You keep losing money because you dont know what low probability conditions look like.

Lets change that today.

By the end of this thread you will know the 7 low probability conditions you need to avoid.

A Thread🧵 Being a good and consistent trader means you know how to spot low-probability conditions🔍

Not all IRL→ERL setups are created equal.

You should be able to know the difference between low probability context and high probability context (IRL→ERL)

This is where most traders fail, they think ever FVG is something to trade out of.

Ask yourself this: Where did price come from?

Did this FVG form in consolidation? If yes, AVOID

Improve your win rate using CURRENCY FUTURES!💪

This is the secret to finding the best setups when trading forex

After you finish reading this thread and you'll know exactly how I use CURRENCY FUTURES (something most ppl dont know about)!

A thread🧵 First, let’s define what CURRENCY FUTURES are📝

Currency futures are simply the futures chart of specific currencies.

Their ticker symbol follow a simple format. An example of this is the Euro FX Futures Continuous Chart: 6E1!

Where the first letter of the asset is in between the 6 and 1!.

𝗬𝗼𝘂 𝗡𝗘𝗘𝗗 𝘁𝗼 𝗸𝗻𝗼𝘄 𝗮𝗯𝗼𝘂𝘁 𝗕𝗿𝗲𝗮𝗸𝗮𝘄𝗮𝘆 𝗚𝗮𝗽𝘀

The FVGs that stays open

After reading this thread, you’ll know exactly how to spot and capitalize on them 💰

A thread🧵 The key to understanding Breakaway Gaps (BAGs) are first knowing what are Fair value gaps (FVGs).

FVGs are 3 candle patterns where the wick of the first and third candle dont overlap.

Master the Most Powerful PD Array: Fair Value Gaps

By the end of this thread, you’ll unlock a deep understanding of how to use FVGs to level up your trading.

Let’s dive in 🧵 A fair value gap is simply the gap between 3 candles.

It signals DISPLACEMENT (an aggressive movement in price)

Displacement = Fair Value Gaps.

These displacements show us the INTENTION of price giving us the next likely direction it will trade in.

FVGs can be found on ay timeframes.

Combine it with ORDERFLOW and a proper understanding of timeframes and you will 10x your winrate.

Timeframes Are Everything⏰

Here’s how I use Timeframe Alignments with the help of my new indicator to hunt the HIGHEST probability setups🏹

A thread🧵 First, let’s understand timeframe alignments🧐

Timeframe alignment is key to identifying high-probability trades.

If you’ve been following me, you know that I start with the highest timeframe (Monthly) and begin looking for context there.

Trading is hard, but I made it 10x harder with these mistakes.

Here are the 5 worst trading mistakes I made—and the lessons that turned my game around.

A Thread.🧵 Mistake #1: Over leveraging

Early on, I thought bigger size = bigger wins.

Spoiler: it doesn't.

One bad trade wiped out weeks of progress.

Risking 5-10% per trade made me emotional and reckless.

Stick to 1-2% risk per trade. Staying small kept me in the game.

Focus on compounding capital to be able to take small risk and make big $.

NOT big risk to make big $.

Avoid these 3 COMMON trading pitfalls⚠️

After reading this thread, you’ll know why your trades keep failing.

A Thread🧵 Mistake #1: NOT understanding market context. 🙅‍♂️

This often happens to traders who forget to zoom out, trading against the higher timeframe trend without realizing it.

The HTF always rules. It is the stronger magnet for price.

Ex: If there is a HTF FVG below price, all LTF discount arrays above it are lower probability and expected to fail as price will seek the HTF imbalance.

Why did this 4h FVG fail?

I mentioned why I was avoiding it on yesterdays forecast... Here is the reason why ⬇️
(From Sundays Forecast)

This is my favorite way to identify reversals in the market!🔍

By the end of this thread, you’ll see how easy it is to trade reversals using IMPULSE SHIFTS!

A thread🧵 First, let’s define what an impulse shift is:

An impulse shift is simply a fair value gap displacing away from a HTF point of interest.

It is a V-shaped reversal that confirms that the orderflow is now shifting from a sell program to a buy program.

This simple strategy let me quit my 9-5 Job

By the end of this, you’ll know the foundations to my entire model!

A thread🧵 First, let’s talk about context.

Context is simply the movement from one PD array to another.

In the case of a Push context (IRL → ERL), the context range is from FVG to the Swing point.

In the case of a Pull context (ERL → IRL), the context range is from the Swing point to the FVG.

Switching from Forex to Futures?

This is your introduction to futures,

A guide to the “Gentlemen’s” market🥂

A Thread🧵 So what are futures and futures contracts?🤔

Futures are derivative assets wherein the value is tied to a certain asset.

Trading futures means that you’re just capitalizing on the price movements without actually owning the asset.

If you’re a US citizen trading futures, you get the advantage of tax benefits which is discussed in the YT video, below this thread.

The Simplest Way Of Looking At Candlesticks: OHLC/OLHC

This was a game-changer in my understanding of price movement!

After reading this, you'll see just how powerful the OHLC/OLHC concept really is in anticipating moves before they happen.

A Thread🧵 First, let’s define them properly.

As you can see, OLHC stands for Open, Low, High, and Close which is the movement of a bullish candle.

The understanding of power of 3 can be applied here.

If we are expecting the next candle to be bullish, it will almost always form like this:

Price accumulates in the open, then manipulates below opening price, and then distributes higher, and finally closes.

Unlock the secret to reading market strength like a pro:

Here’s how I use Smart Money Technique (SMT) to track relative strength between correlated assets—and nail the highest-probability setups before they unfold.

Let’s dive into the power of SMT.

A Thread 🧵 Remember what I taught you in my Unicorn video.

Price only reverses in two ways: Breaker swings and Failure swings.

This also applies in SMT, where we measure the pair’s strength, whether it is strong enough to take the liquidity or fail to do so.

We can then determine which pair to trade, depending on the market context.

Your FVGs Keep Failing. Here’s Why:

You’re trading at the wrong times. Killzones hold the secret to making your strategy click. Here’s how to use them properly.

A Thread 🧵👇 First, let’s define what a killzone is.

Killzone are specific periods during the trading day where volatility is typically higher.

Volatility brings energy, which brings displacement into the market creating high probability FVGs

This will always be ideal for scalpers and intraday traders.

Have you ever wondered how a candlestick forms and how it can help you determine direction?

Let’s talk about “Power of 3 (PO3)”: the logic behind candlestick creation.

A thread🧵 A candlestick has four parts.

The opening price, the high of the candle, the low of the candle, and the close of the candle.

On a bullish candle, it will always be Open, Low, High, Close.

On a bearish candle, it will always be Open, High, Low, Close.

The Most POWERFUL Trading Entry: The Unicorn Model🦄

This is a complete breakdown of what I look for DAILY in the futures market.

A thread🧵 First, we must understand that price only reverses in two ways.📉

Breaker swings and Failure swings.

What’s the difference?

A breaker swing takes liquidity before the reversal.

On the other hand, a failure swing fails to take the liquidity.

Everyone says that you should “trade with the trend”📈

But how can you trade with the trend? Simple.

You need to become a Higher Timeframe Analysis Expert.

A thread🧵 First, what does a higher timeframe (HTF) analysis expert do?🤔

They scan the monthly, weekly, and daily for context aligned with HTF order flow.

In my Swing system, if I don’t see the context on those three timeframes, I move to another pair.

This filters out the low-probability movements that can occur for several pairs.

Improve your trade entries using this SIMPLE entry model! 🎯

In this thread, I’ll break down my personal approach and show you how you can apply it to your trades.

A thread🧵 If you’ve been following me, you know that I always look for HTF context in every trade.

As I’ve said countless times before, price only does 2 things:

-Seek Liquidity
-Offer fair value

Understanding this will give you a simple and accurate view of market direction.

Want to learn more? Check out my video on IRL / ERL:

All my high-probability trades have this in common:

They are aligned with HTF Order Flow.

Apply this to your trading and watch your win rate rise✅

A Thread🧵 First, let’s define Order Flow 📝

Specifically, bullish and bearish order flow.

On a bullish order flow, discount arrays hold while premium arrays fail.

On a bearish order flow, discount arrays fail while premium arrays hold.

This is how I CONSISTENTLY find High Probability Swing Trades! 🔎💎

A Thread🧵 All swing trades have a common theme.

They all look similar to each other.

But what are those similarities? That’s what you’ll read about today⬇️

You lose money because you don’t understand low-probability conditions🎲

Here are 5 low-probability conditions you should know and avoid:

A thread🧵 The thing that holds many traders back is their inability to spot conditions that they shouldn’t be trading in.

They trade a pattern for the sake of trading a pattern and don’t factor in market conditions.

You ABSOLUTELY need to know how to spot low-probability conditions if you want to be a consistent trader.