind on Earth?
The sheer size of the Eurasian Plate being north of the only southern ocean on Earth
In summer, the air above the Indian ocean gets hot and fills with water.

But lands warms up faster than water
Eurasia gets much hotter
Air goes up above it
It creates a vacuum
And the hot, humid water from the Indian ocean invades India
And rains down at the Himalayas
This brings water across all of India, not just the Himalayas, making all of it fertile—even if the Ganges river basin is the most fertile.
In summary, in India:
Fertile soil ➡️ Population
Why?
• Hot (tropical)
• Lots of rain
➡️Rivers➡️irrigation & fertilizer

But ALL these conditions exist thanks to an ancient accident: The Indo-Australian Plate hitting the Eurasian one!
1. In summer, the Eurasian plate heats up north of the Indo-Australian plate (Indian ocean)➡️monsoon
2. These plates hit and create the Himalayas➡️stop the waters and rain it down to the Ganges valley
3. The weight of the Himalayas flattens the Ganges basin➡️best for crops
I hope you enjoyed this thread. If you did, follow for more. I write one of these every week or so.

You can also subscribe to my newsletter. It's free: unchartedterritories.tomaspueyo.com/subscribe
The 1st map is from @researchremora
I learned from @lewis_dartnell about the flattening of the Ganges due to the weight of the Himalayas

Another crazy river thread if you missed it:
I go into much more detail in this articles on India, Pakistan, and Bangladesh:
unchartedterritories.tomaspueyo.com/p/a-brief-hist…

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More from @tomaspueyo

Jan 2
I respect @BillAckman a lot but I think he's wrong on @Uber. AFAIK his bear case on robotaxis:
1. Not great for bad weather
2. Too expensive to cover peak demand
3. Less utilization because of food delivery
4. They can't disintermediate Uber

I think they're all wrong:
1. Not great for bad weather
This is a @Waymo driving in rain—the worst they'll ever be! They already have ~10x fewer accidents than humans. Maybe in the short term humans are going to be better in some really bad weather, but those are short-term exceptions
2. Robotaxis will be too expensive to cover peak demand
This is ptrobably true for Waymo but not @Tesla's @robotaxi, for 2 reasons:

a. Cybercab costs will be the same order of magnitude as normal ICE cars
The Model 3 costs ~$40-$45k, but the Cybercab will have 60% fewer parts: steering wheel, pedals, steering column, backseats, backdoors, side-window mirrors, rear window... Let's assume this will bring the cost down to $30-$35k

Add to that the new manufacturing process that treats Tesla's Cybercabs not as cars, but as electronics. They will be able to produce a car every 5s. This will further reduce their price

Compare that to the price of a car for Uber, which today is between $25k-$60k

Forget the driver, just the cars are going to be cheaper!
x.com/ElonClipsX/sta…
Read 8 tweets
Sep 8, 2025
Never bet against the US:
Ppl think its biggest strength is its institutions, the dollar, entrepreneurship... But one of its biggest assets is its geography 🧵
1. Size
The US is the 4th largest country. It spans an entire continent, reaches two oceans, and is big enough to be a geographic heavyweight in the world Image
2. The Mississippi Basin
It's the 4th largest drainage basin in the world and occupies 40% of the contiguous 48 US states, touching 32 of the US’s 50 states. 11 US states directly take their name from it. Image
Read 17 tweets
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Climate caused the US Civil War, because:
1. Slavery was the main cause of the war
2. Different crops were the main cause of slavery
3. Climate caused different crops in the North vs South

This is terribly important to understand the US today and how to heal it
🧵
1. Slavery was the main cause of the war: the Abolitionist North & the Slavery South were competing to expand westward to increase their political influence

But the North grew & expanded faster, to a point where it could force abolition on the South, which then seceded
In 1790, the Free & Slave states had the same population, and there were many more Slave States (8 vs 5), so Slave States controlled the Senate.

By the eve of the war in 1860, the North had 50% more population and 4 more states, giving them control of both the House & Senate Image
Read 18 tweets
Aug 14, 2025
Moscow is one of the weirdest capitals:
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• Extremely cold
• Little farmland
• To Russia's extreme west
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How did it create the biggest country on Earth?

It involves horse archers, human harvesting & tiny animals 🧵
The first shocking fact is that Russia is so far north it's at the edge of arable land. How can you create a capital with so little food? Why not in the middle of the most fertile area on Earth? Image
This far north is extremely cold
Moscow is the 3rd coldest capital in the world and by far the biggest: with 20M ppl, its metro population is 8x bigger than the 2nd biggest cold capital, Stockholm!Image
Read 20 tweets
Jul 28, 2025
This map tells you how a seemingly innocent difference, like wheat vs rice eating, can have dramatic political, economic, and cultural ramifications:
🧵 Image
The areas that harvest wheat vs rice are different. Why?
Because of climate
Rice needs heat and lots of water. Ideally, flooding the fields to also kill weeds. Rice dies with frost.

Wheat resists it well, prefers cooler temperatures, but dies when it's flooded Image
Read 12 tweets
Jul 7, 2025
Did you know the West's trade deficits to China are not recent, but started 2000 years ago? This is the story of how silk, porcelain, tea, opium, and silver have determined the history of the world 🧵
The Romans already complained about deficits to China! Mainly because of silk Image
Back then the Chinese already preferred manufacturing and selling products than consuming foreign products. Chronicler Solinus ~200 AD: The Chinese "prefer only to sell their products, but do not like to buy our goods."Image
Read 12 tweets

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