1) Does D1 trend (21.5k) hold ? 2) If yes do we get a 22.5k & H4 trend retest ? 3) If yes is it reclaimed ? 4) In the meantime is there any alt(s) doing particularly better/worse (cleaner trend) ?
Some focuses for you today that might define if/how you want to trade end of week.
If you get the combos:
- Yes, yes, yes -> long to the tits, retests of highs inc,
- Yes, yes, no -> chop incoming - gtfo until early next week,
- Yes, no, no -> chop incoming - gtfo until early next week,
- No, no, no -> that was it, but it was fun, see you next rally.
Voilà
So as usual, you make your list of alts performing best/worse, with ideally the cleanest H4 trends - and depending if we get combo 1) or 4), you know what to focus on.
GL HF everyone
Tldr of tldr: We’ll have a good idea if market ready to trend short term or chop depending if D1 trend defended (21.5k) first and if yes then how rapidly H4 trend is flipped back support.
Tldr with a chart from @heartereum but yes it’s exactly that IMO
Here's the $APT short I baited myself away from at breakeven Tuesday on fake 23.1k reclaim on BTC - I respected my invalidation I had in case BTC was too strong... But still frustrating.
Stopped out of my latest - too aggressive and badly timed - alt long attempt earlier today, and even got baited out at breakeven of a nice short yesterday.
Shit happens, small damage, great frustration :).
Frustrated because I started the week warning about potential shitty PA + taking things slow - which I did… but could have simply do nothing after CTXC chadding this weekend :).
H4 close back above 23.3k region + H4 trend + H4 100 MA, and I’ll be able to aggressively trade my shitcoins of the week still. So far they’re already giving quite the moves, don’t want to be too greedy.
Non exhaustive but good list of alts I put the focus on since Sunday or so.
Despite D1 downtrend retest, my main idea remains:
IF 16.4-16.6k && H4 trend flips support
THEN aim for H4 200 EMA higher (wherever it is, for now it's sitting at $17,500)
Therefore mainly watching this area if/when retested.
Just want to insist that as much as this move and impulse has been good, and brought some joy on the TL, as muc has macro bottom could (nobody has a fucking clue) be in... This entire move remains a daily downtrend retest... And nothing more.