Giorgi Revishvili Profile picture
Mar 11, 2023 16 tweets 6 min read Read on X
1/16 A concluding 🧵on #NoToRussianLaw protests against the Russian-inspired law in Georgia. A big win for Georgian society, but the ruling Georgian Dream party has not suffered a strategic defeat yet: Image
2/16 Background: the Georgian Dream (GD) party created a spin-off group People's Power in August 2022 in order to openly and actively push anti-Western sentiments and 🇷🇺 friendly discourse in 🇬🇪. Over the months, the group lambasted the U.S. Embassy in 🇬🇪 and Ambassador Degnan. Image
3/16 The group of MPs has remained in the parliamentary majority and continued to be full-fledged members of the ruling party. To increase the reach of their disinformation campaigns, one of the members of People's Power MP Viktor Japaridze acquired the POSTV channel. Image
4/16 The POSTV is a Russian-style propaganda channel previously linked to the Georgian Dream. The primary objective of the channel is to disrepute the opposition, discredit pro-Western forces, support GD's policies and attack international partners. Image
5/16 Past few months, People's Power echoed and amplified GD's propaganda rhetoric that the West is trying to drag Georgia into war against Russia forcing it to open "the second front". They also scolded the Ukrainian govt for its criticism of Georgia's lack of support.
6/16 In January, People's power proposed two draft laws on "foreign agents". The bills would require NGOs and media organizations to register as “agents of foreign influence” if 20% of their funds come from abroad. Failure to comply would result in fines of around 9 000$. Image
7/16 The second “foreign agent” draft law also included individuals and legal entities, with more harsh penalties, including prison time. The tandem of GD and People's Power underlined that the purpose of the bills was to increase transparency.
8/16 In reality, every legal entity in 🇬🇪 is already required to audit and submit information about their funds to the Ministry of Finance and Revenue Service. The bills basically mirrored the Russian law on foreign agents adopted in 2012.
9/16 Int'l partners including the US, EU, NATO & others criticized the bills and called on the govt to refuse to pass them. 🇪🇺🇺🇸 made it very clear that the bills go against 🇬🇪's Euro-Atlantic path, 12 recommendations for the EU candidacy & the will of the GEO people. Image
10/16 The majority passed the first bill on 7 March in its first reading which sparked massive protests as GEO society felt that it undermines democracy, jeopardizes the country's European and Euro-Atlantic aspirations and most importantly goes against the will of the GEO people. Image
11/16 GD tried to crack down on protests for 2 days using tear gas, pepper spray and water cannons. However, the GEO people showed their determination and the GD was forced to make a U-turn. GD dropped the first draft law and recalled the second as well as released the detainees. Image
12/16 After this huge blow, the Kremlin activated a disinformation campaign about the protests accusing the West of staging the "Maidan revolution" in Georgia. The Kremlin and Georgian Dream narratives about protests were aligned. medium.com/dfrlab/the-kre… Image
13/16 The GD made a tactical retreat rather than a surrender. For sure, it is a big interim win for Georgian society. However, the GD might attempt the counter-offensive as they prepare for the 2024 elections, therefore civil society must be vigilant. Image
14/16 The demonstrations have been self-organized without opposition parties leading them. Gen Z became a driving force for resolute protests as they understand the perks of democracy better than anybody. Hence, the 🇬🇪 democracy is in good hands. Image
15/16 The protests created a wave in pop-culture too.

📽️ Ziad Aliev
16/16 P.S Georgia and Ukraine will prevail. Vse bude Ukraina and Sakartvelo. 🇬🇪🇺🇦 #TbilisiProtests #NoToRussia ImageImage

• • •

Missing some Tweet in this thread? You can try to force a refresh
 

Keep Current with Giorgi Revishvili

Giorgi Revishvili Profile picture

Stay in touch and get notified when new unrolls are available from this author!

Read all threads

This Thread may be Removed Anytime!

PDF

Twitter may remove this content at anytime! Save it as PDF for later use!

Try unrolling a thread yourself!

how to unroll video
  1. Follow @ThreadReaderApp to mention us!

  2. From a Twitter thread mention us with a keyword "unroll"
@threadreaderapp unroll

Practice here first or read more on our help page!

More from @revishvilig

Nov 18
A deeply insightful interview with Deputy Commander of the Missile Forces and Artillery of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, Serhiy Musiyenko:

The need for artillery munitions is substantial - far more than has ever been supplied to us. 1/22 ⬇️ Image
To put it simply, we are receiving only half the artillery munitions needed due to various factors. Consequently, this shortage is reflected in the current state of certain sectors of the front, where we are experiencing a deficit in specific types of artillery munitions. 2/22
In terms of proportions, in 2022, the Defense Forces used approximately 1.5 million artillery munitions, ranging from 120 mm mortars to rockets for MLRS (Multiple Launch Rocket Systems). Half of these were 152 mm and 122 mm calibers, while a third were 155 mm rounds. 3/22
Read 23 tweets
Sep 19
Russia will most likely face a significant manpower challenge to sustain its war effort against Ukraine in 2025.

Very insightful piece by WSJ:
Months before Putin’s inauguration in May, he met with Defense Ministry officials who pushed for a fresh round of mobilization. 1/7 Image
to recruit more troops to offset Russia’s losses on the front line in Ukraine. Putin dismissed the idea, saying he wanted to use only those who were voluntarily signing military contracts. 2/7
While he has resisted a troop mobilization that could come at a political cost, Western estimates suggest Russia is now losing more men on the battlefield than it can recruit to replace them. 3/7
Read 8 tweets
Sep 15
Interesting comments by Kyrylo Budanov:

- Russia aims to conclude the war by the end of 2025 or the beginning of 2026, seeking to achieve a victory. Russia will face significant economic challenges starting in the summer of 2025. 1/14⬇️ Image
Russia will need to conduct another round of mobilization. This, in turn, could undermine the country's social and political stability. 2/14
if Russia does not secure victory, it will lose its long-term ambition of being perceived as a superpower over the next 30 years - said Budanov, referencing Russian intelligence sources. 3/14
Read 16 tweets
Sep 4
Russia is likely facing a manpower shortage that could affect its ability to sustain the war against Ukraine later this year and into the next.

Kremlin launched an unprecedented ad campaign for contract service recruitment following Ukraine's offensive in Kursk Oblast. 1/11⬇️ Image
In July, Moscow de facto acknowledged a 30% reduction in the rate of new military recruitment. By the end of the month, Vladimir Putin increased war-related payments, with compensation rising by 400% in the poorest regions. 2/11
Agentstvo notes that the largest contract service recruitment campaign since the start of the war is being conducted across Telegram, Yandex, VKontakte, and federal channels. 3/11
Read 12 tweets
Aug 31
Ukraine's OpSec in planning the Kursk operation has been spectacular. WSJ obtained new details of the operation:

CinC Syrskyi gathered senior officers for a secret meeting in late July where he disclosed an audacious plan to revive the country’s flagging war effort. 1/10⬇️ Image
Syrskiy had evidently drawn conclusions from Ukraine’s failed counteroffensive during the summer of 2023, when Ukraine consulted with the U.S. and other Western partners, deployed newly formed brigades and telegraphed its plans with videos and public comments. 2/10
Only a small number of senior officers took part in the meetings, led by Syrskiy, to thrash out detailed plans for the incursion. Syrskiy tapped battle-hardened units, such as the 80th and 82nd Air Assault Brigades, to lead the incursion and didn’t inform the U.S. of plans. 3/10
Read 12 tweets
Aug 27
Very insightful details from CinC Oleksandr Syrskyi regarding the objectives of Ukraine’s Kursk operation

One of the objectives of the Kursk operation was to divert significant enemy forces from other axes, particularly in the Pokrovsk and Kurakhovsk areas. 1/7 ⬇️ Image
Russians are aware of this and is therefore focusing its main efforts on the Pokrovsk area, where its most combat-ready units are concentrated. 2/7
“The enemy is advancing at a very high price, the Defense Forces are doing everything possible to stop the advance. Every day our soldiers neutralize up to 300 invaders. The situation is under our control, the command is doing everything possible to stabilize the front” 3/7
Read 8 tweets

Did Thread Reader help you today?

Support us! We are indie developers!


This site is made by just two indie developers on a laptop doing marketing, support and development! Read more about the story.

Become a Premium Member ($3/month or $30/year) and get exclusive features!

Become Premium

Don't want to be a Premium member but still want to support us?

Make a small donation by buying us coffee ($5) or help with server cost ($10)

Donate via Paypal

Or Donate anonymously using crypto!

Ethereum

0xfe58350B80634f60Fa6Dc149a72b4DFbc17D341E copy

Bitcoin

3ATGMxNzCUFzxpMCHL5sWSt4DVtS8UqXpi copy

Thank you for your support!

Follow Us!

:(