Dan Sabbagh Profile picture
Mar 7 3 tweets 1 min read
Russia has taken 20,000 to 30,000 casualties in trying to take Bakhmut, killed to wounded ratio could be worse than one to three - Western officials, speaking on condition of anonymity
No equivalent figure for Ukrainian defenders is offered, other than "less than that" - but others have spoken of five Russians to one Ukrainian and even higher. Hard to assess in this hell on earth fighting
Battle for Bakhmut "may well last for another month," the official said, or "Ukrainians could decide to leave within a week". Nobody knows in short, but is it still worth Ukraine fighting to defend a small city of no great strategic significance?

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More from @dansabbagh

Feb 14
A dispatch from the southern Donbas frontline with sensational pix from @EdR4m - how Ukraine's drones are helping defeat the Russians around the town of Vuhledar. If it is the start of the Russian spring offensive, it has been a disaster...

theguardian.com/world/2023/feb…
A front line commander says they have yet to see any impact from Elon Musk's Starlink edict, but if it affects recon drones, then Ukrainian forces will be in trouble. They are, he says, simply a "magic wand" for the defenders
Ukrainians say Russian losses are horrific, so disorganised are their attacks, easily seen from the air. One estimate circulating in senior Kyiv circles is that Russia is taking 17 casualties to 1 Ukrainian. Bold claim, but reflects something about the current fighting
Read 4 tweets

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