Kupyansk-Svatove
The AFU repulsed attacks in the area of Masyutivka and Nevske. Smaller positional battles and probing attacks along the frontline.
Kreminna-Siversk
The AFU repulsed attacks in the area of Serebryansk Forestry Bilohorivka, Spirne. RU MoD mentioned shelling UA close to Dibrova and Kuz'myne which means the frontline have not moved significantly.
Bakhmut
The AFU repulsed attacks in the area of Fedorivka, Berkhivka, Ivanivske, Orihovo-Vasylivkam and Bakhmut.
Berkhivka and Yahidne are most likely captured by the Russians.
Russian Crybar claim the capture of Dubovo-Vasylivka but no evidence provided.
Ukrainian think tank "CDS" stated the RU forces around Bakhmut amount to:
28000 soldiers
130 tanks
320 IFVVs
160 barrel artillery
80 MLRS
They also state RU forces have rotated troops during the last week.
Donetsk
The AFU repulsed attacks in the area of Pivnichne Avdiivka Vodyane, Krasnohorivka, Pervomaiske, Nevelske, Marinka Novomykhailivka
Vuhledar
It's getting quite warm in the southern parts now with day temperatures up to 10 degrees Celsius. This might make it a bit harder for the Russians to attack with heavy equipment which they have been doing a lot lately in most areas.
Also vuhledar
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They decided to go and stand on this little piece of road right here.
57.923805, 27.679182
There is some kind of local deal where Estonians are allowed to drive over that little stretch of Russian land if they don't stop. news.err.ee/1609827133/ppa…
Rough infil/exfil path of the UVU shooter, based on photos, videos and eye whitness reports. Green arrows are guestimated paths between sightings.
In the start of this video, the UVU shooter can be seen walking towards the campus, at the end he can be seen running away from it.
40.28187, -111.71443
The next location is the tunnel going under the Campus drive to the parking garage
40.28014, -111.71459
Ukrainian Drone hit the Deng Xiaoping Logistics Complex which is part of the Alabuga Special Economical Zone. The Alabuga SEZ is where they produce the Shahed drone.
The DXLC is a railway logistics center being built in partnership with China to support the fast growing Alabuga SEZ.
At the actual SEZ they are expanding at a rapid pace, they are building on site housing and/or office space for tens of thousands of employees. Their goal is likely to significantly scale up the production of drones.
The reason the confidence is low, is a lack of data. They simply dont have enough information to know yet. Desplite that, the US President proclaims complete destruction, an assesment likely based more on his whishes than any intelligence.
Furthermore, they are trying to supress any discussion about this and might actually prevent the DIA to do their job properly, they know a negative report will not be precieved well by the White House.
Hegseth also tells a story which does not align with reality. We have all seen the pictures. There isnt a mountain of rubble. Hegseth says he have seen it all, and i wonder if it was during his time as prison guard or if it was during his time as a instructor?