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Mikhail Khodorkovsky

@khodorkovsky_en

Apr 15

Putin just lost his "Trojan Horse" inside the EU.

Viktor Orban, one of Moscow’s most dependable EU allies, is out. This result carries massive implications for Russia’s ability to project power and disruption across Europe.

Here is why Moscow is panicking. 🧵 [1/14]

Putin’s EU Veto: The End of Strategic Obstruction

For years, Orban turned Hungary into a pressure point inside the EU. Because of the bloc's need for unanimity, Budapest could, and often did, slow or block decisions on any issue, be it sanctions, funding, or military support. [2/14]

The Cost of Obstruction.

Orbán’s track record of blocking aid to Ukraine is staggering:
2022: Blocked an €18bn aid package.
2023: Stalled crucial payments through the European Peace Facility.
2024: Obstructed a €90bn long-term support plan for Kyiv. [3/14]

Read 14 tweets

Mikhail Khodorkovsky

@khodorkovsky_en

Apr 9

It is nearly impossible for a European to comprehend the psychological reality inside Russia. It is not just "fake news." It is a total deconstruction of reality.

Let me try to immerse you in the world Russians live in [1/9]

First, understand the isolation. Around 90% of Russians have never left the country. Even fewer have ever stepped beyond the borders of the former Soviet Union.

For the vast majority, the "West" is not a place they have visited. It is a ghost story told by the state. [2/9]

This is difficult to imagine in Europe. You take a 2-hour train ride and you are in another country. In Russia, the scale is different. When I was transported from Moscow to prison, the journey took 7 days. SEVEN. 7 days on a train in the same country. [3/9]

Read 9 tweets

Mikhail Khodorkovsky

@khodorkovsky_en

Apr 8

The real Iran crisis is nearing a terrifying tipping point. We are one mistake away from a catastrophic energy and water collapse that will trigger a global humanitarian emergency.

Here is why the "informal limits" are about to break: 🧵 [1/15]

The Iran crisis is approaching a crossroads. Either it settles into a fragile political arrangement, or it escalates into a wider regional conflict. Either way, the consequences will reach far beyond the Middle East. [2/15]

For Washington, a prolonged war is politically difficult to sustain. Legal constraints, competing priorities and the pressure of the upcoming midterms all push toward outcomes that appear decisive without being open-ended. [3/15]

Read 15 tweets

Mikhail Khodorkovsky

@khodorkovsky_en

Apr 7

Do you remember that recent, incredibly awkward exchange between Pashinyan and Putin in the Kremlin?

It was a masterclass in geopolitical trolling. Pashinyan literally looked Putin in the eye and teased him about Armenia having "too much democracy," even lecturing him on how they hold fair elections "twice a year." 1/4

From bragging that social media is "100% free" (a pointed jab at Putin’s total ban of social media and recent crackdown on Telegram in favor of the state-run "Max" messenger), to pointing out the lack of political prisoners, it was a bold and very public distancing from Moscow's playbook. 2/4

With the June 2026 elections looming, Armenia is at a historic crossroads.

Join us at the NEST Centre for our Midweek Briefing as we welcome @Tom_deWaal, Senior Fellow at Carnegie Europe and the leading Caucasus expert, to break down what Armenia truly means for Russia today. 3/4

Read 4 tweets

Mikhail Khodorkovsky

@khodorkovsky_en

Mar 31

The generation of Europeans who understood Russia is gone.

The knowledge gap they left behind is now being filled by disinformation — and the Kremlin is exploiting it.

Here's what Europe must do before it's too late: 🧵[1/7]

Europe is moving, steadily and predictably, toward a cold war with Russia. This is not a question of rhetoric or political mood, but of structural reality.

The Kremlin is already testing Europe's cohesion, and without a clear demonstration of readiness, those tests will intensify.

[2/7]

The next six months are crucial. Ireland, as it assumes the EU presidency, will need to take a leading role.

[3/7]

Read 7 tweets

Mikhail Khodorkovsky

@khodorkovsky_en

Mar 26

Putin's most powerful weapon in this war isn't the Oreshnik missile.

It is something far cheaper and infinitely more scalable: lies.

🧵Shameless lies literally capture cities — here're some examples:

The Russian military has a term for this: "capturing a settlement on credit."

They report the victory on Telegram and TV now and plan to achieve it "someday." This way, the same town can be "taken" over and over, for example, General Kuzovlev "captured" Kupiansk twice in two months.

[2/14]militarnyi.com/en/news/gerasi…

As a visual proof for these premature "captures," there is a field maneuver called "flagovtyk" — a squad plants a flag in a destroyed village, photographs it, and reports it "liberated."

The whole operation is just content creation.

[3/14]

Read 14 tweets

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