a popular pastime today involves people recording themselves playing "video games" and broadcasting this to others who watch. sometimes, these broadcasters use computers to make it look like animated characters are playing the video game. i dont understand why any of this is happening.
recently one such broadcaster lost her job. the reason for this is that she accepted a sponsorship to play a game based on a childrens book about wizards. the author of the wizard book is unpopular with a subset of people who disagree with her outspoken views on "trans women." we'll get to what this means in a moment.
today, a common mode of expressing disagreement with a person is to complain loudly and publicly to that persons employer in hopes of getting them fired to stop the public complaints. this is called "cancelling."
trans women are people who broadly speaking were born with sex chromosomes that produce masculine anatomy and physiology who "identify" as women and often though not universally use hormones or surgery to better conform to conventional notions of femininity. the scope of things that one may "identify" as is complex and probably inconsistently defined. generally, gender is in, and race is out.
even in the case of gender, there is substantial and often violent debate around the extent to which identification ought to be accommodated in public spaces. for reasons that are not generally discussed, accommodation of trans women is more controversial than accommodation of trans men.
the author of the wizard book on which the video game was based openly opposes the notion of accommodating transgender identification and as a result has become a controversial figure. this has alienated many people, who consequently identify any product based on her books--including the video game in question--as representative of an anti-accommodation position.
consequently, a subset of trans women and their supporters criticized the animated broadcaster who took a sponsorship to play the wizard book video game, and they have apparently succeeded in cancelling her. because this animated broadcaster was generally seen as wholesome and well-loved, other trans women and their supporters are concerned that the reputations and standing of trans women will suffer as a consequence.
i know this is a lot to take in and imagine you are thinking back to your days fighting in the ardennes and wondering what sequence of events over three quarters of a century has transported you from that world to this one. ill pause now and take some questions.
@BryanCLee2 report from mom is "2nd Battalion 309th infantry regiment (lightning brigade). ardennes, rhineland, central europe"
digging a bit, looks like probably the 78th infantry division, "brigade" an error
you wake up in a cold sweat. its december 13th, 1944 and you are just across the border from belgium. "hormones? computers? what are you talking about anon. get your goddamn rifle its time to take kesternich"
ive lost interest in the vtuber. having tracked down my grandfather's unit (78th division, 309th infantry regiment, 2nd battalion--that's him by the tank above) I'm now tracing his course in the war
his battalion led the division's first assault of the war. it was bad
think i recall from a secondhand story another man in his company was killed right next to him almost immediately
after the initial battle for the town left the 78th in control of the western half, the division took up defensive positions while the battle of the bulge more substantially raged to the south
2d pic is kesternich pinpointed, 3d is rough location vs the main bulge offensive
After the Bulge, the division took the rest of Kesternich, then split. The 311th headed east to take Ruhrburg (yellow) before turning north, 310th went NE to reduce two strongholds of Strauch and Steckenborn (green), and my grandfather's 309th (red) went around to cut off retreat
their ultimate target, the strategic fortress city of Schmidt, had been attacked before, in the previous year's Hurtgen Forest offensive
it had gone very badly
honestly the original attack from the north, across the Kall river (blue emphasis), along a valley with high points controlled by the enemy was completely nuts
they actually managed to briefly hold the town but were driven back by an armored counteroffensive
78th's offensive involved three regiments rather than one which presumably helped, as did taking a different approach that allowed their armor to participate in the battle
309th took Kommerscheidt (red), the others focused on the core of Schmidt
by the end Schmidt was leveled
after Schmidt fell, the 78th moved quickly to take a dam on the Rur southeast of the town. if it were destroyed it would have the usual catastrophic effects from dam bursts in war (a minor release had already been used, to effect)
fortunately it was captured without issue
after the capture of the dam and Schmidt, the uneven and forested terrain west of the Rur gave way to open plains up to the Rhine, and the 78th dashed across the fields with great rapidity. the Wehrmacht practically melted before them
zoomed out for context
on the banks of that great river in the town of Remagen, the 9th Armored discovered to their delight that the Ludendorff Bridge, a military railway crossing, still stood because the Germans had used shit tier explosives during demolition
the 78th, nearby, was immediately sent in
they, and other divisions that followed, rapidly established a bridgehead and secured the east bank
the Ludendorff Bridge finally collapsed ten days after capture but by then, with the far bank secured, new bridges had been established
this was a fell stroke against the enemy
this bridging was accomplished by mid March. I'm a bit fuzzy about what came next. For the rest of the war in Europe, which ended 8 May, they were involved in the dissolution of the major pocket of german forces in the Ruhr
in November, they moved to Berlin
occupying Berlin was an important event in my grandfather's life, although he did not come to understand the extent of it until 65 years later
He had a good life after the war. My grandmother gave him five children; he had a career as a chemical engineer, and he didnt seem as badly affected by the war as others in my family. His hearing was damaged by artillery, but this (much later) left him eligible for a pension.
I find myself thinking more of him lately. He's so old, now. But was barely half my own age when he was thrown into the largest conflagration in history, and played his own part in its bloody resolution.
I wonder if it all seems as strange to him as my years do to me.
israel is NOT an ally of america. theyre aggressively trying to capture our strategic ashkenazi resources. is that how an ally behaves?
a true America First policy would be ANTIZIONIST
jews dont belong in israel. they belong in new york and its time to come home
the eigenrobot administration is prepared to agree to a population swap of 100 american muslims repatriated to arabia for each israeli returned to us
im also prepared to accept a "Two State' solution wherein palestinians from gaza and the west bank will be resettled in michigan territory redesignated "new palestine" and expelled from the union. in exchange the US will accept all current Israeli territory as a new 50th state
but yes im sorry the credibility revolution was a mistake and economics has long since abandoned careful empirical work for atheoretical regression slop that it massively overinterprets to mindlessly support political claims
my advice to you is if you ever want to ruin a party full of applied econometricians talking about the effect of immigration on native employment, bring up the mariel boatlift after everyone is several drinks in
you may find result enlightening and you'll certainly have some fun
fun inside story
when seattle implemented a $15/hr minimum wage they asked some ppl at UW to do a study of the employment effects
the big paper dropped in 2017 and found huge disemployment effects
so the city immediately disavowed it and ran to amherst for a rebuttal
we can easily exploit this with secondary markets in H1B workers. all we need to do is buy up 63 H1Bs for a guaranteed successful IPO. vcs are leaving trillion dollar bills on the ground here
its a reasonable microeconomics paper with a plausible identification method and lots of regressions that are highly suggestive if you dont think about them too much
(are patents actually predictive of ipo success? are the h1bs producing these patents themselves? lol who knows)
the literature review provides some complementary evidence, some of which is interesting context and some of which flatly contradicts the claim tabarrok would like to make
This dynamic is _not_ obviously gainfully-modeled as IPD. Instead of acting simultaneously, one agent (here representing something like a D/R coalition) decides to act in each round.
Who acts next round is nondeterministic and may be affected by actions this round.
More things to consider in this model:
1. If party institutions are ahistorically weak, which I think they are now, discounting of future rounds ought to be treated as relatively intense, which makes commitment more difficult
the vital urge to say "ok, how is this wrong" starts to fade as you get older, because you've played that game so many times that it gets tiresome and you start to think you know what that room holds
usually you're right, but it's an easy way to get stuck
second issue is the cost of doing this sort of inquiry gets higher as you accumulate more committed beliefs or expectations
once more, you're usually more likely to be "correct" at any given moment, but updating gets very costly as your world model is built out and solidified
its been a long week so tonight please relax as i relate to you the tale of a great episode in american autism
our third president, thomas jefferson, was immensely autistic
he spent much of his time inventing questionably useful devices, getting hung up on and beefing over irrelevant abstractions, pursuing unwise relationships w subordinates, and recording data for no particular reason
he combined several of these hobbies in an extended incident in the court of france where he was serving as america's ambassador ("minister plenipotentiary") in the mid 1780s, succeeding a real scientist and charmer, benjamin franklin