Andrew Perpetua Profile picture
Mar 6, 2023 15 tweets 5 min read Read on X
An update for March 5th, 2023. #ukrdailyupdate

If you would like to view the map: map.ukrdailyupdate.com

I don't have much news for today, so this will be light.
There were a lot of shelling reports out of Sumy today. I do not believe any of these targets were shelled very heavily. Likely 2 or 3 shells in each location.
Russians continue their attacks around Kreminna without any success.
The greater Bakhmut area is without much change. Perhaps small advances toward Bohdanivka, a few hundred meters perhaps.
Russian control over the eastern side of the Bakhmutivka River is growing. One of my sources told me Russia controls the entire eastern side of the river, but I cannot confirm that.
In the Avdiivka area, Russia is attacking Novobakhmutivka, Krasnohorivka, Kamyanka, Sjeverne, and Pervomaiske. All with minimal, if any, changes.
The attack toward Pervomaiske from Vodyane (highlighted arrow) seems to be having the best results for Russia in this area. Russia is also attacking Nevelske, where they hope to eventually break through Ukrainian defenses. So far, failure.
In my opinion, Russia is trying to break through Nevelske so they can attack the city of Krasnohorivka from the north, and then continue pushing west toward Karlivka (or north to Pervomaiske if Ukraine still controls it )
In the Marinka area, Russia is continuing to attack Marinka itself without much progress. They are destroying buildings in the city one at a time (and there aren't many left) trying to break the Ukrainian defense.
They are also attacking south toward Pobjeda. There may be Russian progress here toward the town. They have reached the town with assault groups before, but were beaten back. The more recent attacks may have dug in to new positions, I am not sure.
Russia is attacking Pobjeda in an effort to bypass Marinka. I think they would likely attack south toward Kostyantynivka and north toward Heorhiivka and Kurakhove if they capture Pobjeda.
The string of settlements behind Novomykhailivka ( Kostyantynivka, Illinka, Uspenivka, Bohoyavlenka, and the other smaller settlements between them), in my opinion, are a serious impediment to Russia's advance in this area.
Ukraine struck Volnovakha multiple times today, perhaps with GMLRS.
Ukraine also heavily shelled Polohy.
Ukraine stated today that they destroyed several Russian assets on Kinburn Spit, but I believe this was confirmation of attacks from yesterday and not a new strike.

• • •

Missing some Tweet in this thread? You can try to force a refresh
 

Keep Current with Andrew Perpetua

Andrew Perpetua Profile picture

Stay in touch and get notified when new unrolls are available from this author!

Read all threads

This Thread may be Removed Anytime!

PDF

Twitter may remove this content at anytime! Save it as PDF for later use!

Try unrolling a thread yourself!

how to unroll video
  1. Follow @ThreadReaderApp to mention us!

  2. From a Twitter thread mention us with a keyword "unroll"
@threadreaderapp unroll

Practice here first or read more on our help page!

More from @AndrewPerpetua

Jul 15
It is insane to me that prop planes were never supplied to Ukraine. People have been so focused on the wrong assets. It has been clear since day 1 that prop planes would be one of the most significant military upgrades Ukraine could get, and if they were provided on Day 1 this war could be very different today. They could have been hunting and destroying recon drones this entire time, denying Russia the ability to plan their missile raids and correct their artillery fire and airstrikes. This would have crippled the Russian military. Instead, we put all of our money into defense, which could not be delivered in the time frames or in the quantities to actually defend ukraine. This failure to provide prop planes is completely infuriating to me.
And, even worse, the people who failed to understand how important the prop planes were back then are still in charge of making decisions today. That alone should worry everyone.
These people just don't understand how this war was going to be fought, is currently fought, or how it will be fought in the future. And yet, somehow, they make decisions on which gear should be invested in.
Read 5 tweets
Jul 12
It is honestly interesting seeing multiple prominent Russian milbloggers talking about the hopelessness of a Russian victory. I think they are starting to realize they goofed.
Sentiments along the lines of “no matter how many resources we push in, the front line barely moves”. “ukrainian and european production is growing faster than ours”. “next year ukraine will have more resources than us”
Tack on the comments about how 152mm artillery is a dead end technology due to lack of investment and development from the 80s onwards. Even their latest models, which Russia cannot even produce due to lack of industrial power, is dramatically inferior to even cheap 155mm pieces
Read 4 tweets
Jul 11
Compare what Ukraine does to help and rebuild after liberating from Russian occupation to what Russia does once they enter and you can see which country is on the right side of history.

“We opened a Resilience Center in Balakliya.

This step is part of the All-Ukrainian Mental Health Program "Are You Okay?", an initiative of Olena Zelenska.

The project was implemented jointly with the Ministry of Social Policy of Ukraine and the Coordination Center for Mental Health of the Cabinet of Ministers of Ukraine, with the support of the United Nations Children's Fund (UNICEF).

Resilience Centers provide psychosocial support, including group and individual counseling, parenting skills training, social support, crisis intervention, conflict resolution, and support for veterans.

Additionally, the centers offer day care services for children with disabilities, tailored to the needs of each community.

It is also a space for community members to socialize and organize joint events, initiatives and training sessions.

The centers were launched with the financial support of the German Federal Ministry for Economic Cooperation and Development (BMZ).”
Ukraine enters and begins to clear mines, restore electric power and water, repair heating systems, restore hospitals, rebuild schools.

Russia builds filtration camps, steals local land and businesses from the owners, turns schools into barracks, does book burnings, and begins logging the forests and stealing natural resources.
Read 4 tweets
May 31
This is the 243 day of the Russian offensive, in this time they have almost 2900 armored vehicles + artillery destroyed plus 1100 more abandoned. Combined is just under 4000. This is actually an undercount as well, because we don't have enough money to buy all the high res sat images.
In the same time period, Ukraine has lost fewer than 900.
We are absolutely double counting vehicles. Its not intentional, its just inevitable. No matter how much we work to avoid it, it happens. But the vehicles we miss almost certainly dwarf the number of double counts. Like, we bought a high res image of an area where we learned we counted the same vehicle 4 times, but there were also like 40+ vehicles nobody anywhere knew were lost. And even still several dozen of those have never been spotted on any photo or video we can find.
Read 4 tweets
May 26
I have an idea. Every time someone uses the total number of Russian mortar + 122 + 152 ammo production to 155mm production, they have to donate 1/4 of their salary to the Czech ammo purchase. Does that seem fair?
Compare 152 to 155, 122 to 105 and mortars to mortars or stfu and don't say anything at all.
Also, comparing the price of a mortar shell to a 155mm shell: are you stupid?
Read 5 tweets
May 23
Remember that time Romanov posted a video where he shot a howitzer, and then cut to a shell hitting a house? And how the shell that hit that house killed a civilian? Now, I cannot tell you Romanov fired that exact shell, but he wanted you to think he did.

Anywho, unrelatedly, I am sure:
when you are a "journalist" Image
Doing journalism Image
Read 5 tweets

Did Thread Reader help you today?

Support us! We are indie developers!


This site is made by just two indie developers on a laptop doing marketing, support and development! Read more about the story.

Become a Premium Member ($3/month or $30/year) and get exclusive features!

Become Premium

Don't want to be a Premium member but still want to support us?

Make a small donation by buying us coffee ($5) or help with server cost ($10)

Donate via Paypal

Or Donate anonymously using crypto!

Ethereum

0xfe58350B80634f60Fa6Dc149a72b4DFbc17D341E copy

Bitcoin

3ATGMxNzCUFzxpMCHL5sWSt4DVtS8UqXpi copy

Thank you for your support!

Follow Us!

:(