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Hans Kristensen Profile picture
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Feb 25 • 4 tweets • 3 min read
Great to attend large demonstration in Washington DC for Ukraine and against Putin’s brutal aggression. One poster said it all.

#StandWithUkraine️ ImageImage
More photos capturing the great spirit at the demonstration in Washington DC today for Ukraine!

#StandWithUkraine ImageImage
Among the speakers, Samantha Powers, the Administrator of the United States Agency for International Development. Image
Beautiful mesmerizing singing at today’s demonstration in Washington DC for Ukraine and against Putin’s brutal war.

#StandWithUkraine

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More from @nukestrat

Hans Kristensen Profile picture
Nov 29, 2022
DOD has published its 2022 report on Chinese military developments. The report covers developments up until end-2021, nearly a year ago. media.defense.gov/2022/Nov/29/20…

Main nuke overview below. Blog coming soon:
The report states that size of China’s stockpile probably surpassed 400 warheads in 2021, up from low-200s in 2020. sipri.org/sites/default/…

Largely reaffirming our estimate of 350 Chinese warheads from early-2021.
DOD projects Chinese stockpile could increase to 1,500 warheads in 2035. Basis for projection is vague and uncertain but largely seems to assume last years’ increase continues halfway through next decade.
Read 8 tweets
Hans Kristensen Profile picture
Sep 21, 2022
1/n - In his latest speech, Putin rattles the nuclear sword again. This time by threatening nuclear use if the “territorial integrity” of occupied territories in Ukraine he plans to declare part of Russia after sham referendum is “threatened.” kremlin.ru/events/preside… Image
2/n - Unlike the generic nuclear threat issued at the start of his attack on Ukraine in February, this threat is explicitly linked to the military situation in Ukraine. And “when the territorial integrity of our country is threatened” goes beyond Russian declaratory policy. Image
3/n - To justify that, Putin mentions “statements of some high-ranking representatives of the leading NATO states about the possibility and admissibility of using weapons of mass destruction against Russia - nuclear weapons.”

Haven’t seen that, except in RESPONSE to Russian use. Image
Read 5 tweets
Hans Kristensen Profile picture
Sep 19, 2022
1/n Excellent article by @KofmanMichael and @AnyaFink on escalation management & nuclear employment in Russia’s military strategy. warontherocks.com/2022/09/escala…

It contains serious challenges to popular claims about Russian “escalate-to-deescalate” strategy.

Required reading!
2/n Some gems:

“There is no gimmicky ‘escalate to win’ strategy, in which military strategists believe they can start and quickly end a conflict on their terms thanks to the wonders of nuclear weapons.”
3/n

Contrary to what US advocates of new low-yield nukes claim, Russian nuclear strategy does not take “advantage of lower-yield nuclear weapons that the United States does not have. This appears nowhere in Russian military writings or deliberations.”
Read 6 tweets
Hans Kristensen Profile picture
Sep 18, 2022
At Joint Base Andrews for airshow. F-35s and F-22 5th gen fighters getting ready.
Both the B-52 and B-1 bombers are here. Missed the B-2 flyby yesterday. But I did my own New START inspection of the B-52 (61-0021) from Barksdale AFB. Yep, this is a denuclearized version. See, no external identifier. ✅ ImageImage
Pretty wild that inside the B-52 bomb bay you can still see the tags for the nuclear AGM-69A SRAM. It was retired two decades ago. ImageImageImage
Read 4 tweets
Hans Kristensen Profile picture
Mar 29, 2022
Two B-52s are airborne. One (61-0003) heading east into Germany. The second (61-0039) heading east over the Mediterranean Sea south of Turkey. ImageImage
After reaching a point over Slovakia about 140 km from Ukraine border, the B-52 headed southeast over Hungary, turning east into Romania. Image
I haven’t seen this before: As one B-52 (61-0003) returns after operations over southeast Romania, another (60-0044) is on its way to take its place. ImageImageImage
Read 5 tweets
Hans Kristensen Profile picture
Mar 4, 2022
Two B-52s (60-0044 and 61-0018) heading east/northeast over North Sea this morning.
Call signs NOBLE41 and possibly NOBLE42.
Making sharp turn south over Denmark.

Of these two B-52s, one (60-0044) is nuclear-capable (but not carrying nukes), while the other (61-0018) is conventional-only.
Read 6 tweets

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