There is no need for a bailout or the Fed to “do anything” or any of the other things people are yelling for. All that needs to happen is the political will to allow one of the large banks to do what they would do as rational economic actors if they weren’t politically toxic.
I do not understand the politics in this country well but since there will be no government funds at risk and no need for a backstop and shareholders are wiped out, I’m curious what the rationale for #OccupySandHillRd would be if JPM or one of the other money centers takes over.
The charitable read of what everyone is hearing is that the Gov knows there are multiple of the largest banks who will do it, and are shopping around this weekend to find anything more palatable, and if they don’t, they’ll acquiesce. The less charitable read is …
So again, politics is above my pay grade but how is this a better solution and also holy crap.

This almost reads to me like the Fed and FDIC leaking it on purpose. Image
My just setting up a special vehicle to backstop deposits if other banks fail tshirt is answering a lot questions that people are asking

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More from @modestproposal1

Mar 10
struggling to see how this isn't a complete disaster if a real bank doesn't step in and assume the biz over the weekend. doesn't matter if uninsured are ultimately made whole, given the assets hard to see how it happens any time soon. curious for alt takes tho?
i assume there will immediately be a market for the uninsured certificates, but let's say those trade at .50-60 (just making it up, but seems reasonable if recovery .85-100 but over years) runways just got cut in half.
fact that it was seized midday and didn't even have the weekend to try to find an "assumer" is incredible. liquidity was that bad there was no way to bridge to a weekend assumption?
Read 5 tweets
Mar 2
“A new survey of NFL players presents an unusually revealing look inside how franchises worth billions of dollars are still rankled by problems—and found the Washington Commanders had the worst workplace conditions” Image
Life imitates Major League:

“complaints included small hot and cold tubs for recovery, cramped locker room, lack of warm water and poor drainage in showers

Commanders are 1 of 7 teams that don’t offer first-class seats. also make segment of their players bunk with roommates” ImageImage
Read 4 tweets
Feb 24
Investors expecting management to get capital allocation exactly right is like LPs expecting investors to outperform all the time. Instead, investors should want management to have a capital allocation framework, just like LPs should want investors to have an investment process.
In speaking of capital allocation, I’m assuming that the we get the platitude from every management team out of the way that “we first seek to deploy capital against internal investments”. It’s the question of what is done with the residual that is of great interest.
Some managements may return all excess capital to shareholders (subject to a valuation cap). Others may be more comfortable and adept at being opportunistic. What matters is that management understand its business and its own skillset and create a framework to operate under.
Read 9 tweets
Feb 24
Dating myself, but its Bidz. com and its not even close. A no reserve auction site with mostly counterfeit jewelry and high end watches and the supposed main supplier was a convicted jewel fence. Put a 50 ct canary diamond up for bid. Almost certainly was a money laundering op.
Apparently there were tens of people willing to bid half a million dollars site unseen for a total unicorn of a stone
You had short sellers getting in on the fun bidding $9 trillion under the name howeasy
Read 4 tweets
Feb 4
This is an interesting essay that frames Xi as potentially making the same mistake Germany and Japan made before. Read it before reflexively objecting to the premise.

wsj.com/articles/chall…
“What is America but beauty queens, millionaires, stupid records and Hollywood?” Hitler remarked
“Mr. Xi may believe American power has declined dramatically, but as Mr. Putin has discovered, the contrary is true. The ability of the American-led order to defend itself is far greater than it was in the first half of the 20th century.”
Read 6 tweets
Jan 27
This was awesome. The melding of sports and data and multidisciplinary thinking from @dmorey was so good. Even if he’s a wee bit harsh on soccer IMO, it’s in the context of how to optimize all games. Very fun read.

joincolossus.com/episodes/50823…
“Basketball lives in this perfect niche of data and art”.

I think that’s a great of putting it and why data/analytics hasn’t seemingly sucked the soul of the game out of basketball like it has baseball.
“The edges are getting smaller and smaller”
Read 5 tweets

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