It's quite clear that a large chunk of the mobiks which have been training since the October mobilization has been engaged in assaults in several areas.
It seems RuAF are advancing with some success in 3 areas Kupyansk, Kreminna, Bakhmut. They are also attacking Vuhledar without success and with huge losses.
Kreminna-Siversk
The AFU repulsed attacks in the area of Tors'ke, Serebryansʹkyy forest and Bilohorivka. According to geolocated videos and Ukrainian reports, RuAF have advanced close to Tors'ke, the RU advance will most likely not reach much further west.
It will be interesting to see if RuAF can expand their offensive towards Tors'ke to the north and south.
Bakhmut
The AFU repulsed attacks in the area ofFedorivka, Bakhmut, Ivanivske and Chasiv Yar. A mix of RU regular forces and Wagner are attacking towards the M03 north of Bakhmut.
RuAF are slowly getting closer to the M03 road. The Road it self is not important at this point, but it is located on high ground which. It might be problematic for the FU if RuAF manage to consolidate positions on the high ground.
South of Bakhmut RuAF are attacking towards Chasiv Yar in an attempt to cut of the T-0504 road but I do not think they are successful yet.
Multiple Ukrainian sources talk about a RU sabotage group caught in Bakhmut. According the reports, Bakhmut will be closed of to Civilians, reporters and aid workers from tomorrow.
I think there is another reason. I think they are about to shut down communications in preparation for a withdraw. It could also be a counter attack, but I would not bet on it.
Shutting down coms to and evacuating civilians would allow AFU to retreat without info being relayed to the Russians. t.me/robert_magyar/…
Donetsk
The AFu repulsed attacks in the area of Pervomais'ke, Mar'inka, Pobjeda and Vuhledar
"99 balloons
On their way to the horizon
They were thought to be UFOs from space
That's why a general sent
A squadron behind
to sound the alarm if that were the case
It was there on the horizon
Only 99 balloons"
To every problem there is a solution.
Polands was buying 500 HIMARS, roughly 1 per km border shared with hostile nations.
They are sending a message to russia:
Stay the fuck away from us.
And before twitter loses it mind.
I consider Belarus hostile territory as long as Russian military is allowed to operate and invade other countries from there.