Steffan Watkins Profile picture
Feb 19 β€’ 5 tweets β€’ 4 min read
Gripe:
The CAF display poor situational awareness re public visibility of πŸ‡¨πŸ‡¦ #RCAF aircraft.

Examples:
- #14WingGreenwood deployments to Keflavik
- #19WingComox #OpCARIBBE Jan/Feb 2023
- #CANSOFCOM ISR over #Ottawa Jan 27/28 2022
- Withdrawal x2 CC-130J from #OpIMPACT Aug 2022
What about #14WingGreenwood deployments to Keflavik?

It's only a matter of time before the CP-140 Aurora deployments to Keflavik, that coincide with Russian Navy movements through the GIUK gap, get traction in the press.

They pretend it's not happening. We see them. πŸ€¦β€β™‚οΈ
What about the #19WingComox #OpCARIBBE Jan/Feb 2023 operation?

They pretended the press couldn't see it happening and wouldn't talk about it like it was some secret operation. Au contraire, it was so visible I live-tweeted it.

What about #CANSOFCOM ISR over #Ottawa Jan 27/28 2022?

They can take out a bad guy at 2km, but don't ask them to hide ISR operations. MAG Aerospace arriving on Tuesday and out on Saturday was not training, but they got the PM to lie for them in the HoC, which was impressive.
What about the withdrawal x2 CC-130J from #OpIMPACT Aug 2022?

They silently, but visibly, withdrew 2 of 4 overseas Hercs, then got the press to publish their praise of adding a third to their overseas deployments, which was a net reduction, but the press didn't print that.
Bravo

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More from @steffanwatkins

Feb 20
Here's a way you may not have looked at the data #ADSBexchange gives you.

Planes using ADS-B transmit their precise location (lat/lon/alt/speed/etc) but planes using Mode-S need to be geolocated using multilateration (MLAT). like TRIangulation, but with 4 data points (Multi) 🧡
Here is an image (and link) representing *only* planes being geolocated using MLAT. Meaning, 4 or more #ADSBexchange receivers have them in line-of-sight (LOS); 10 of them.

inaccurate.adsbexchange.com/?filterSources… Image
Here is the same area, showing you what aircraft transmitting Mode-S are not being geolocated, meaning 4 #ADSBexchange receivers do not have these planes in LOS; 81 of them.

inaccurate.adsbexchange.com/?filterSources… Image
Read 8 tweets
Feb 15
πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ People stop me on the street all the time and ask me, Stef, how can you tell where in the United States there are too few #ADSBexchange receivers to geolocate aircraft that aren't broadcasting their precise location data using multilateration (#MLAT)?
Great question!
Here's what you do:
filter by altitude, between 10,000-40,000 ft, that restricts the results to aircraft which are flying high enough that we should home four or more receivers are in line of sight, a requirement for #MLAT.
Then filter so you only see the Mode-S-transponder-transmitting aircraft
Read 9 tweets
Feb 14
πŸ‡¨πŸ‡¦ #RCAF CC-177 Globemaster III (4/5, 80% βœ…)

β€£ 177701 flew from Trenton to Ottawa to Whitehorse on 2023-02-12 presumably related to the 🎈
β€£ 177704 seems to be out of comission at #CFBTrenton, it hasn't flown in over a month.

globe.adsbexchange.com/?icao=c2b3ff,c…
#8WingTrenton #429Sqn Image
πŸ‡¨πŸ‡¦ #RCAF CC-150 Polaris (4/5, 80% βœ…)

β€£ 15002 is still going through some stuff at Mirabel, possibly out of commission for months.

globe.adsbexchange.com/?icao=c2b355,c…
#437Sqn #8WingTrenton Image
πŸ‡¨πŸ‡¦ #RCAF CC-144C/D Challenger (4/4, 100% βœ…)

β€£ 144618 may be out for maintenance. They haven't flown in just ten days, but the pace of the rest is frantic.

globe.adsbexchange.com/?icao=c2b369,c…
#412Sqn #8WingTrenton Image
Read 12 tweets
Feb 2
Let me understand this really well, πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡ΈπŸ‡¨πŸ‡¦ #NORAD QRA fighters didn't shoot down the πŸ‡¨πŸ‡³ Chinese spy balloon in American, then Canadian, then American airspace? πŸ˜‚

YOU HAD ONE JOB.

πŸ€¦β€β™‚οΈ
They flew right through the #ADIZ that the media get their bloomers in a bunch about when the Russians fly antiques through, and VIOLATED American and Canadian airspace, which the Russians never do, and the Chinese continue to do; did I get that right? What a bunch of bullsh!t.
I suspect the #USAF are flying their own spy drones over China on the regular, without the public's knowledge, in full view of the Chinese military, and they're terrified the Chinese will start shooting them out of the sky if they shoot down the balloon.
Read 31 tweets
Feb 1
"The operation involved (...) supporting and operating four F-35s, three CF-18s, four KC-135s, one CC-150, one E-3, and one CH-149."

Okay, let's add them up. 🧡
πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ #USAF E-3 Sentry 83-0009 #AE11F2 #CACHE50

Flights identified using #ADSBexchange
2023-01-18
2023-01-19

dvidshub.net/image/7608860/…
πŸ‡¨πŸ‡¦ #RCAF CC-149 Cormorant 149902 #C2B107 deployed from #14WingGreenwood on 2023-01-11, headed to to Iqaluit, in preparation for #NORAD Operation #NobleDefender.

The operation was from the 15th to the 31st, true, but preparations started before that.
Read 4 tweets
Jan 13
πŸ‡¨πŸ‡¦ Here's the distribution of the Canadian-registered Top Aces Alpha Jet fleet. I took the superset of everything registered to them, worked back to 2022-09-01, identified everything that's flown in that time, and flagged those that haven't flown in a month+. Image
πŸ‡¨πŸ‡¦ CFB Cold Lake (4)
πŸ‡¨πŸ‡¦ CFB Bagotville (5)
πŸ‡¨πŸ‡¦ Halifax (1)
πŸ‡©πŸ‡ͺ Fliegerhorst Nordholz (2)
(+5 haven't flown in over a month)

The idea is, if they haven't flown in over a month, they may be going through some maintenance; or not, I can't tell. πŸ€·β€β™‚οΈ
What's this good for? If you follow Top Aces fighters, you follow where Canadian Forces training is being performed. 🍿
Read 5 tweets

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