This made me gasp.

Of course I knew that rock falls pose a hazard in earthquakes, but I've never seen anything like this.

But wait - that huge rock was there *before* the earthquake.



#TurkeySyriaEarthquake

1/
This photo from Google Earth from 2008 shows the big rock, but uncracked. Did it crack in the earthquake? Maybe, I don't know.

2/

lh5.googleusercontent.com/p/AF1QipPPHvsy… Image
The location is close to the fault that slipped, and there must have been many rock falls both in the earthquake and in the past - perhaps in past earthquakes!

3/
Some of the landslides in the Feb 6 earthquakes are huge.

This drone footage illustrates how a landslide can completely obliterate a road - critical infrastructure needed to supply aid.

4/

In the preceding video you can see that water has started to collect behind the landslide. Landslide dams pose a flood risk: as water starts to percolate through the loose material, the "dam" can fail suddenly, leading to flooding downstream.

5/
Earthquake-triggered landsliding may be a "secondary" hazard of earthquakes, but can be widespread & devastating. Here you can see before (bottom) and after (top) satellite images from the 2008 M7.9 Wenchuan earthquake, China. (Red = vegetation)

6/

earthobservatory.nasa.gov/images/8788/si… Image
Here is water that collected behind one of those dams, putting already damaged areas at risk of flooding.

Areas below had to be evacuated, and the dams blasted.

(2008 Wenchuan earthquake, China)

7/

earthobservatory.nasa.gov/images/8765/la… Image
My apologies for double-posting; I initially had not realized that the rock in the first video pre-dated the earthquake and did not want to perpetuate that impression.

Thanks to @PulsarWX for sharing these videos with me.

8/end

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More from @JudithGeology

Feb 21
After the Feb 6 earthquakes in Turkey, and the aftershock yesterday, a lot of people are asking: "What about Cyprus?"

I don't have answers, but I have some thoughts.

1/
The fault system that slipped in the M7.8 on Feb 6 was the East Anatolian Fault (EAFZ). This fault zone goes offshore around the city of Samandag - which was just hit by a M6.4 earthquake yesterday: an aftershock of the Feb 6 events.

Map from: researchgate.net/publication/35…

2/ Image
Typically, faults at the ends of an earthquake rupture are stressed by the earthquake and more likely to produce new earthquakes afterwards. This is consistent with yesterday's aftershock.

And it raises the question: what about the fault system offshore?

3/
Read 12 tweets
Feb 20
The Turkish seismic catalog shows two large aftershocks today (M6.4 and M5.8) but the USGS only has one (M6.3). Why?

1/
According to the Turkish catalog, the earthquakes occurred 3 minutes apart.

These earthquakes were identified using the Turkish seismic network, which densely covers all of Turkey.

deprem.afad.gov.tr/event-catalog

2/ Image
USGS events use a broader but sparser network of seismometers around the world.

Shaking reverberates for awhile, so likely the M5.8 signal arrived at these stations while they were still shaking from the M6.4.

3/

earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/ma… Image
Read 4 tweets
Feb 20
USGS PAGER has updated its damage and fatality estimates.

I hope that they are wrong.

earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/ev… Image
This update reflects an improved understanding of how much shaking was generated - now they estimate that >400k people experienced intensity VIII (severe) shaking.

It is normal for PAGER estimates to update over time as new data comes in.
This estimate probably does not take into account the fact that many people are living outside of buildings, for instance in tents. I am hopeful that this could have reduced deaths.

Staying out of buildings after an earthquake is very important due to the risk of aftershocks.
Read 4 tweets
Feb 20
There has been another large aftershock in Turkey - a M6.3.

1/

earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/ev…
The location is consistent with known faults that experienced positive stress changes, including the Hatay-Cyprus arc and the Dead Sea Fault.

2/

This event is much much smaller than the first earthquake - the emitted energy is <1%. But it is likely to have caused fatalities.

3/end

earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/ev… Image
Read 7 tweets
Feb 20
Are you a scientist who wants to do more to communicate after a disaster - but afraid of saying the wrong thing?

Here are my guiding principles.

🧵
1) It's not about you. You may feel like you have to talk about how terrible you feel - but trust me, your feelings pale in comparison to those of the affected people. You do not need to talk about your feelings. But...
2) Don't use words that express happiness. Yes, your results may be important, but now is not the time to use words like "amazing," "awesome," "impressive," "exciting," etc. If a word has multiple meanings ("awesome") some people will read it the way you did not intend.
Read 11 tweets
Feb 19
Wondering about Istanbul? Me too.

What are the best seismic hazard maps for the city of Istanbul that take into account not just proximity to the North Anatolian Fault, but also soil amplification/resonance?

1/
Based on Turkey's national hazard map, in Istanbul, the S areas are closer to the fault & therefore considered higher risk.

It's not a perfect correlation; the maps probably take account the shear wave speed of shallow sediments.

2/

mdpi.com/2073-445X/11/1… Image
Seismic wave speeds may not be enough. A suburb of Istanbul, experienced site amplification due to resonance in the 1999 Izmit earthquake.

3/

Study available here: researchgate.net/publication/22… Image
Read 5 tweets

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