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Mar 6, 2023 โ€ข 10 tweets โ€ข 5 min read โ€ข Read on X
ICT GEM๐Ÿ’Ž

There are 6 Daily Index Templates๐Ÿ‘๏ธ

Two Session Up Close
Two Session Down Close

AM Rally PM Reversal
AM Decline PM Reversal

Consolidation AM Rally PM decline
Consolidation AM Decline PM rally

Below you will find when to expect them + examplesโฌ‡๏ธ

๐Ÿงต๐Ÿงต

#TRADINGTIPS
Two Session Up Close:

If we are in the middle of an intermediate or long term price swing based on what we would see on the HTF chart, this is the classic scenario

When we start approaching HTF opposing arrays, this profile is less likely to occur ๐Ÿ™…โ€โ™‚๏ธ
Two Session Down Close:

If we are in the middle of an intermediate or long term price swing based on what we would see on the HTF chart, this is the classic scenario.

When we start approaching HTF opposing arrays, this profile is less likely to occur ๐Ÿ™…โ€โ™‚๏ธ
AM Rally PM Reversal:

Price is yet to fulfill a completion of a bullish run, but very close to where we are presently there is a higher time frame premium PD array ๐Ÿงฒ

The session will start off bullish until it hits the HTF PD array which causes the intraday market reversalโ†—๏ธโ†˜๏ธ
AM Decline PM Reversal:

Price is yet to fulfill a completion of a bearish run, but very close to where we are presently there is a HTF premium PD array๐Ÿงฒ

The session will start off bearish until it hits the HTF PD array which causes the intraday market reversalโ†˜๏ธโ†—๏ธ
Consolidation AM Rally PM Decline:

If unsure of what the IOF of the current day is or where we are relative to Premium/Discount on Daily/4h, chances are we likely see this scenario

ESPECIALLY if there's no high/medium impact news expected during 10am or later in the dayโ›”๏ธ
Consolidation AM Decline PM Rally:

If unsure of what the IOF of the current day is or where we are relative to Premium/Discount on Daily/4h, chances are we likely see this scenario

ESPECIALLY if there's no high/medium impact news expected during 10am or later in the dayโ›”๏ธ
EXTRA CONSOLIDATION TIPS๐Ÿ’ก:

How to know if the PM session will run lunch or Intraday highs?๐Ÿค”

HTF PD array hit in AM session = Lunch highs likely to be ran

HTF PD array NOT hit in AM session= PM session could run the intraday high, hit the HTF Premium array, and then reverse
(Slides from ICT Core Content Month 10 "Index Futures - Projected Range & Objectives"

If you found this helpful I would really appreciate a like and retweet thank you!๐Ÿ’š๐Ÿ™

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More from @SirPickle_

Jul 3
This is the best way to trade a FVG which failed to expand higher

It's called the โ€œPivot Contextโ€, and it opens up an alternative way to frame trades

A thread ๐Ÿงต Image
Before we proceed, you need to know about swing points.

There are two types of swing points:

1. ๐—ฆ๐˜„๐—ถ๐—ป๐—ด ๐—›๐—ถ๐—ด๐—ต: A 3-candle pattern forming an inverted V. Buyside liquidity rests above it.
2. ๐—ฆ๐˜„๐—ถ๐—ป๐—ด ๐—Ÿ๐—ผ๐˜„: A 3-candle pattern forming a V. Sellside liquidity rests below it.

Swing points are important because these are where we find resting liquidities that acts as a magnet for price.Image
Pivot Context is the move fromย ๐—ฆ๐˜„๐—ถ๐—ป๐—ด ๐—ฃ๐—ผ๐—ถ๐—ป๐˜ โ†’ ๐—ฆ๐˜„๐—ถ๐—ป๐—ด ๐—ฃ๐—ผ๐—ถ๐—ป๐˜.

It's a continuation pattern. Price takes liquidity at an external range (a swing high/low) and then aggressively seeks the opposing external range liquidity.

It's a hunt for stops, followed by a reversalImage
Read 9 tweets
Jun 27
There are only two types of price legs: the ones that holdโ€ฆ and the ones that retrace.

Let me oversimplify โ€˜High-probability Price Legsโ€™ ๐Ÿงต๐Ÿ‘‡ Image
What's a Price Leg?

Simply, a swing high and a swing low.

But what makes a price leg ๐—ต๐—ถ๐—ด๐—ต-๐—ฝ๐—ฟ๐—ผ๐—ฏ๐—ฎ๐—ฏ๐—ถ๐—น๐—ถ๐˜๐˜†?

First, its the presence of a Fair Value Gap in that leg๐Ÿ’Ž Image
Second, magnet theory.

Having a price leg in context of the timeframe above it makes it higher probability.

This means that above the timeframe youโ€™re looking at, there are no FVGs to pull price higher or lower relative to the high-probability leg.

This is also why you should do a top-down analysis and start in the monthly first, looking at the most recent leg, going to the weekly, the daily, and the 4h.

This aligns you with the HTF orderflow of price.Image
Read 8 tweets
May 16
OVERSIMPLIFIED: Fair Value Gaps

Beginners, this oversimplified series is for you๐Ÿซต

Your eyes will be opened on how powerful fair value gaps are and how to pick the right ones.

A mini-thread๐Ÿงต Image
What is a Fair Value Gap?

There are two types of fair value gaps:

1. Bullish Fair Value Gaps
2. Bearish Fair Value Gaps

Both are a three-candle pattern, wherein the fair value gap is the gap between the first and third candles. Image
High-probability Fair Value Gaps

The best fair value gaps are created from previous fair value gaps.

Price respecting a fair value gap means we are in confirmed orderflow. Simply put, the trend is extremely strong and can be trusted to continue in that same direction. Image
Read 9 tweets
Apr 2
Your FVGs donโ€™t work because youโ€™re NOT trading within a killzone.

After reading this thread, youโ€™ll know EXACTLY how killzones affect your trading.

A thread๐Ÿงต Image
What is a โ€œkillzoneโ€?

Killzone are specific times during the trading day where volatility is typically higher.

Volatility brings energy into the market creating high probability FVGs that we can trade off of.

This volatility will always be ideal for scalpers and intraday traders.Image
Killzones are typically aligned with Red Folder News releases.

This brings in the volatility needed for the price to seek liquidity or rebalance an imbalance.

Personally, I focus on the New York session, which is 8:30 AM to 12:00 PM EST.

You can also use 2:00 AM - 5:00 AM for the London session and 8:00 PM - 12:00 AM for the Asian session.Image
Read 9 tweets
Mar 15
๐—ช๐—ฎ๐—ป๐—ป๐—ฎ ๐—ธ๐—ป๐—ผ๐˜„ ๐˜„๐—ต๐˜† ๐˜€๐—ผ๐—บ๐—ฒ ๐˜๐—ฟ๐—ฎ๐—ฑ๐—ฒ๐—ฟ๐˜€ ๐—ฐ๐—ผ๐—ป๐˜€๐—ถ๐˜€๐˜๐—ฒ๐—ป๐˜๐—น๐˜† ๐˜„๐—ถ๐—ป ๐˜„๐—ต๐—ถ๐—น๐—ฒ ๐—ผ๐˜๐—ต๐—ฒ๐—ฟ๐˜€ ๐—น๐—ผ๐˜€๐—ฒ? ๐—œ๐˜โ€™๐˜€ ๐—ป๐—ผ๐˜ ๐—น๐˜‚๐—ฐ๐—ธ โ€” ๐—ถ๐˜โ€™๐˜€ ๐—บ๐—ฎ๐˜๐—ต.

You need to learn to ๐˜๐—ฟ๐˜‚๐˜€๐˜ ๐˜๐—ต๐—ฒ ๐—ฝ๐—ฟ๐—ผ๐—ฏ๐—ฎ๐—ฏ๐—ถ๐—น๐—ถ๐˜๐—ถ๐—ฒ๐˜€ and not get caught on the outcomes of each individual trade.

Let the numbers play out!

Letโ€™s dive into those numbers in this thread๐ŸงตImage
๐—ช๐—ต๐—ฎ๐˜ ๐—ถ๐˜€ ๐˜๐—ต๐—ฒ ๐—Ÿ๐—ฎ๐˜„ ๐—ผ๐—ณ ๐—Ÿ๐—ฎ๐—ฟ๐—ด๐—ฒ ๐—ก๐˜‚๐—บ๐—ฏ๐—ฒ๐—ฟ๐˜€?๐Ÿ”ข

Itโ€™s a concept in probability theory which is a game-changer for traders.

LLN tells us that as you INCREASE the number of trades, your average OUTCOME gets CLOSER to your strategyโ€™s EXPECTED result.

Simply, the more you trade, the more your results will reflect your edge.Image
๐—›๐—ฒ๐—ฎ๐—ฑ๐˜€ ๐—ผ๐—ฟ ๐˜๐—ฎ๐—ถ๐—น๐˜€?๐Ÿช™

In just a few flips, you might see a streak of heads or tails PURELY by chance.

But after many flips, youโ€™ll land close to a 50/50 split.

The result will revert to the mean value in the long run.

This is the Law of Large Numbers in actionโ€”short-term randomness evens out in the long run.Image
Read 7 tweets
Mar 8
๐—ง๐—ต๐—ถ๐˜€ ๐—ถ๐˜€ ๐˜๐—ต๐—ฒ ๐—ž๐—˜๐—ฌ ๐˜๐—ผ ๐—•๐—ถ๐—ฎ๐˜€๐Ÿ“ˆ

(Read until the end and Iโ€™ll DM you the FULL guide that changed my trading forever!)

A thread๐Ÿงต Image
๐—ง๐—ต๐—ฒ ๐—ณ๐—ถ๐—ฟ๐˜€๐˜ ๐˜€๐˜๐—ฒ๐—ฝ ๐˜๐—ผ ๐—ฏ๐—ฒ๐—ฐ๐—ผ๐—บ๐—ถ๐—ป๐—ด ๐—ฎ ๐—ต๐—ถ๐—ด๐—ต๐—ฒ๐—ฟ ๐˜๐—ถ๐—บ๐—ฒ๐—ณ๐—ฟ๐—ฎ๐—บ๐—ฒ (๐—›๐—ง๐—™) ๐—ฎ๐—ป๐—ฎ๐—น๐˜†๐˜€๐—ถ๐˜€ ๐—ฒ๐˜…๐—ฝ๐—ฒ๐—ฟ๐˜โ€ฆ 1๏ธโƒฃ

Scan the monthly, weekly, and daily for context aligned with HTF orderflow.

In my Summit Model, if I donโ€™t see the context on one of those three timeframes, I move to another pair.

This filters out the low-probability movements that can occur for several pairs.Image
๐—ข๐—ป๐—ฒ ๐—ผ๐—ณ ๐˜๐—ต๐—ฒ ๐—ฐ๐—ผ๐—บ๐—บ๐—ผ๐—ป ๐—ฝ๐—ฟ๐—ผ๐—ฏ๐—น๐—ฒ๐—บ ๐—œ ๐˜€๐—ฒ๐—ฒ ๐˜„๐—ถ๐˜๐—ต ๐—ผ๐˜๐—ต๐—ฒ๐—ฟ ๐˜๐—ฟ๐—ฎ๐—ฑ๐—ฒ๐—ฟ๐˜€ ๐—ถ๐˜€ ๐˜๐—ต๐—ฒ๐˜† ๐—ฟ๐˜‚๐˜€๐—ต ๐˜๐—ผ ๐˜๐—ต๐—ฒ ๐Ÿญ๐—บ ๐˜๐—ถ๐—บ๐—ฒ๐—ณ๐—ฟ๐—ฎ๐—บ๐—ฒ.โŒ

You are blindsiding yourself by not looking at the bigger picture.

Iโ€™ve done that before and Iโ€™m telling you, it wonโ€™t end well.

So let me repeat the reminder again: STOP rushing to the lower timeframes! Take a moment to analyze the higher timeframes first!Image
Read 9 tweets

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