Dede Eyesan Profile picture
Feb 7, 2023 10 tweets 4 min read Read on X
Some of my favorite lessons from Beating the Street by Peter Lynch:

1. Flexibility. A growth fund is forced to buy overpriced companies every few years.
2. He always ended his discussions with management by asking them which competitor they respected the most?

A smart and efficient way to discover new investment ideas!
3. Growth is good. But so is cheapness!

In 1979, his Magellan Fund's top 10 companies had P/E ratios between 3-5.

"Small is not only beautiful, it also can be lucrative"
4. No substitute to doing the legwork.

"By 6:45, I was in my office, but not alone. Fidelity was a no-nonsense New England institutions."

Explains why Fidelity produced so many greats in the 1970s; Lynch, Allan Gray, Andrew Bolton etc.
5. Not all common stocks are equally common.

I liked this section because managing a 900-stock portfolio sounds so wild.

That said, in the introduction, Lynch admitted his Kodak Pension Fund portfolio performed much better than Magellan as it was more concentrated.
6. Magellan's most important 50 stocks between 1977-1990.

The second half of the book is more interesting for stock pickers. Worth looking at the multiples he paid and the growth some achieved.

Also, check out his hilarious comment on Oprah Winfrey in the first paragraph!
7. Legwork, legwork and more legwork!

In 1987 he recommended 226 stocks for Barron's.

“I’ve always believed that searching for companies is like looking for grubs under rocks: if you turn over 10 rocks you’ll likely find one grub; if you turn over 20 rocks you’ll find two."
8. The Savings & Loans (S&L) crisis

Chapter 12 & 13 were my favourite chapters. Real insights into Lynch's S&L exploits.

Buying when there's panic, how to read a bank's financials, why they IPO'd so cheaply.

i.e. Glacier Bancorp was a 12-15% grower at 5x P/E.
9. "My Fannie Mae Diary"

1980s was a golden period for both Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac.

Buffett, Louis Simpson, the Sequoia Fund etc were also large shareholders.

This chapter has a good overview of why so many great investors loved the stock in the 1980s.
10. His Barron's portfolio annualised 32% after he left Magellan.

“So far, the best performers of my 21 Barron’s picks are the S&Ls. Take the industry that’s surrounded with the most doom and gloom, and if the fundamentals are positive, you’ll find some big winners.”

-P Lynch

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More from @dede_eyesan

Nov 3, 2023
$INMD my thoughts

Buyback addiction is a big mistake in the cyclical medical aesthetics industry.

Case study - Cutera

Cutera, like InMode, had a debt-free balance sheet for many years 1998-2019.

In 2013, after it failed to recover post-GFC, management started buybacks..1/x
Buybacks started at $10 million in 2013. But to please shareholders, they had to do it every year, even in loss making years.

While its stock recovered, its business became weaker each year as it failed to innovate with time and to the new generation of RF devices.
Today, I'm not sure Cutera is investable. Investors then made a quick return but today, its market cap is a third of where it was 10 years ago, when buybacks started.
Read 8 tweets
Oct 9, 2023
Carlos Slim was also a student of Benjamin Graham and credited him in a few interviews for shaping his investment approach.

Before private equity, he was one of the first EM “Value investing with operational impact” investors.

Thread on some of his best investments.

1/x
Image
Image
Apple Inc

In 1997, Carlos Slim paid $17 per share and owned 3% of Apple days before Steve Jobs returned and within 12 months, it’s shares soared to $100 per share.

This was an unusual move for him as he’d historically invested in Mexico (mainly industrials and telecom)

2/x Image
While the PC industry was then new for Carlos Slim, his thesis was similar with his typical investments, undervalued.

When asked about it, he says “Apple’s market cap was less than half the value of the company’s assets…. and it was a good company” Image
Read 14 tweets
Feb 6, 2023
Can't sleep, so some companies I'm currently looking at:

Justin Allen in HK- one of the companies < 5x P/E (or <3x EV/EBIT), double-digit profitability (and almost debt-free balance sheet) that can double earnings in 3-5 years.

The risk here is their exposure to Target (1/n)
They are in the loungewear and sleepwear textile market and supply retailers like Target, Primark, Walmart and Marks & Spencer.

Their two plants are in Henan, China and Cambodia. They are also setting up new plants in Vietnam and Honduras (to better support US clients).
Their model is the one-stop shop house; design ->yarn -> fabric .. -> customers.

Employs over 4000+ people and was the 10th largest in the sleepwear textile Chinese market at its IPO (2019).

My estimate is they are now 5th in China.
Read 9 tweets
Jan 18, 2023
Japanese holding companies are always full of surprises- an example ImpactHD.

At first glance, it looks like a HR company for retailers. Boring slow growth stuff.

But since 2017, earnings have grown 5-fold (43% CAGR) and targeting earnings to compound by 26% till 2026.
The growth is coming from a hidden Internet of things division, ImpactTV which makes digital signage for retailers to boost sales promotion efficiency.

Around a 47% market share in Japan, 1,500+ clients and 93% are repeat customers.

Btw this is a co listed under HR management
So software/hardware model. If one didn’t open their annual reports, likely this would have been missed.

From their website, one would think it’s just pure BPO and store surveying.

There are so many of these companies with random growth assets in Japanese professional services
Read 4 tweets
Jan 3, 2023
Last year, I published a book titled Global Outperformers, where I studied listed companies that returned more than 1,000% in 10 years.

There are four parts to our study, and I will share a thread below, sharing somethings our book explores about global equity investing.

1/68
There's already some research into this topic, but what makes our research different is the breadth of markets covered, from Australia to Vietnam, our industry coverage, from healthcare to utilities and the depth of our case study research into specific outperformers.

2/68
The study covered May 2012 – May 2022 and companies with a market capitalisation of at least $550 million. We screened out companies from countries with hyperinflation, like Venezuela and Zimbabwe.

3/68
Read 68 tweets

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