Daniela Gabor Profile picture
Mar 6 4 tweets 3 min read
Macron's Africa tour started in Gabon, for #OneForestSummit.
Its financing pillar relies on “carrots without sticks” strategy of derisking private investment that will displace more effective alternative: public investment a la @katie_kedward @jryancollins
phenomenalworld.org/analysis/wall-…
@katie_kedward @jryancollins Macron's partnership with derisking evangelists is not new, neither surprising - Derisking as Development is now the status-quo approach to
a) development interventions (WB 'evolutions roadmap)
b) climate crisis
c) green industrial policy 'subsidies race'
we have now the pillars of a new Green Supercycle in place, with increasing geopolitical competition via re-shoring and, I would argue, a new carrots without sticks relationship state-(green)capital (outside China)

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More from @DanielaGabor

Mar 2
oh hi @ecb in the spirit of transparency and expectations anchoring, would be great if you could share those internal slides showing it's corporate profits, not wages, driving inflation

reuters.com/markets/europe…
ahem
just to clarify, @ecb is handwaving around a 'theory' of wage-driven inflation with no empirical basis while hiding behind closed doors the empirical evidence pointing to corporate profits.
central bank independence from what and for whom?
Read 5 tweets
Feb 23
the Bank of England has updated its transmission mechanism but still refuses to spell 'profits' anywhere, in case you needed further clarification of its distributional politics
the Bank, unlike the people of Britain, lives in a world where firms do not use their pricing power to extract excessive profits.
this is not a leftist talking point - Bank of England could easily use the BIS statistics confirming that corporate pricing power at historical highs (median mark-up), very much in contrast to collective bargaining power
Read 7 tweets
Feb 17
claim that US derisking state can organise decarbonisation via IRA subsidies for private capital is now article of faith in bon pensant circles

but the way in which the derisking state organises support for business matters, and raises two difficulties

ft.com/content/e0b558…
first, the idea that you can beat China's cleantech dominance with tax measures that adjust price signals is optimistic - historically, successful industrial policy needed a more supportive macrofinancial regime
bigger obstacle: green industrial policy is different from other industrial policies. It must penalise carbon capital for decarbonisation to work

BUT derisking state premised on partnernship w private capital that precludes discipline - eg 2022 fossil superprofits
Read 7 tweets
Jan 20
roll out Wall Street Consensus, in full glow at #WEF23
the US derisking state and its cheerleaders
few in the US appreciate how important Europe has been in unleashing the US turn to derisking - this is where global financiers waged battle against mandatory decarbonisation and won

Read 4 tweets
Jan 19
There are few images that capture better the political economy of contemporary Romania than Orthodox Cathedral next to Ceausescu's House of People - both monstrosities built to be visible from space by deranged people with oversized influence on domestic politics
The vicious feedback loop Parliament - Orthodox Church elite

Read 5 tweets
Jan 16
Immense sadness today.
Prof. Victoria Chick, the giant of Post Keynesian economics, has left us.
A brilliant mind, imposing, witty and irreverent woman of immense generosity, we will miss you dear Vicky.
Vicky has been so important to my and many other's academic life - she was that unusual combination of a monetary theorist and monetary historian that could casually cite a 1953 report of some Committee in a conversation about securitization
but more importantly, she was the kind of friend whom you could call at 11am to ask to for emergency overnight stay, and she would not just say yes, but treat you to a 3 hour conversation on repo markets over a bottle of wine.
Read 7 tweets

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