Tomas Pueyo Profile picture
Feb 17, 2023 21 tweets 8 min read Read on X
Why are tropical waters so transparent?
Because they're dead.

This is connected to why some scientists fear global warming could make Europe *colder*

And freeze 80% of all humans above the 60th parallel:
First: Dead? How can tropical waters be dead? They're teeming with life! With corals, fish!

But that's just on the coast. In the middle of the ocean, they're dead. Why do you think the water is transparent? Because it has nothing swimming in it.
Transparent waters don't have much phytoplankton (the plants of the ocean) nor zooplankton (tiny animals who eat the phytoplankton), both of which are the bottom of the food chain in the ocean. No plankton, no animals.
This is a map of chlorophyll in the sea➡️where there's phytoplankton

What do you notice?
• Around the equator, it's dark blue. Desertic! No phytoplankton!
• A bit more color close to the coasts: That's what you see in tropical beaches
• But the life is far north or south!
Open oceans produce ~125g of biological mass per m2 and year. That's about the same as a normal desert
This = This
Have you seen documentaries about the sea? Where's all the hunting action? Always in cold regions. This is why: The food is in the north (or south)
Phytoplankton➡️Zooplankton➡️small fish➡️big fish

Why?
Phytoplankton is like plants. It needs sun and nutrients to grow. In the equator, you have plenty of sun... but no nutrients!

Why?

Nutrients slowly fall to the bottom of the sea. Currents from the bottom bring them back up. But around the equator, you don't have them. Why?
Because of the heat!

The sun in the equator heats the top of the ocean.
But hot water is denser than cold water: Heat means molecules have more energy, so they hit each other, and occupy more space. Hot things weight the same but take more volume➡️lighter
So surface water is hot➡️lighter➡️tries to go up
Deep water is cold➡️denser➡️falls down
They don't mix
This is called thermocline

Notice how cold water tries to go down and hot water remains at the top:
Because these waters don't mix, nutrients fall to the bottom of the ocean and don't go back up.
No nutrients➡️no phytoplankton➡️no animals

This doesn't happen in the north. Why?
In the north, there's less sun➡️water is colder at the top, nearly at the same temperature as in the bottom. There's no temperature difference (no "thermocline"), so water from the bottom can go up and bring nutrients with it. Phytoplankton blooms and feeds all sea animals.
This is why, for example, in the Baltic Sea you have "phytoplankton blooms", which turn the sea green.
This makes the Baltic a sea teeming with life and fish➡️food for ppl
But there's also another reason that makes the Baltic and neighboring areas welcoming: the Gulf Stream

Hot water goes up from the Caribbean towards Europe, making Europe warmer than it should be at that latitude
And that's why nearly all humans who live above the 60th parallel live in Northern Europe (and esp the Baltic): Iceland, Sweden, Norway, St Petersburg, and most of all, Finland (home to 1/3 ppl who live north of the 60th parallel)
Now we know why transparent, tropical waters are desertic, and why 75% of northerners live in this corner of the world. One question left: Why are scientists concerned that global warming might make Europe colder?

By interrupting the Gulf Stream.
There's something I didn't tell you yet
Hot water goes north and becomes cold. That makes it easier to mix. But it doesn't *force* it to mix. In fact, it does.

There are massive ocean convection currents that dive into the depths of the sea in huge "chimneys".

Why?
Salt.

In the equator, heat evaporates water from the top of the ocean. Some of that water rains back there, but a lot rains on continents, reducing the water vs salt. This hot water is salty.
In the north, there's little evaporation, but lots of rain, rivers, & ice melting. That dilutes the salt in the water

What's heavier: normal water, or normal water plus added salt?

The one with added salt, right?
So with equal temperatures, the saltier water, heavier, will fall
What if all of this stops?
What if melting the ice caps means a ton more cold water dropped in the ocean before it reaches Europe?
What if northern water becomes warmer?
With less fresh water in the arctic, will the chimneys still exist there?
Today, winds in the arctic hit mostly ice. But if the ice cap disappears, they will hit the sea, creating stronger currents. Will they affect the Gulf Stream?

We don't know.
Do we want to find out?
Let me know if I missed something. Otherwise, hope this was interesting! If it was, follow me for more. One of these a week or so.

Or better, join 50k ppl and sign up for the newsletter to not miss any of my articles. It's free!
unchartedterritories.tomaspueyo.com/subscribe

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More from @tomaspueyo

Nov 26
People think we must shrink the world's population to be happy, but they're wrong

A world with shrinking population would be decaying, poor, brutal, violent, hopeless

A world with 100 billion people would be dynamic, rich, innovative, peaceful, hopeful
🧵 Image
1. In the last 2 centuries, the world got better as the population exploded:
• Richer
• Live older
• Lower child mortality Image
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• Fewer homicides
• Fewer war deaths
• Fewer hours worked
• Lower share of poor people
And much more: fewer infections, diseases, accidents. More racial equality, sexual equality. Instant access to all the knowledge in the world. We can go anywhere, whenever we want... Image
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Read 17 tweets
Nov 19
We can raise our population on Earth from 8 billion to 100B humans if we want to

Would we starve?
Be too crowded?
Would pollution explode?
Ecosystems collapse?

No! Don't believe alarmist degrowthers. This is why they're wrong: 🧵 Image
Degrowthers put a label to "how many humans can the Earth sustain": carrying capacity

Their estimates vary wildly
Wait, what? What a surprise, the mode of their estimates is 8B—exactly the current number of ppl on Earth

WHAT A COINCIDENCE!Image
Or they lack imagination: OMG the Earth is already on the brink. Surely not one more soul fits here!

And then they try to find out what limits we might be hitting. Their most common fears are:
1. Room
2. Food
3. Water
4. Energy
5. Pollution
6. Resources
Let's look at each:
Read 20 tweets
Nov 13
Can desalinated water deliver a future of infinite water?
Yes!
• It's cheap
• It will get even cheaper
• Limited pollution
• Some countries already live off of it

We can transform deserts into paradise. And some countries are already on that path:🧵 Image
Crazy fact:
Over half of Israel's freshwater is desalinated from the Mediterranean!
And the vast majority of its tap water is desalinated too!
And it costs less than municipal water in a city like LA! Image
It's not the only country. Saudi Arabia is the biggest desalinator in the world. 50% of its drinking water is desalinated. It's 30% in Singapore, a majority of water in the UAE...

What if we applied this, but at scale across the world? Image
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President-elect @realDonaldTrump could own the environmentalists by solving global warming on his first day in office, and do it for 0.1% of current climate investments

Here's how: sulfate injection 🧵 Image
1. GLOBAL WARMING
2024 is the 1st year we pass 1.5ºC above pre-industrial levels
This is caused by CO2
Some side-effects of this CO2 are good, but it's undeniable that the planet is warming fast, and it could create some nasty pbms Image
1. GLOBAL WARMING
2024 is the 1st year we pass 1.5ºC above pre-industrial levels
This is caused by CO2
Some side-effects of this CO2 are good, but it's undeniable that the planet is warming fast, and it could create some nasty pbms
Read 18 tweets
Nov 9
Should you be able to experiment on your own cancer?

This expert virologist did. It was the 3rd time her cancer appeared. It didn't bode well. So she injected viruses in her tumor and it shrunk.

But most journals didn't want to publish her results. Why? Because they're dumb 🧵
Beata Halassy got cancer in 2016, then again in 2018, and again in 2020. That looked awfully bad. She knew if she continued in the traditional route, her cancer might eventually prevail. So she decided to try what she knew about: viruses Image
Here's the theory:
1. Select a virus that is likely to attack your target cancer cells
2. Because cancer cells neutralize the immune system, they're more likely to be killed by viruses than healthy cells
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Now that Starship can land, it's ready to go to Mars in 2026

Why then?
How will it go?
Why don't we need a Moon station for pit stops?
When will humans go?
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1. Why 2026?
As the Sun travels through space, its planets follow it
The Earth takes one year to orbit the Sun
Mars is farther away, and takes nearly two years
This means the 2 planets get close by every ~26 months
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