I don't have much news for today, so this will be light.
There were a lot of shelling reports out of Sumy today. I do not believe any of these targets were shelled very heavily. Likely 2 or 3 shells in each location.
Russians continue their attacks around Kreminna without any success.
The greater Bakhmut area is without much change. Perhaps small advances toward Bohdanivka, a few hundred meters perhaps.
Russian control over the eastern side of the Bakhmutivka River is growing. One of my sources told me Russia controls the entire eastern side of the river, but I cannot confirm that.
In the Avdiivka area, Russia is attacking Novobakhmutivka, Krasnohorivka, Kamyanka, Sjeverne, and Pervomaiske. All with minimal, if any, changes.
The attack toward Pervomaiske from Vodyane (highlighted arrow) seems to be having the best results for Russia in this area. Russia is also attacking Nevelske, where they hope to eventually break through Ukrainian defenses. So far, failure.
In my opinion, Russia is trying to break through Nevelske so they can attack the city of Krasnohorivka from the north, and then continue pushing west toward Karlivka (or north to Pervomaiske if Ukraine still controls it )
In the Marinka area, Russia is continuing to attack Marinka itself without much progress. They are destroying buildings in the city one at a time (and there aren't many left) trying to break the Ukrainian defense.
They are also attacking south toward Pobjeda. There may be Russian progress here toward the town. They have reached the town with assault groups before, but were beaten back. The more recent attacks may have dug in to new positions, I am not sure.
Russia is attacking Pobjeda in an effort to bypass Marinka. I think they would likely attack south toward Kostyantynivka and north toward Heorhiivka and Kurakhove if they capture Pobjeda.
The string of settlements behind Novomykhailivka ( Kostyantynivka, Illinka, Uspenivka, Bohoyavlenka, and the other smaller settlements between them), in my opinion, are a serious impediment to Russia's advance in this area.
Ukraine struck Volnovakha multiple times today, perhaps with GMLRS.
Ukraine also heavily shelled Polohy.
Ukraine stated today that they destroyed several Russian assets on Kinburn Spit, but I believe this was confirmation of attacks from yesterday and not a new strike.
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After Trump put Fedex guys in charge of USPS, the democrats should issue an official warning that any aspect of USPS that might get “privatized” under trump will be immediately seized, without compensation, by the following administration and congress.
There should be an open air understanding that any aspect of the government privatized by Trump will be seized back without compensation. We will eminent domain your ass, and change any law (or court makeup) to make it legal.
The property of the people isn’t for sale. That’s the message.
The US saw Russia using nothing but golf carts and ladas in Ukraine and said fuck it, we're going on all in. We're cancelling all armor procurement. Battle golf carts are the future. Who needs firepower when you have bags of meat strapped to a go-cart?
Many Americans will die, and that is a sacrifice the Army is willing to make. Drive the golf cart full steam into a drone swarm. The guys in the back will have tons of ability to shoot back before they die, since there will be no walls or doors to get in the way.
All paths will be heavily mined, which is why we got rid of mraps. The mraps would just get disabled anyway, and then you'd be wishing you had a golf cart to ride. So, instead of wasting our time with armor, lets cut to the chase and deploy you on a golf cart from the start.
Interesting uptick in Russian dive bomber drones recently. I've wondered why they were developed then suddenly disappeared. They always seemed the most effective type of drone.
Russians are using dive bombers to destroy vehicles. Much more efficient than suiciding the drone and deals the same damage.
Magyar used to use dive bombers to destroy tanks, but stopped for some reason.
Sitting here listening to a news report from the 1970s where the police broke into the wrong house in a police raid, where every American was... normal. They were outraged, they wanted immediate accountability and changes to the law. And then congress... changed the law. Apparently the US had a functional society at some point.
Literally in 4 days there will be a major supreme court case in the US about this. That law from the 70s, the federal government has basically declared the law doesn't count. On Tuesday, four days from now, there is a Supreme Court case where the courts will decide whether that law written by congress is going to be followed or whether the judiciary gets to invent their own laws and ignore congress.
And nobody is talking about this, for some reason. Even after literally yesterday where Trump literally signed an executive order THAT ALLOWS FEDERAL AGENTS TO SEARCH YOUR HOUSE WITHOUT A WARRANT.
I see several things happening in Ukraine right now:
1: Ukraine has pivoted to a drone based defense. Most of the gains you see Russia making right now are coming as a result of one of two things. A: Inferior Ukrainian drone units or B: Overwhelming Numerical Superiority.
When I say an inferior drone unit, I do not mean the pilots are bad, or even necessarily that their construction is bad. It could be as simple as not having access to enough drones, or not having enough pilots. I simply mean the unit isn’t strong enough for the task.
Where we see the strongest drone units, we see Russia struggling to advance, Usually only advancing with extreme numerical superiority and enormous casualties.