“Lithuania’s foreign minister says Munich Security Conference #MSC2023 reinforced some of his worries about the thinking of Western countries.” politico.eu/article/west-m…
2/ #MSC2023 “reinforced rather than eased some of his anxieties—as well as those of his Baltic compatriots—re the staying power of all 🇺🇦’s Western partners…bc ever since Putin launched his invasion—despite [support]— allies haven’t really agreed on any clear war aims.”
3/“🇺🇦…has been consistent about theirs—the restoration of all sovereign territory including Crimea, 🇷🇺war reparations & security guarantees. But in April and May, Macron & Scholz & then Italian Prime Minister Mario Draghi all floated ceasefire balloons.”
4/“Macron & Scholz have since hardened their talk…
Yet peace balloons still continue to be floated, even more surreptitiously than China’s spy blimps.”
5/ “during a similarly fateful Feb in 1941, Churchill gave a take-stock speech…noting that ‘In wartime, there is a lot to be said for the motto: ‘Deeds, not words.’
🇬🇧had been receiving some military aid from🇺🇸 at the time, & much like 🇺🇦today, it was on a just-in-time basis…”
6/“When USSR broke up, there were leaders in the West urging the Baltics & 🇺🇦 not to declare independence…“People were so afraid, they couldn’t imagine a world without the USSR”
And likewise, some now worry about the repercussions of the war leading to turbulence inside 🇷🇺…
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“Scholz raised expectations that he would revitalize 🇩🇪’s beleaguered armed forces, announcing a dramatic shift in defense policy and a special fund of 100 bn €
Instead, 🇩🇪donations to 🇺🇦have further diminished supplies of its long-neglected armed forces” washingtonpost.com/world/2023/02/…
2/ “As months have passed, more than 10% of the special 100 billion-€ fund for the military has been lost to inflation & interest payments. And even a Bundeswehr wish list derived from before the war remains unfulfilled.”
3/ “A promise to dedicate at least 2% of the country’s gross domestic product to defense — ‘now, year after year,’ Scholz had said — has been pedaled back. The government aims to meet the 2% target in the next ‘few years,’ Pistorius said.”
2/ “But look at it historically: Feb 2022, it was said: if you deliver weapons, there will be nuclear war. What happened? Nothing. May 2022 it was said: If you deliver artillery, there will be nuclear war. What happened? Nothing…
3/…Sept 2022: If you don't stop this initiative right now, we're going to have nuclear war. What happened? Nothing.
If you look to 🇬🇧, to 🇵🇱, to the Baltic States, there are none of these discussions….
1/ Biden’s trip to 🇺🇦is a demonstration of a thoughtful clear eyed strategy
Insightful from @anneapplebaum
“The president’s surprise visit sent a message to Moscow—and to European leaders.”
2/ This isn’t a President concerned with one-upmanship or photo ops, but rather with foreign policy & international relations — the big picture & the details on all fronts.
3/ 🇺🇦is fighting a war of attrition on multiple fronts from the battlefield to the psychological
2/ This looks a lot like the Biden administration has understood the leadership shift in Europe — that thoughtful, values-based leadership is moving from “Old Europe” to the East and North
If so that would be an encouraging development …
3/ Thank you @djrothkopf for highlighting the White House statement above
“It’s gotten cold in Europe, the economy is tanking & the natives are getting restless. There’s only one answer: Blame America” politico.eu/article/eu-us-…
2/ “Pointing across the Atlantic has long been a favorite diversionary tactic for Europe’s political elites when things start to get dicey on the Continent
Whether it’s the war in 🇺🇦(🇺🇸 shouldn’t have expanded NATO), natural disasters (too many 🇺🇸SUVs fueling climate change)…
3/…or the demise of French as a lingua franca (cultureless Hollywood), America is inevitably the culprit”
Politico’s new German owner Mathias Dopfner has a ‘contrarian’ plan for American media
Mathias Döpfner has global ambitions for what he calls a more ‘nonpartisan’ kind of journalism — even as his own politics are hard to pin down
Döpfner to closest colleagues:
“Do we all want to get together for an hour in the morning on November 3 and pray that Donald Trump will again become president of the United States of America?“
“‘No American administration in the last 50 years has done more’ Döpfner concluded.
Ask about the email, Döpfner initially responded with a forceful denial…”