The recent series of Russian attacks at Vuhledar are the case study on this.
With what assets are the Russians attacking with? Most of their professional army no longer exists. The replacement equipment is mostly de-mothballed 1960s and 1970s junk.
The extinction level 2/
...event that happened to the Russian Army artillery forward observer corps can't be fixed in this war.
That's one of the biggest reasons why the Russians are losing at least a thousand souls a day in the current attacks.
AFU being on the defensive now is utterly
3/
...consistent their "Death of a Thousand Cuts" anti-logistics strategy.
And by that I mean Putin's insistence on Russian Army attacks now is preventing a Russian Army build up of an artillery ammunition reserve against future events.
4/
The future event being the now certain Ukrainian operational level counter attacks in late Spring/Summer 2023 lead by a "Petting Zoo" of late Cold War NATO MBT designs.
There are none so blind as those who do not wish to see.
5/
Putin's Russia is playing the game card of "Push everywhere, something will break" in Ukraine.
The Russian Army, the fools.
6/6 End
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The highest single "Russian artillery shells in a day count" that Ukraine has provided in the current war for Russia is 65,000 shells in May 2022 as Siervodonesk & Lysychansk were over run.
AFU was only shooting about 1,000 shells a day at that time.
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AFU is currently shooting between 4,000 and 5,000 shells a day in all Ukraine.
The straight up change:
Russia is only shooting one shell a day in Bakhmut for every 13 it was firing in its May 2022 Siervodonesk & Lysychansk offensive.
This is a useful thread on artillery shell production by @noclador but it is lacking a human skills process step plus the Russian genocide & ethnic cleansing enabling effects of the Convention on Cluster Munitions (CCM) in Ukraine.
"It is also noted that due to the poor provision of winter uniforms, the number of Russian servicemen with signs of frostbite has increased significantly since January. In the healthcare facilities of Horlivka, Donetsk region, the number of patients with such...
2/5
... a diagnosis is up to 30% of all wounded."
This "30% of Russian wounded are frost bitten" percentage is consistent with the US Army January-February 1945 casualties in the Ardennes Campaign for the 1st, 3rd, & 9th Army counterattacks.
That radar corner reflector was attached to a weather balloon at Fort Worth Army Air Base on 07/11/1947, five days after the Roswell, NM, UFO incident.
In this role it is a weather radiosonde used to track the high altitude wind patterns with ground based radars.
2/6
The USA, Britain, Germany & Japan were using balloons in this way to track high altitude winds for military air operations.
Japan took this a few steps further.
They tethered balloon radar decoys to small rocks & islands in the Sough China Sea to Decoy 14th AF SB-24 bombers 3/6
"Ukrainian military estimates Russia already has 1,800 tanks, 3,950 armored vehicles, 2,700 artillery systems, 810 Soviet-era multiple rocket launch systems such as Grad and Smerch, 400 fighter jets, and 300 helicopters ready for the new wave of attacks
2/
And the NY Times even broke out this clickbait map of "The Great Donbas Encirclement" you have seen paid Pro-Russian energy creatures posting for the last year.