Summary of the recent update by WHIreland: Providing context on recent developments & fair value estimate of 199p, adjusted to June 2022 balance sheet. #PANR $PANR
"We had been, and remain, focused mainly on the decline curve and we have yet to even establish a high-quality (peak) initial production rate. We are focused on the decline curve because we believe a large oil company that would farm
into Pantheon Resources’ assets .. #PANR $PANR
..will look to the decline curve in conjunction with an
assessment of its ability to increase the initial production rate by applying more muscle
and optimised engineering" #PANR $PANR
Focus on decline curve: We're more interested in how it will decline & ability to increase initial production with optimised engineering.#PANR $PANR
Early-stage result (40% frack fluid recovery) too much commotion. Reservoir responded to multi-stage frack & induced meaningful oil & gas flows. #PANR $PANR
Alkaid #2 had 500b/d liquids (crude oil, condensate, natural gas) & still 60% frack fluid downhole. Liquids content is a lower-bound. #PANR $PANR
Production will increase as wells are cleaned up, hydrocarbons displaced by fracking fluid production. #PANR $PANR
Don't base big decisions on absolute production value at this stage, simply acknowledge the reservoir's response to multi-stage frack. #PANR $PANR

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More from @diegodoesdo

Feb 13
#PANR WHIreland join Canaccord Genuity, Schlumberger (SLB) and more in backing mgmt. Appraisal of the current situation with Alkaid. Target Price remains unchanged @ 199p (Adjusted for available cash) #PANR
Westside to the Eastside: The exploration success on the Westside of North Slope, mainly in Torok and Nanushuk formations, was due to fortuitous discoveries. These discoveries were linked to seismic anomalies, which led to more prospectivity in the area.
#PANR #PANR
The Eastside has key advantages, including proximity to Dalton Highway and the Trans Alaska Pipeline System. The Eastside also has a known world-class petroleum system, with Prudhoe Bay being the largest oil discovery in North America.
$PANR #PANR
Read 22 tweets
Jan 24
$PANR  At current pricing, the 'Alkaid' production stream would generate approximately $40,000 per day in gross revenue once facilities are installed to separate and capture the NGLs and condensate. #PANR
In order to demonstrate potential project economics, Pantheon has developed a conceptual development model for the Alkaid anomaly (not including the shallower Shelf Margin Deltaic ("SMD") formation which is also oil bearing) based upon .. $PANR #PANR
the actual flow rates (137.5 barrels per 1000 ft of unblocked wellbore - and for conservatism ignoring potential improvements to flow rate that may arise as the well cleans up beyond its present 40%) and actual hydrocarbon mix (oil, NGLs & condensate) detailed in its .. $PANR
Read 9 tweets
Aug 23, 2022
Theta West #1 Well - Independent Expert VAS 'Volatiles Analysis Service' Report Received 👀

Conclusions: Great Bear Pantheon's Theta West 1 drilled a world-class petroleum system comprised of...

$PANR #PANR
1) A 1,360 ft thick continuous column of oil-bearing cuttings. The actual length of the oil column is unquestionably greater than 1,360ft, as the base of the analyzed cuttings' oil column is the TD of the well, and the oil in the cuttings shows no sign of tapering off
$PANR #PANR
2) High quality oil of 37-39 degrees API gravity.

3) Abundant good quality reservoirs.

$PANR #PANR
Read 10 tweets
Aug 18, 2022
WHI View: "The successful casing of just over one mile of horizontal lateral represents, in our opinion, a significant achievement that essentially secures the well and thereby greatly reduces the operational risks to the well. " $PANR #PANR
"The well logs are again corroborating the geological and petrophysical (fluid) model of Pantheon Resources, which has largely been premised on the analysis of 3D seismic data. " $PANR #PANR
"In short, drilling operations have been successfully completed and the scene is now set to advance towards fracking and producing the well, with logs continuing to point towards a significant increase to the pre-drill oil in place and recoverable oil estimate." $PANR #PANR
Read 4 tweets
Aug 18, 2022
$PANR have drilled a 5,300ft lateral... What can we expect?
I anticipated that they would drill ~5,000ft in my previous write-up, here are some highlights...
“I expect that they aim for a middle-of-the-road estimate with 5000’ lateral for Alkaid-2.”  #PANR link.medium.com/5hJAyBMoAsb
I fit the below model to follow Tele’s 80% at 8,000’ lateral, he noted this represents the baseline and we could expect the results to be higher to an 80% probability. (See Below)

For modelling Alkaid-2 I will use 5000’ laterals, this gave us a EUR of 679mbo. $PANR #PANR
In modelling out Alkaid-2 I had several reference points, which unfortunately at times didn’t match up. Being that the data is not widely available, I had to make some judgement calls about what we should think is the most likely scenario. $PANR #PANR
Read 15 tweets
Aug 18, 2022
Alkaid #2 Well - Horizontal Lateral Target Depth Reached

Drilling operations at the Alkaid #2 horizontal well bore have now concluded, reaching a total measured depth of 14,300 feet ('ft') which includes a lateral length of 5,300 ft.
#PANR $PANR
A 5 ½ inch liner has been run, set, cemented at the bottom and tested for integrity. $PANR is extremely pleased that drilling of the lateral section was accomplished smoothly and without incident.

#PANR
As previously announced, future production wells will have a targeted lateral length of ~8000 ft. However, as this is #PANR first horizontal well on the NP, and to minimize operational risk and still deliver the production data needed to optimize development of the resource...
Read 10 tweets

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