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Feb 16, 2023 โ€ข 3 tweets โ€ข 1 min read โ€ข Read on X
ICT GEM๐Ÿ’Ž

Understanding Intermediate Term Highs/Lows๐Ÿง โฌ‡๏ธ

-Every single time price rebalances an old imbalance, that swing high or low should be immediately labeled as an ITH/ITL

-If we break beneath an ITH/ITL, we have a significant break in market structure๐Ÿ‘๏ธ

#Tradingtips Image
ITHs/ITLs have TWO classifications:

1โƒฃ) ITH that has a lower STH to the left of it and lower STH to the right of it (flip logic around for ITL)

2โƒฃ)Trades back up to an imbalance to rebalance
$ES 15m

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More from @SirPickle_

Mar 8
๐—ง๐—ต๐—ถ๐˜€ ๐—ถ๐˜€ ๐˜๐—ต๐—ฒ ๐—ž๐—˜๐—ฌ ๐˜๐—ผ ๐—•๐—ถ๐—ฎ๐˜€๐Ÿ“ˆ

(Read until the end and Iโ€™ll DM you the FULL guide that changed my trading forever!)

A thread๐Ÿงต Image
๐—ง๐—ต๐—ฒ ๐—ณ๐—ถ๐—ฟ๐˜€๐˜ ๐˜€๐˜๐—ฒ๐—ฝ ๐˜๐—ผ ๐—ฏ๐—ฒ๐—ฐ๐—ผ๐—บ๐—ถ๐—ป๐—ด ๐—ฎ ๐—ต๐—ถ๐—ด๐—ต๐—ฒ๐—ฟ ๐˜๐—ถ๐—บ๐—ฒ๐—ณ๐—ฟ๐—ฎ๐—บ๐—ฒ (๐—›๐—ง๐—™) ๐—ฎ๐—ป๐—ฎ๐—น๐˜†๐˜€๐—ถ๐˜€ ๐—ฒ๐˜…๐—ฝ๐—ฒ๐—ฟ๐˜โ€ฆ 1๏ธโƒฃ

Scan the monthly, weekly, and daily for context aligned with HTF orderflow.

In my Summit Model, if I donโ€™t see the context on one of those three timeframes, I move to another pair.

This filters out the low-probability movements that can occur for several pairs.Image
๐—ข๐—ป๐—ฒ ๐—ผ๐—ณ ๐˜๐—ต๐—ฒ ๐—ฐ๐—ผ๐—บ๐—บ๐—ผ๐—ป ๐—ฝ๐—ฟ๐—ผ๐—ฏ๐—น๐—ฒ๐—บ ๐—œ ๐˜€๐—ฒ๐—ฒ ๐˜„๐—ถ๐˜๐—ต ๐—ผ๐˜๐—ต๐—ฒ๐—ฟ ๐˜๐—ฟ๐—ฎ๐—ฑ๐—ฒ๐—ฟ๐˜€ ๐—ถ๐˜€ ๐˜๐—ต๐—ฒ๐˜† ๐—ฟ๐˜‚๐˜€๐—ต ๐˜๐—ผ ๐˜๐—ต๐—ฒ ๐Ÿญ๐—บ ๐˜๐—ถ๐—บ๐—ฒ๐—ณ๐—ฟ๐—ฎ๐—บ๐—ฒ.โŒ

You are blindsiding yourself by not looking at the bigger picture.

Iโ€™ve done that before and Iโ€™m telling you, it wonโ€™t end well.

So let me repeat the reminder again: STOP rushing to the lower timeframes! Take a moment to analyze the higher timeframes first!Image
Read 9 tweets
Feb 28
Predicting the next candle is quite simple, actually.

(Stick around until the end and Iโ€™ll DM you some thing special)

A thread๐Ÿงต Image
First, letโ€™s define this simple and specific logic.๐Ÿง 

More specifically, the candlestick logic of bullish and bearish respect candles.

Respect candles are candles with a large wick and small body indicating a rejection off of a PD array. Image
These candles can help you see LTF orderflow๐Ÿ‘€

Price is fractal and with candlestick logic, we can then use one candle to view LTF price movements.

This candlestick logic gives you the birdโ€™s eye view of the asset that you are currently looking at.

For respect candles, see how after tapping into the premium/discount array, price immediately formed an impulse shift.Image
Read 10 tweets
Feb 21
๐—ฆ๐˜๐—ผ๐—ฝ ๐˜„๐—ฎ๐—ถ๐˜๐—ถ๐—ป๐—ด ๐—ณ๐—ผ๐—ฟ ๐— ๐—ฎ๐—ฟ๐—ธ๐—ฒ๐˜ ๐—ฆ๐˜๐—ฟ๐˜‚๐—ฐ๐˜๐˜‚๐—ฟ๐—ฒ ๐—ฆ๐—ต๐—ถ๐—ณ๐˜๐˜€ (๐— ๐—ฆ๐—ฆ) ๐—ฎ๐—ป๐—ฑ ๐—ฑ๐—ผ ๐—ง๐—›๐—œ๐—ฆ ๐—ถ๐—ป๐˜€๐˜๐—ฒ๐—ฎ๐—ฑโ€ฆ

At the end of this thread, youโ€™ll understand the SIMPLE entry model I used to gain over a million in prop funding.

A thread๐Ÿงต Image
๐—œ๐—ณ ๐˜†๐—ผ๐˜‚โ€™๐—ฟ๐—ฒ ๐—ป๐—ฒ๐˜„ ๐˜๐—ผ ๐—บ๐˜† ๐—ฐ๐—ผ๐—ป๐˜๐—ฒ๐—ป๐˜, ๐—œ ๐—ฎ๐—น๐˜„๐—ฎ๐˜†๐˜€ ๐—น๐—ผ๐—ผ๐—ธ ๐—ณ๐—ผ๐—ฟ ๐—ต๐—ถ๐—ด๐—ต๐—ฒ๐—ฟ ๐˜๐—ถ๐—บ๐—ฒ๐—ณ๐—ฟ๐—ฎ๐—บ๐—ฒ ๐—ฐ๐—ผ๐—ป๐˜๐—ฒ๐˜…๐˜ ๐—ถ๐—ป ๐—ฒ๐˜ƒ๐—ฒ๐—ฟ๐˜† ๐˜๐—ฟ๐—ฎ๐—ฑ๐—ฒ.โœŒ๏ธ

Price only does 2 things:

1. Seek Liquidity
2. Offer Fair Value

Understanding this will give you a simple and accurate view of market direction.Image
๐—ฆ๐—ถ๐—ป๐—ฐ๐—ฒ ๐˜†๐—ผ๐˜‚ ๐—ป๐—ผ๐˜„ ๐—ธ๐—ป๐—ผ๐˜„ ๐˜„๐—ต๐—ฎ๐˜ ๐—œ ๐—น๐—ผ๐—ผ๐—ธ ๐—ณ๐—ผ๐—ฟ ๐—ถ๐—ป ๐˜๐—ต๐—ฒ ๐—ต๐—ถ๐—ด๐—ต๐—ฒ๐—ฟ ๐˜๐—ถ๐—บ๐—ฒ๐—ณ๐—ฟ๐—ฎ๐—บ๐—ฒ๐˜€โ€ฆ๐Ÿ‘€

Letโ€™s focus on LTF entries. Specifically, Impulse shifts.

We want to use timeframe alignment given in the IRL โ†’ ERL video (link at the end of the thread)

Timeframe alignment allows us to trade with the HTF direction giving us a higher-probability intraday trades.Image
Read 11 tweets
Feb 14
๐—ฆ๐˜๐—ผ๐—ฝ ๐˜๐—ฎ๐—ธ๐—ถ๐—ป๐—ด ๐—น๐—ผ๐˜„-๐—ฝ๐—ฟ๐—ผ๐—ฏ๐—ฎ๐—ฏ๐—ถ๐—น๐—ถ๐˜๐˜† ๐˜๐—ฟ๐—ฎ๐—ฑ๐—ฒ๐˜€โŒ

The highest probability setups come when you ALIGN your trades with HTF ORDERFLOWโœ…

After reading this, youโ€™ll know what that looks like.

A thread๐Ÿงต Image
๐—™๐—ถ๐—ฟ๐˜€๐˜, ๐˜„๐—ต๐—ฎ๐˜ ๐—ถ๐˜€ ๐—ข๐—ฅ๐——๐—˜๐—ฅ๐—™๐—Ÿ๐—ข๐—ช?๐Ÿค”

Order flow can be seen through FAIR VALUE GAPS.

In Bullish Orderflow, Discount arrays are respected and Premium arrays are disrespected.

In Bearish Orderflow, Premium arrays are respected and Discount arrays are disrespected. Image
๐—ž๐—ฒ๐˜† ๐—ฐ๐—ผ๐—บ๐—ฝ๐—ผ๐—ป๐—ฒ๐—ป๐˜๐˜€ ๐—ผ๐—ณ ๐—ฎ๐—ป ๐—ข๐—ฅ๐——๐—˜๐—ฅ๐—™๐—Ÿ๐—ข๐—ช ๐—Ÿ๐—˜๐—š๐Ÿฆต

A high-probability price leg consists of a swing high, a fair value gap, and a swing low.

The FVG makes a price legs HIGH probability. It shows the INTENTION

Remember: A lack of a fair value gap in a price leg will result in a low-probability price leg.

(Meaning its unlikely to hold)

This is why I always demand a FVG.

Learn how to avoid low-probability conditions here: youtu.be/cz2s9QGuq1k?siโ€ฆImage
Read 9 tweets
Feb 6
๐—ง๐—ต๐—ถ๐˜€ ๐—ถ๐˜€ ๐—ต๐—ผ๐˜„ ๐—œ ๐—–๐—ข๐—ก๐—ฆ๐—œ๐—ฆ๐—ง๐—˜๐—ก๐—ง๐—Ÿ๐—ฌ ๐—ณ๐—ถ๐—ป๐—ฑ ๐—›๐—œ๐—š๐—› ๐—ฃ๐—ฅ๐—ข๐—•๐—”๐—•๐—œ๐—Ÿ๐—œ๐—ง๐—ฌ ๐—ฆ๐˜„๐—ถ๐—ป๐—ด ๐—ง๐—ฟ๐—ฎ๐—ฑ๐—ฒ๐˜€!๐Ÿ’Ž

After reading this thread, youโ€™ll know the EXACT high win rate approach I use to swing trade using my Summit Model.

A thread๐Ÿงต Image
If youโ€™ve been following me for a while, you know that all of my swing trades are almost identical to each other๐Ÿชž

I look for simple but high-probability (HP) signatures in price.

Thatโ€™s what youโ€™ll learn today. Image
๐—›๐—ฃ ๐—ฆ๐—ถ๐—ด๐—ป๐—ฎ๐˜๐˜‚๐—ฟ๐—ฒ #๐Ÿญ: ๐—›๐—ง๐—™ ๐—–๐—ผ๐—ป๐˜๐—ฒ๐˜…๐˜๐ŸŽฏ

Context is made up of two key components:

1. Narrative - tells you what price will use to go towards the target

2. Target - tells you where price is going

This is what I look for on the HTFs such as Monthly, Weekly, and Daily with the Daily being the minimum timeframe i demand for context.

No context, No trade.Image
Read 11 tweets
Jan 29
You keep losing money because you dont know what low probability conditions look like.

Lets change that today.

By the end of this thread you will know the 7 low probability conditions you need to avoid.

A Thread๐Ÿงต Image
Being a good and consistent trader means you know how to spot low-probability conditions๐Ÿ”

Not all IRLโ†’ERL setups are created equal.

You should be able to know the difference between low probability context and high probability context (IRLโ†’ERL)

This is where most traders fail, they think ever FVG is something to trade out of.

Ask yourself this: Where did price come from?

Did this FVG form in consolidation? If yes, AVOIDImage
Condition #1: Lack of Fair Value GapsโŒ

Fair Value Gaps show the marketโ€™s intention to go higher or lower.

It is a crucial part of determining the bias and the narrative and without it, it is likely to be a low-probability market condition.

REMEMBER: No FVGโ†’No Orderflowโ†’No direction.๐Ÿ’ŽImage
Read 11 tweets

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