Why are tropical waters so transparent?
Because they're dead.
This is connected to why some scientists fear global warming could make Europe *colder*
And freeze 80% of all humans above the 60th parallel:
First: Dead? How can tropical waters be dead? They're teeming with life! With corals, fish!
But that's just on the coast. In the middle of the ocean, they're dead. Why do you think the water is transparent? Because it has nothing swimming in it.
Transparent waters don't have much phytoplankton (the plants of the ocean) nor zooplankton (tiny animals who eat the phytoplankton), both of which are the bottom of the food chain in the ocean. No plankton, no animals.
This is a map of chlorophyll in the sea➡️where there's phytoplankton
What do you notice?
• Around the equator, it's dark blue. Desertic! No phytoplankton!
• A bit more color close to the coasts: That's what you see in tropical beaches
• But the life is far north or south!
Open oceans produce ~125g of biological mass per m2 and year. That's about the same as a normal desert
This = This
Have you seen documentaries about the sea? Where's all the hunting action? Always in cold regions. This is why: The food is in the north (or south)
Phytoplankton➡️Zooplankton➡️small fish➡️big fish
Why?
Phytoplankton is like plants. It needs sun and nutrients to grow. In the equator, you have plenty of sun... but no nutrients!
Why?
Nutrients slowly fall to the bottom of the sea. Currents from the bottom bring them back up. But around the equator, you don't have them. Why?
Because of the heat!
The sun in the equator heats the top of the ocean.
But hot water is denser than cold water: Heat means molecules have more energy, so they hit each other, and occupy more space. Hot things weight the same but take more volume➡️lighter
So surface water is hot➡️lighter➡️tries to go up
Deep water is cold➡️denser➡️falls down
They don't mix
This is called thermocline
Notice how cold water tries to go down and hot water remains at the top:
Because these waters don't mix, nutrients fall to the bottom of the ocean and don't go back up.
No nutrients➡️no phytoplankton➡️no animals
This doesn't happen in the north. Why?
In the north, there's less sun➡️water is colder at the top, nearly at the same temperature as in the bottom. There's no temperature difference (no "thermocline"), so water from the bottom can go up and bring nutrients with it. Phytoplankton blooms and feeds all sea animals.
This is why, for example, in the Baltic Sea you have "phytoplankton blooms", which turn the sea green.
This makes the Baltic a sea teeming with life and fish➡️food for ppl
But there's also another reason that makes the Baltic and neighboring areas welcoming: the Gulf Stream
Hot water goes up from the Caribbean towards Europe, making Europe warmer than it should be at that latitude
And that's why nearly all humans who live above the 60th parallel live in Northern Europe (and esp the Baltic): Iceland, Sweden, Norway, St Petersburg, and most of all, Finland (home to 1/3 ppl who live north of the 60th parallel)
Now we know why transparent, tropical waters are desertic, and why 75% of northerners live in this corner of the world. One question left: Why are scientists concerned that global warming might make Europe colder?
By interrupting the Gulf Stream.
There's something I didn't tell you yet
Hot water goes north and becomes cold. That makes it easier to mix. But it doesn't *force* it to mix. In fact, it does.
There are massive ocean convection currents that dive into the depths of the sea in huge "chimneys".
Why?
Salt.
In the equator, heat evaporates water from the top of the ocean. Some of that water rains back there, but a lot rains on continents, reducing the water vs salt. This hot water is salty.
In the north, there's little evaporation, but lots of rain, rivers, & ice melting. That dilutes the salt in the water
What's heavier: normal water, or normal water plus added salt?
The one with added salt, right?
So with equal temperatures, the saltier water, heavier, will fall
What if all of this stops?
What if melting the ice caps means a ton more cold water dropped in the ocean before it reaches Europe?
What if northern water becomes warmer?
With less fresh water in the arctic, will the chimneys still exist there?
Today, winds in the arctic hit mostly ice. But if the ice cap disappears, they will hit the sea, creating stronger currents. Will they affect the Gulf Stream?
I respect @BillAckman a lot but I think he's wrong on @Uber. AFAIK his bear case on robotaxis: 1. Not great for bad weather 2. Too expensive to cover peak demand 3. Less utilization because of food delivery 4. They can't disintermediate Uber
1. Not great for bad weather
This is a @Waymo driving in rain—the worst they'll ever be! They already have ~10x fewer accidents than humans. Maybe in the short term humans are going to be better in some really bad weather, but those are short-term exceptions
2. Robotaxis will be too expensive to cover peak demand
This is ptrobably true for Waymo but not @Tesla's @robotaxi, for 2 reasons:
a. Cybercab costs will be the same order of magnitude as normal ICE cars
The Model 3 costs ~$40-$45k, but the Cybercab will have 60% fewer parts: steering wheel, pedals, steering column, backseats, backdoors, side-window mirrors, rear window... Let's assume this will bring the cost down to $30-$35k
Add to that the new manufacturing process that treats Tesla's Cybercabs not as cars, but as electronics. They will be able to produce a car every 5s. This will further reduce their price
Compare that to the price of a car for Uber, which today is between $25k-$60k
Never bet against the US:
Ppl think its biggest strength is its institutions, the dollar, entrepreneurship... But one of its biggest assets is its geography 🧵
1. Size
The US is the 4th largest country. It spans an entire continent, reaches two oceans, and is big enough to be a geographic heavyweight in the world
2. The Mississippi Basin
It's the 4th largest drainage basin in the world and occupies 40% of the contiguous 48 US states, touching 32 of the US’s 50 states. 11 US states directly take their name from it.
Climate caused the US Civil War, because: 1. Slavery was the main cause of the war 2. Different crops were the main cause of slavery 3. Climate caused different crops in the North vs South
This is terribly important to understand the US today and how to heal it
🧵
1. Slavery was the main cause of the war: the Abolitionist North & the Slavery South were competing to expand westward to increase their political influence
But the North grew & expanded faster, to a point where it could force abolition on the South, which then seceded
In 1790, the Free & Slave states had the same population, and there were many more Slave States (8 vs 5), so Slave States controlled the Senate.
By the eve of the war in 1860, the North had 50% more population and 4 more states, giving them control of both the House & Senate
Moscow is one of the weirdest capitals:
• Biggest European city
• Extremely cold
• Little farmland
• To Russia's extreme west
• Not on a coast or main river
How did it create the biggest country on Earth?
It involves horse archers, human harvesting & tiny animals 🧵
The first shocking fact is that Russia is so far north it's at the edge of arable land. How can you create a capital with so little food? Why not in the middle of the most fertile area on Earth?
This far north is extremely cold
Moscow is the 3rd coldest capital in the world and by far the biggest: with 20M ppl, its metro population is 8x bigger than the 2nd biggest cold capital, Stockholm!
This map tells you how a seemingly innocent difference, like wheat vs rice eating, can have dramatic political, economic, and cultural ramifications:
🧵
The areas that harvest wheat vs rice are different. Why?
Because of climate
Rice needs heat and lots of water. Ideally, flooding the fields to also kill weeds. Rice dies with frost.
Wheat resists it well, prefers cooler temperatures, but dies when it's flooded
Did you know the West's trade deficits to China are not recent, but started 2000 years ago? This is the story of how silk, porcelain, tea, opium, and silver have determined the history of the world 🧵
The Romans already complained about deficits to China! Mainly because of silk
Back then the Chinese already preferred manufacturing and selling products than consuming foreign products. Chronicler Solinus ~200 AD: The Chinese "prefer only to sell their products, but do not like to buy our goods."