As Putin proposes "external administration" for Ukraine, he's not seeking territory—he's measuring how far he can go while America contemplates its role in the conflict.

The current stage of peace talks is revealing more than it seems.

🧵Here are 3 things that stand out—and what they mean going forward. 1. Escalation is deliberate, not reactive

Putin's announcement about external administration of Ukraine says one thing – he is being traditional about testing the sharp rise of stakes. Judging by the rules presented to the US and Trump in that same speech, there's an expectation that the current US administration favors increased pressure on the Ukrainian authorities.

Russia's secret fleet: How "floating scrap" tankers are evading sanctions and creating an environmental time bomb.

🧵@dossier_center investigation exposes the dangerous shell game playing out in international waters Dossier tracked one such vessel, the Morpheus, which is anchored off Cyprus. It never leaves the area. Instead, it receives Russian oil from inbound tankers and offloads it to others, masking its Russian origin through a series of transfers

The Soviet regime couldn't break him with forced psychiatry. Now Putin's Russia has sentenced 67-year-old Alexander Skobkov to 16 years. Skobov was twice sentenced to three years of punitive psychiatry in 1978 and 1985 because of his activism against the Soviet dictatorship. Now, his continued resistance to tyranny has landed him in prison

In 2022, Putin bombed Mariupol theater where women and children sheltered.

Russian journalist Maria Ponomarenko wrote about it on Telegram, got 6 years.

🧵 But even that wasn't enough. Now she's on the verge of killing herself because of mistreatment when in prison Maria was imprisoned over Telegram posts about the air strike on the Mariupol Drama Theater in 2022 – you will have seen images of the building with the word “children” spelled out on the ground outside in a desperate bid to deter attacks
apnews.com/article/russia…

Putin thinks he's winning in Ukraine.

And his response to the proposed ceasefire proves it.

🧵Read on to understand his real strategy and goals Trump and Putin’s private talks have ended in an agreement on a 30-day pause on strikes against energy infrastructure. A dirty peace, but better than no peace at all.

Putin has ruled Russia for 25+ years. One group has remained unshakably loyal: his bodyguards.

They protect him, secure his homes test his food for poison. FSB officers cook him food

@dossier_center reveals the extraordinary measures taken to protect Putin


The Presidential Security Service (SBP), part of the Federal Protective Service (FSO), is an elite, autonomous unit. It protects Putin, secures his residences, prepares his food, and even maintains his properties

22 years ago – how time flies – I wrote a report on Russian corruption. I told Putin about corruption in his circle, gave examples.

I asked him directly: does Putin want 25% of his compatriots to consider the Russian President a bribe-taker?

🧵What happened after showed I thought better of him than he deserved. 1/9 It was the first anti-corruption investigation before it became mainstream! Social media wasn't really a thing back then, so I had to present it personally at the Kremlin, where he met with the business community. 2/9

Everyone wants to know when Putin’s war on Ukraine will end. The only person who can know that for sure is Putin himself – but he doesn’t have long to decide.

🧵Here's why he has to make his mind up by this summer First of all, let's discuss the military situation

It’s not true that Putin has no motivation to stop the war. While Russia has been on the offensive for the past year, it hasn’t achieved any strategic victories, and has been taking consistently heavy losses

Millions stolen from the Syrian people fund Assad's luxurious Moscow lifestyle.

Yet, they can't buy what matters most: life-saving treatment for his wife Asma as she fights leukemia.

🧵Here's latest on Syrian dictator's life in Russia — revealed by @dossier_center First off, let’s look at how Assad got to Russia in the first place. Like the disgraced Ukrainian president Yanukovych, he was extracted by the Russian military, after his own commanders refused to protect him bbc.com/news/world-eur…

Politico has named Putin as one of the ‘losers of the year’ for 2024. But I disagree.

🧵Here’s why In naming Putin a loser, Politico cites the continued failure of his illegal invasion of Ukraine, Kyiv’s seizure of territory in Kursk region, the collapse of the Assad regime in Syria, the downing of an Azeri plane at Christmas, and the horrendous state of Russia’s economy

politico.eu/newsletter/bru…

Azerbaijan's Aliyev demanded an apology from Putin over a downed plane... and got it! This exposes cracks in Russia's regional alliances as its power fades.

🧵Turkey (and NATO) are reshaping the post-Soviet space in unexpected ways. Here's how Azerbaijan’s Ilham Aliyev has taken an unusually strong stance against Putin since one of his country’s planes was shot down over Russia at Christmas. We haven’t heard words like this from one of Russia’s few remaining geopolitical allies in a long time

Like every year, Putin held a very long press conference today. And like every year, he lied through his teeth the entire time.

🧵Here are just some of the falsehoods he pushed: ‘More than 40,000 sanctions have been placed on Russia’ – Just a couple of months ago, foreign minister Lavrov said the number of sanctions was only about half that, at 21,000.

Either the West has been very busy, or Putin is lying smotrim.ru/article/4162190

In 24 years of rule, Assad and his cronies have robbed Syria blind.

@FT and @dossier_center reveal where the money went: luxury apartments in Moscow

(🧵Read on) From March 2018 to Sept 2019, the Syrian central bank secretly sent 21 planeloads carrying over $250M in cash to Russia - nearly 2 tons of $100 and €500 notes. Supposedly for wheat, military aid & services. But the timing is suspicious.

Moscow spent 8 years building influence in Syria.

It took just 72 hours to lose it all.

🧵Here’re 3 crucial lessons that reveal Putin's strategic collapse (1/15) (2/15) The Kremlin’s propagandists claimed the Syria intervention was a geopolitical triumph—a bold move to counter Western influence and return Russia to the big table on the world stage after the annexation of Crimea.

Wayne Gretzky signed on to promote a Chinese hockey team. Little did he know, it was actually a front for Putin's buddy to secretly sell Russian LNG.

🧵Here's how the greatest hockey player of all time has played a unknowingly helped Putin fund his illegal war on Ukraine
With pipeline gas exports dwindling, Putin is increasingly relying on LNG to fund his war. He’s entrusted it to one of his closest allies—his hockey buddy, Gennady Timchenko

In Russia, children are now enemies of the state: 14-year-olds jailed for vandalism, teens imprisoned for online posts.

🧵With ≈100 minors labeled as terrorist, it's a clear pattern — here's how we got here (in case one famous foreign journalist currently in Moscow wants to ask Lavrov about it) The surge in minors being prosecuted marks a shift in the nature of the regime from authoritarian to full-blown totalitarian. Even in the early years of Putin’s rule, such a thing would be impossible to imagine

Meet Lyubov Lizunova: At 16, she wrote "Death to the regime" on a garage wall. At 17, she became the first Russian schoolgirl imprisoned for opposing the war.

(Read on) In October 2022, police detained Lyubov and her friends after they wrote an anti-regime message on a garage wall. What started as a minor vandalism case would spiral into something far more sinister.

Putin just sentenced Alexei Gorinov, 63, to 5 more years in maximum-security prison—for opposing the war in Ukraine.

He held a sign: "Enough killings, stop the war."

Here's what he said in his final statement to the court🧵1/9

https://twitter.com/eu_eeas/status/1862791148814619122

"All my life I've opposed aggression, violence, and war. I've dedicated myself to peaceful activities: science, teaching, governance, and human rights. Never did I imagine that in my country, citizens favoring peace would be accused of 'justifying terrorism' and put on trial." 2/9

Prigozhin is dead, but his African media empire lives on.

Internal Wagner documents show how Putin maintains control over Central African Republic's information space.

🧵Here’s what you need to know Despite Yevgeny Prigozhin's death last year, his Wagner mercenary group still pushes Putin's agenda overseas, especially in Africa. Thanks to a defecting journalist, the @dossier_center & @FbdnStories have uncovered details of their activities in the Central African Republic.

Putin found a backdoor for banned AI chips through India's pharmaceutical industry.

The numbers are staggering: $300M in restricted servers, 1,100 units, and a network of companies designed to bypass Western sanctions.

🧵Here's how military tech Russia sanctions have failed Mumbai-based Shreya Life Sciences, a pharmaceutical company, exported over 1,100 high-end Dell servers equipped with Nvidia AI processors to Russia between April and August 2024. These servers are restricted under US and EU sanctions targeting military tech. bloomberg.com/news/features/…

Kremlin's bot networks hit unprecedented activity levels ahead of US elections, with 80% of Matryoshka network posts now targeting American voters.

🧵Here's what our investigation uncovered about their dual-narrative strategy: In the days leading up to the election, there has been a marked and noticeable increase in the activity of Russian-controlled bot accounts on social media. On Friday, their activity reached record levels agents.media/kremleboty-raz…