ChrisO_wiki Profile picture
Mar 2 15 tweets 4 min read
1/ The Wagner Group's head Yevgeny Prigozhin appears to be backpedalling from a law that he had demanded himself to criminalise criticism of Wagner's fighters and increase penalties for anti-war comments. It could be used to prosecute his own criticism of the Russian MOD. ⬇️
2/ In January 2023, Prigozhin wrote to the Russian State Duma's Speaker, Vyacheslav Volodin, requesting that laws against "discrediting" Russia's armed forces should be extended to cover Wagner, and that penalties should be made harsher.
3/ On 1 March, Volodin duly announced amendments to the law to allow prosecutions for "fakes" and "discrediting" "volunteer formations, organizations or persons assisting in the performance of tasks assigned to the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation" – like Wagner.
4/ Punishments are also increased from three to five years' imprisonment for "fake information" and from five to seven years for "discrediting". The offences are increased to "medium gravity" (roughly equivalent to an upgrade from a misdemenour to a felony).
5/ As a result, writes Pavel Chikov, the head of the Agora human rights organisation, "soon it will not be possible to write anything about using a sledgehammer without risk of criminal prosecution." But there is a catch, which has led to Prigozhin backing away from the changes.
6/ As Chikov notes, the law would make it easier to prosecute Prigozhin himself for his recent intemperate criticisms of the Russian Ministry of Defence and its top leaders, Defence Minister Sergei Shoigu and General Valery Gerasimov. Chikov writes:
7/ "Fakes about private military companies can be expressed in publications that say they are poorly supplied with anything, if this is not true according to official information. But here the question arises whose official reports about the Wagner PMC will be taken as true."
8/ Chikov points out that in all previous criminal cases of "fakes", statements by the Russian Ministry of Defence have been held by courts to be the truth. The Russian MOD has strongly denied Prigozhin's claims that Wagner is being starved of shells.
9/ In which case, as Chikov says, "the statements of the Wagnerians about insufficient supply of shells may suddenly turn out to be fakes themselves."
10/ It's obviously not been lost on Prigozhin that he recently called Russian MOD officials "scoundrels and scum." So it's perhaps not surprising that he's written to Volodin asking to be exempted from the law in a letter sent on 1 March. Prigozhin writes:
11/ "These amendments make it possible to protect the rights of persons who protect the interests of the Russian Federation.
12/ However, these amendments should not extend their effect to the highest command staff of volunteer detachments, including the Wagner PMC, and the highest command staff of the Ministry of Defence of the Russian Federation, since this is necessary to ensure transparency and…
13/ …responsibility for the exercise of their powers. Otherwise, any public and constructive criticism of their actions can lead to prosecution."
14/ It's not unusual for there to be one rule for the bosses and another for everyone else, but it's unusually blatant for them to be so explicit about it. It's unclear whether Volodin will allow Prigozhin to be exempted, as it could be a useful tool to use against him. /end

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More from @ChrisO_wiki

Mar 4
1/ In the latest indication of poor morale in the Russian armed forces, around 20 soldiers of the 126th Coastal Defence Brigade in the occupied part of Ukraine's Kherson region have attempted to resign from the Russian army for conscientious objections. All have been refused. ⬇️ Image
2/ Sirena News reports that in December 2022, around 20 out of 27 servicemen from the brigade stationed in the Kherson region wrote resignations, citing conscientious objections. But it's clear that they are discontent with the way they have been treated by their commanders. ImageImageImageImage
3/ Significantly, the objectors are not mobilised men, but contract (professional) soldiers of the regular army. The 126th Brigade was severely mauled during Ukraine's offensive at Kherson last year, reportedly suffering 75% losses and losing much of its equipment. Image
Read 9 tweets
Mar 4
1/ The mobilised Russians of the 1439th regiment are reported to have been virtually wiped out in their latest attack on fortified Ukrainian positions at Avdiivka. Their wives said in a previous video appeal that the men were encircled and under fire. ⬇️
2/ Sibir.Realii, a regional project of Radio Free Europe, reports that relatives of two of the mobilised men say that several men were wounded and the rest killed, but listed as missing, after carrying out a failed attack near Avdiivka.
3/ "My husband called back – he is wounded by shrapnel and is in hospital. He says there is nothing left of the regiment. Only two wounded are known so far, the rest are either dead or left there in dire straits.
Read 45 tweets
Mar 4
1/ Matters appear to have gone from bad to worse for the mobilised Russians of the 1439th regiment. Their wives say the men are now encircled by the Ukrainians, under constant fire and lack food or water. Transcript below. ⬇️
2/ "Dear Vladimir Vladimirovich [Putin]! We appeal to you from Svirsk, Irkutsk oblast. You are our last hope. Help, save our men! They have been called up for mobilisation several days ago as part of military unit 95380, regiment 1439, motorised riflemen.
3/ They were sent to the village Opytne, Avdiivka direction. They did not get in touch for several days. Just last night by some miracle they were able to reach us. Now they are under fire from the Armed Forces of Ukraine in an encirclement.
Read 12 tweets
Mar 3
1/ The mobilised Russians from Irkutsk who filmed a video appeal to Vladimir Putin a few days ago to save them from "slaughter" have reportedly been sent into a fresh assault against fortified Ukrainian positions at Avdiivka. Many are likely now dead. ⬇️
2/ The men are from the 5th, 6th, 7th and 8th companies of the 2nd Battalion of what was the Russian Army's 1439th Regiment, which was disbanded and incorporated into the 2nd Motorised Rifle Battalion of the First Slavic Brigade of the 'Donetsk People's Republic' (DNR).
3/ The 'People of Baikal' Telegram channel has reported on the outcome of the men's appeal – one of three sent by them, with their wives also making an appeal on their behalf. In the first video, recorded on 24 January, they say:
Read 23 tweets
Mar 2
1/ Following Yevgeny Prigozhin's announcement on 9 February 2023 that he was discontinuing recruitment activity in Russian prisons, he's now said that he's seeking new Wagner Group fighters in Russia's sports and martial arts clubs. ⬇️ Image
2/ In a statement published on his company's official Telegram channel, he writes: "In order to recruit new fighters for the Private Military Company Wagner who will defend our Motherland, we have already opened recruitment centres for the PMC Wagner in a number of cities.
3/ These centres are located in sports clubs, where you will come, you will be tested to see how strong you are physically and then told how you will get to us. We fully trust these centres and they are our supporters.
Read 6 tweets
Mar 2
1/ Russia appears to have recently removed a span of the Kerch railway bridge to Crimea, presumably to carry out repairs following the (likely Ukrainian) bomb attack on the bridge last October. Here's why this is significant.
2/ Seven fuel tankers ruptured on a 4,000 ton train that was, apparently coincidentally, crossing the rail bridge when the explosion on the parallel road bridge happened. It caused a huge fire that lasted several hours.
3/ (For more on the background to the explosion, see the thread I compiled below on the Russian, Bulgarian, Georgian and Armenian account of what led up to it. It's the most detailed and most fully documented account that I know of.)
Read 21 tweets

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