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Pierre Profile picture
Pierre
@pierre_crypt0
@TheHavenCrypto - NFA - just shitposting and sharing some thoughts about markets sometimes https://t.co/edH3I1EL0z
9 subscribers
Sep 27, 2024 • 4 tweets • 4 min read
this is still very much the case (two main types of alts setup: D1 trend riding > D1 EMA/MA set vs D1 trend -> D1 100 MA/D1 200 EMA gap fills)

both interesting to play

(notice the two examples of D1 trend gap fill have... filled their gaps since)



Image
Image
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Image some more examples of gap fill setups:
- $TON
- $WOO
- $ENA
- $W $DYM $TIA


Sep 19, 2024 • 4 tweets • 2 min read
two types of alts right now:
1. the ones > entire set of D1 EMA/MA (ftm, aave, fet, sui, ...)
2. the ones breaking D1 trend and with a gap above to D1 100 MA/D1 200 EMA (apt, wif, rose,...)

first ones you want to focus on H4/D1 trend retests until it doesn't work anymore
second ones can be interesting as long as D1 trend flipped, if D1 fail to hold gtfo instantlyImage
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Image conditions for fun to be allowed in shitcoins from here:
1. BTC D1 > D1 trend & D1 100 MA & 61/62
2. SPX not rugging

can it be another shitty 72h impulse, yes
is the invalidation for upside and to confirm such shitty event clear, yes
is it still time to click harder, yes
Jan 13, 2024 • 5 tweets • 2 min read
(long post, too lazy to make a thread)

First daily close below D1 trend since 26,500 means that it’s finally time for me to lock in some more profits partially.

It’s been an insane ride, 26,500 -> 43,000, on size that for me was unthinkable even just last year.

usually after such strong trends break I tend to expect:
- Chopfest
- Rapid reclaim
- Reversal
(Much wow, indeed up, flat or down lmao… not very original I know)
Too soon to tell yet, but I would expect next few days to give us some answers depending if we retest D1 trend from below, reclaim it, defend it or not, flip it resistance.

Planning to let this unfold a bit and adjust then.

I have zero problems re-entering everything I took off if we were to rapidly reclaim D1 trend and defend it again.

I am also fine not exiting fully and keeping some running considering the overall context and weekly trend.

I am also very happy the way I managed this ride into ETF, in terms of gains ofc but also in terms of taking and keeping things simple, not over thinking and polluting my mind like I used to do so often.

I’ve never felt this good with my balance of screentime-trading and other aspects of my life.

Hopefully I learn as much in 2024 than I did in 2023 🫡 after post big moves, H1 trend often a good focus to have before considering buying the dip

with all that being said, gn, have a beer and enjoy
Dec 11, 2023 • 8 tweets • 2 min read
Gm

H4 trend && 43.3-43.6k lost over night, triggered some (forced lmao) take profits for me on BTC.

Personally not rushing to buy dips, however if we rapidly reclaim H4 trend (@ 43kish now) I’ll happily buy back what was taken off.

Discussing my gameplan below. As mentioned above, as much as I know people are usually starving for these kind of dips or "flush" as they say, all I see for now on BTC is H4 trend blasted through it and H1 200 EMA lost too.
Dec 5, 2023 • 4 tweets • 1 min read
The trend the trend and nothing but the trend Oh. And the trend
Jun 27, 2023 • 10 tweets • 3 min read
https://t.co/NbpfZdYnfk
Second focus being this ETHBTC H4 downtrend of course to time potential ETH rotation or not (coupled with BTC maxis calling for its death etc etc you know the usual cycle rotation).
Jun 21, 2023 • 4 tweets • 1 min read
Streets are full, people are out there celebrating #Bitcoin back above $30,000 you love to see it. Look at them all so happy about the current PA and celebrating !
Jun 20, 2023 • 11 tweets • 4 min read
Only a very few alts on CEXs I'm interested in being long, and whenever it's the case it's for nothing more than trend -> 100 MA -> 200 EMA gap fills.

FXS and SUI two good candidates for these IF(!) BTC manages to hold > 26.3-26.6k imo.

Invalidations on loss of H4 trend again.

Beside examples like these two, most of alts are still shorts to me with some much weaker than others (TOMO, but too late to enter here, wait for H4/D1 trend retests on bounces).

And most of the fun on alts mostly on-chain with vastly different rules, thiner lic, etc.
Apr 27, 2023 • 8 tweets • 2 min read
Decent recovery, managed to close H4 > H4 200 EMA and D1 back above D1 trend.

As long as these (28.0-28.5k) hold on a H4 & D1 basis I think bulls have a shot to give us a retest of recent highs at least.

Fail to hold this, then rip/chopfest at best for some weeks imo.

GL HF Tldr:
- Bought back spot on yesterday’s daily close > D1 trend
- Will cut again if unable to hold and flip D1 trend back to support
- Playing some very isolated alts in parallel (INJ, ID,…)
- Still have some alts short running after several TP hits and as long as below D1 trends
Apr 26, 2023 • 4 tweets • 1 min read
Two fights:
- Holding and flipping 28.0-28.2k support
- Closing D1 > 28.5-29.0k

Gl hf It’s all there - not much better focus to have on the market right now. Flip this = chase longs, get denied = you have plenty of shitcoins that could not even break H4 downtrends on yesterday’s btc move…
Apr 26, 2023 • 4 tweets • 1 min read
So… we doing this again ? Résume le banking crisis ? If we do this again.. should we send btc to new highs then ?
Apr 25, 2023 • 7 tweets • 2 min read
$BTC - D1

IMO picture is pretty clear/clean:
- Bulls want to reclaim confluence of D1 trend + March Range Highs at $28,000-28,500
- Bears want a gap fill down to D1 100 MA

Similar approach as end of Feb/early March correction (D1 trend loss into D1 100 MA gap fill). Image For me:
- Reclaim D1 trend & 28.0-28.5k confluence, aim for new highs and W1 100 MA again as long as D1 trend defended again (see early Jan and March reclaims for examples)
- As long as D1 trend flipped resistance, aiming D1 100 MA gap fill

Focusing on weak/strong alts as usual
Mar 1, 2023 • 11 tweets • 2 min read
H1/H4 trends disrespected (lost, reclaim, lost, (…) without printing any move) usually means chopfest incoming - or at least it means my system/approach loses a bit of its hedge and that I should take a step back and let market come to me. My long opened earlier today on BTC not stopped out, hesitating to cut manually, will keep it for now.

Alts shorts still well in profits and valid for now.
Mar 1, 2023 • 5 tweets • 1 min read
I tend to think that if BTC can’t hold/flip H4/H1 trend here, everything setting up for some major chopfest. BTC has printed >7% H4 trends, everytime H4 trend was lost/reclaimed, both ways, for the past 8 weeks or so.

Failing to do so here would be another shift in momentum imo.

So… all eyes on the 23.4-23.6k area :).
Mar 1, 2023 • 4 tweets • 1 min read
Burgers wouldn’t dare erasing all night move and H4 trend break/reclaim attempt without a proper move +24k, wouldn’t they ? 20 min til Casino opens
Mar 1, 2023 • 12 tweets • 3 min read
$BTC - H4

A week later:
- D1 trend retested and defended✅
- H4 trend reclaimed✅

Followed the scenario shared perfectly so far.

From here, for continuation short term:
- Must hold/flip = H4 trend x $23,500 confluence,
- Must break = $23,850-24,000. Fail to flip H4 == chopfest continuation.
Feb 28, 2023 • 6 tweets • 2 min read
Can you feel it ? H4 downtrend x D1 uptrend compression.

We're all watching this, waiting for Orange Coin to show the way, aren't we ? Image
Feb 28, 2023 • 4 tweets • 1 min read
So maybe there’s a chance. Could it be just what the market needed for a pop, time will tell, would be funny once again.

I wonder if Cramer realises the meme he is or not, I want to think he does, he’s smart and plays with it (maybe makes some money off of it). Otherwise it’s sad.
Feb 28, 2023 • 25 tweets • 5 min read
New day, same fight, same approach.

For upside continuation:
- H4 200 EMA & D1 trend (22.8-22.9k) must hold,
- H4 downtrend (since 24.3k, now at 23.6k, retested yesterday again) must break.

No green button for me until these two conditions met as discussed last week already.
Feb 27, 2023 • 4 tweets • 2 min read
$SSV - H4

- Target #1 = $41.15 ✅
- Target #2 = $45.00-45.50 ✅
- Target #3 = $49.00-49.50 ✅

1/3 left running.

Was one of the very few long picked in a sea of shorts recently, +45% in ~5 days, 101 shitcoin continuation setup.

Very happy about this one, gg. Image Shoutout to @PC_PR1NCIPAL as us usual, his content in @TheHavenCrypto often helps me narrowings alts of importance within trends.
Feb 27, 2023 • 8 tweets • 2 min read
Shared this scenario last week of a move down to D1 trend as long as H4 trend wasn’t reclaimed.

For the rest of the Feb 8->Feb 15 fractal to play out, two triggers:
- D1 trend defended ✅
- H4 trend reclaimed❓

30 min before NYO, BTC back at fighting for H4 trend right now. As usual, just applying system robotically, exited/got targets hit on most shorts last week when BTC came back for H4 200 EMA/D1 trend

Now waiting to see how this current fight unfolds, H4 trend reclaim would most likely trigger a lot of longs, failing to do so… chopfest still.