#ONNanalysis
1. While much attention this week has been on the 🇰🇵’s paraded missiles, 🇰🇷 is continuing to progress in the development of its own missile programme. 🇰🇷 likely conducted tests for its new ‘high-power’ Hyunmoo, also known as Hyunmoo-5, in recent days.
2. @planet imagery shows a probable missile launcher on the launch pad at the Agency for Defence Development’s (ADD) test site on 31 January, one day before reporting on a planned launch for 3 February started appearing in South Korean media. en.yna.co.kr/view/AEN202302… Image
3. The ~20m launcher appears ~5m longer than the one likely used in a 2020 Hyunmoo-4 test at the same location. This would be consistent with an improvement in performance, in line with the reported increase in warhead weight from 4-5t to 8-9t. opennuclear.org/publication/so… Image
4. Navigational warnings by the ROK’s Hydrographic and Oceanographic Agency suggest that a launch within the 300km range may have taken place on 3 or 4 February. No commercial imagery is available to corroborate these dates, and there has been no official confirmation yet.
5. Additionally, @planet imagery shows that since at least 5 February, a barge previously used for Hyunmoo launches has been set up in waters by another island ~50km away. Navigational warnings suggest that another launch may have occurred there on 10 Feb Image
6. The “high-power” Hyunmoo was first promoted in a video celebrating the 2022 Armed Forces Day as a component of the ROK’s KMPR (Korea Massive Punishment and Retaliation) planning and is reported to be capable of carrying a warhead of up to 8-9 tons.
7. While the stated intent of this programme is to add a bunker-busting capability to the KMPR missile portfolio, a reduction of the warhead weight could transform this missile into one with at least a medium to intermediate range.
8. Given President Yoon’s strong emphasis on enhanced KMPR capabilities in his speech during last month’s foreign and defense ministry’s work report, it is plausible that further promotional material of successful test launches will soon follow. korea.kr/news/president…
— END —

• • •

Missing some Tweet in this thread? You can try to force a refresh
 

Keep Current with Open Nuclear Network

Open Nuclear Network Profile picture

Stay in touch and get notified when new unrolls are available from this author!

Read all threads

This Thread may be Removed Anytime!

PDF

Twitter may remove this content at anytime! Save it as PDF for later use!

Try unrolling a thread yourself!

how to unroll video
  1. Follow @ThreadReaderApp to mention us!

  2. From a Twitter thread mention us with a keyword "unroll"
@threadreaderapp unroll

Practice here first or read more on our help page!

More from @OpenNuclear

Feb 10
#DailyNewsHighlights

📢@YonhapNews: USFK conducts frontline MLRS training previously criticized by North Korea
#ONN #KoreanPeninsula #DPRK

(1/7)
yna.co.kr/view/AKR202302…
#DailyNewsHighlights

📢@NSAGov: U.S., South Korean Agencies Partner to #StopRansomware Threat from DPRK
#ONN #KoreanPeninsula #DPRK

(2/7)
nsa.gov/Press-Room/Pre…
#DailyNewsHighlights

📢@YonhapNews: S. Korea's 'strategic command' to oversee space, cyber units, F-35s, submarines: official
#ONN #KoreanPeninsula

(3/7)
en.yna.co.kr/view/AEN202302…
Read 7 tweets
Nov 7, 2022
DPRK State media reported on Monday on the country’s missile launch campaign from 2 to 5 Nov 2022. ONN has compiled the following information regarding the launches based on information provided by Japan, the ROK and the DPRK.
As can be seen from the table above, there are some discrepancies in the information provided by the 3 different countries. The ROK claimed the DPRK’s report on the “strategic cruise missile” launches to be false.
t.ly/VgaX
t.ly/Q4Uo
A comparison of the launch photos also proves that the DPRK re-used an old photo (first published in April 2022) in its report covering its Nov launch campaign. (as first noticed by @rockfish31) Such practices reduce the credibility of the DPRK’s announcement.
Read 8 tweets
Mar 24, 2022
1. On 24 Mar 2022, the #DPRK conducted an apparently successful test of an international ballistic missile (#ICBM). This was the first such test since Nov 2017 and marked the official end to the DPRK ICBM and nuclear test moratorium.
2. According to 🇺🇸JCS and 🇯🇵MoD, the ICBM was launched at ~2:33 pm local time. It followed a highly lofted trajectory, with an apogee of >6200 km before splashing down ~150 km west of 🇯🇵Toshima Peninsula, 1080 km from its launch site at 🇰🇵Sunan airfield. The flight took ~71 min.
3. Considering that the apogee is significantly higher than previous tests, the 24 Mar test probably involves the new ICBM that made its debut during a military parade on 10 Oct 2020. The name of this new system is possibly Hwasong-17.
Read 4 tweets
Jan 5, 2022
1. DPRK just released an official image of the ballistic missile tested on 5 Jan (pic 1). It appears to be the new hypersonic weapon first revealed during the Oct 2021 weapon exhibition (marked as Missile B in pic 2). Full ONN report on the exhibition: bit.ly/3HBIM5l KCNAKCNA
2. Same as the Hwasong-12, the missile is carried by a MAZ-547 truck. However, the missile appears to be much shorter than the HS-12, as evidenced by the clips on the erection arms: they have been moved back to hold the shorter missile (see pic below) KCNA
3. In general, the new hypersonic missile seems to be of similar length to the Hwasong-8 hypersonic missile tested in Sept last year (see pic 1 below). The Hwasong-8 also appears to be significantly shorter than the Hwasong-12 (pic 2). For more info see: bit.ly/3n1RAJP KCNAKCNA
Read 7 tweets
Oct 12, 2021
THREAD: DPRK held a defence exhibition on 11 Oct. Most weapons displayed had been shown before. This thread highlights some of the exhibits showcased in the event. KCNA
1. New-type ICBM that made its public debut on 10 Oct 2020 but has yet to be flight tested.
For more info see: thebulletin.org/2020/10/two-ke… KCNA
2. Hwasong-8 tested on 28 Sept 2021 was displayed among the ICBMs and IRBMs. Photo shows that its hypersonic glide vehicle looks similar to the Chinese DF-17.
For more info see: bit.ly/3AAbq2T KCNAAFP
Read 11 tweets

Did Thread Reader help you today?

Support us! We are indie developers!


This site is made by just two indie developers on a laptop doing marketing, support and development! Read more about the story.

Become a Premium Member ($3/month or $30/year) and get exclusive features!

Become Premium

Don't want to be a Premium member but still want to support us?

Make a small donation by buying us coffee ($5) or help with server cost ($10)

Donate via Paypal

Or Donate anonymously using crypto!

Ethereum

0xfe58350B80634f60Fa6Dc149a72b4DFbc17D341E copy

Bitcoin

3ATGMxNzCUFzxpMCHL5sWSt4DVtS8UqXpi copy

Thank you for your support!

Follow Us on Twitter!

:(