1/ Analysis of over around 120,000 thousand tweets on the hashtag #15minutecities and '15 minute cities' highlights clear polarisation on the topic with little 'mixing'. As others have pointed out, a fairly obvious right-wing and conspiracy orientated cluster are promoting it
2/ As you can see on the left, the amount of people promoting the conspiracy is huge. There is little interaction between those people and those debunking the conspiracy. The density of the cluster on the left indicates a fairly intense filter bubble
3/ Top tweets. The largest promoters of the conspiracy theory are dubious. The most retweeted was @ChildrensHD , an anti-vaccine propaganda outfit who have previously been accused of targeting black Americans with disinfo to promote vaccine hesitancy > npr.org/sections/healt…
4/ The second most retweeted (promoting the same video) was @hugh_mankind - another Twitter Blue subscriber and anti-globalist disinfo/propaganda account. Ostensibly Canadian, certainly sketch. The third most retweeted was a 100% real person @davidkurten - a British politician
5/ and anti globalist. Disinfluencer (regular spreader of disinfo) and scaremonger @LozzaFox was also a popular retweeter of 15 minute city alarmism. Of course @jordanbpeterson has opportunistically jumped on the bandwagon to talk about the 'globalist agenda'.
6/ Analysis of the bios of the accounts reveals one of the most common words is 'anti' - (common in these kind of polarisation-style 'far left or right' and/or agitprop accounts). 'Anti-woke' is a very common phrase, as is 'anti-World Economic Forum' and anti globalist
7/ Again the bios indicate a conservative, Christian, nationalistic bent to those promoting the conspiracies and disinfo about 15 minute cities. I was surprised to see how many people had 'No DMs' in their bio > at least 263
8/ An oddity. An analysis of account creation date shows some strange anomalies in Oct and April 2022 when a seemingly large number of accounts were created in a very short time span (over 1600 in just 4 days). (average accounts created per day is just 12).
9/ These anomalies become more clear if you redraw the graph by day instead of month. It's quite a striking finding. Interestingly, I have seen a number of these accounts also spreading disinfo about the #TurkeySyriaEarthquake
11/ My sense is that while there are clearly many real people who believe and share these conspiracies, there's a world of sketchy accounts who seem to want to promote division and polarisation. Before it was brexit, then vaccines, and why not 15 minute cities now...
12/ Should there are dozens of top influencers on this. I just pulled up some of the most retweeted but happy to answer questions
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1/ 🧵This graph shows X posts by impressions in the first six hours after the Magdeburg attack. Specifically these are posts falsely attributing the attack to an Islamist terror attack or a Syrian, or using it as an opportunity to attack immigration or muslims #disinformation
2/ The usual suspects are there - that is, the anti-Islam disinfluencers (routine spreaders of disinformation). As you can see, one of the most widely viewed is @visegrad24 - who shared at least 6 posts falsely claiming the attacker was an Islamist
3/ The posts falsely claiming that the attacker was a Muslim or Islamist gained at least 38,000,000 views. False claims that he was Syrian resulted in around 8.4million views (remember this is just an approx 6 hour period).
🧵1/ I analysed the headline and lead paragraph of 536 English news articles including the terms "Maccabi" + "Amsterdam" and classified them using Claude 3.5 Sonnet to determine how many framed Israelis as victims or non-Israelis as primary victims (as well as both).
2/ The results are fairly striking. 65% of articles frame Israelis as the victim, while only 5% frame Non-Israelis as victims. 24% are neutral while 9% framed both groups as victims. Quite clear the media emphasised violence as anti-Israeli and antisemitic, especially early on
3/ There isn't much evidence too of corrective framing at this point, although a small increase in neutral framing a week after the incident. Israeli victimhood was categorised as emphasis of violence initiated by non-Israelis, and focus on anti-Israeli or antisemitic violence
🧵 1/ Part of understanding what is going on in Amsterdam is also to understand the coordinated anti-Arab, anti-Muslim and anti-immigrant campaigns run with huge amounts of money targeting Europe. Here's a short private Eye article about an investigation I did with @SohanDsouza
2/ Here's a write-up by @karamballes on the campaign in @BylineTimes "Disinformation Campaign on Social Media Reached More Than 40 Million People – but Meta ‘Alarmingly’ Hasn't Revealed the Culprits' bylinetimes.com/2024/08/30/qat…
@karamballes @BylineTimes 3/ ...How a covert influence campaign helped Europe’s far right
Our findings about the shadowy multi-platform operation attacking Qatar and stoking Islamophobia to further its far-right agenda in Europe and beyond call for immediate action. aljazeera.com/opinions/2024/…
🧵🚨1/ This is nuts. After mysteriously deleting a package covering the Amsterdam protests, Sky News have put up a new version. The new version completely changes the thrust to emphasise that the violence was antisemitic. See the opening screenshot change below
2/Even the tweet accompanying the video has changed. It has explicitly shifted from mentioning anti-Arab slogans to removing the phrase "anti-Arab" and using antisemitism. It also removes mention of vandalism by Israeli fans. An extremely clear editorial shift!
3/ They have also inserted into the video, right after the opening footage of Dutch Prime Minister condemning antisemitsm. This was not in the original video.
1/ If you break down the BBC's live reporting of what happened in Amsterdam, you can see the disproportionate attention it pays to Maccabi fans and Israelis as victims, with far less attention paid to the actions of Maccabi fans. Here are the sources interviewed.
2/ In terms of mentions of Arab, Dutch or other Ajax fans, there is very little emphasis on Arab safety, with the majority of coverage focused on Maccabi fans as victims. There are vox pops with fans, but very little interaction with non-Maccabi people.
3/ The language used to describe the attacks on the Maccabi fans is also much stronger, ranging from pogroms to brutal and shocking. Similar terms aren't use for the anti-Arab racism.
🚨1/ This New York Times piece is wild. Let's go through it.
Firstly, the lede is an emphasis that attacks in Amsterdam were based on antisemitism, yet it cites no evidence of this, but DOES cite evidence of anti-Arab chants.
2/ The claims of antisemitism are based primarily on the Prime Minister of the Netherlands, who tweeted that the attacks were antisemitic. Note - the Dutch Prime Minister didn't call out anti-Arab or anti-Palestinian racism from Maccabi fans.
3/ The piece links to an Amsterdam police statement to talk about the violence - although the police statement doesn't mention anything about antisemitism.