1/16 A concluding 🧵on #NoToRussianLaw protests against the Russian-inspired law in Georgia. A big win for Georgian society, but the ruling Georgian Dream party has not suffered a strategic defeat yet:
2/16 Background: the Georgian Dream (GD) party created a spin-off group People's Power in August 2022 in order to openly and actively push anti-Western sentiments and 🇷🇺 friendly discourse in 🇬🇪. Over the months, the group lambasted the U.S. Embassy in 🇬🇪 and Ambassador Degnan.
3/16 The group of MPs has remained in the parliamentary majority and continued to be full-fledged members of the ruling party. To increase the reach of their disinformation campaigns, one of the members of People's Power MP Viktor Japaridze acquired the POSTV channel.
4/16 The POSTV is a Russian-style propaganda channel previously linked to the Georgian Dream. The primary objective of the channel is to disrepute the opposition, discredit pro-Western forces, support GD's policies and attack international partners.
5/16 Past few months, People's Power echoed and amplified GD's propaganda rhetoric that the West is trying to drag Georgia into war against Russia forcing it to open "the second front". They also scolded the Ukrainian govt for its criticism of Georgia's lack of support.
6/16 In January, People's power proposed two draft laws on "foreign agents". The bills would require NGOs and media organizations to register as “agents of foreign influence” if 20% of their funds come from abroad. Failure to comply would result in fines of around 9 000$.
7/16 The second “foreign agent” draft law also included individuals and legal entities, with more harsh penalties, including prison time. The tandem of GD and People's Power underlined that the purpose of the bills was to increase transparency.
8/16 In reality, every legal entity in 🇬🇪 is already required to audit and submit information about their funds to the Ministry of Finance and Revenue Service. The bills basically mirrored the Russian law on foreign agents adopted in 2012.
9/16 Int'l partners including the US, EU, NATO & others criticized the bills and called on the govt to refuse to pass them. 🇪🇺🇺🇸 made it very clear that the bills go against 🇬🇪's Euro-Atlantic path, 12 recommendations for the EU candidacy & the will of the GEO people.
10/16 The majority passed the first bill on 7 March in its first reading which sparked massive protests as GEO society felt that it undermines democracy, jeopardizes the country's European and Euro-Atlantic aspirations and most importantly goes against the will of the GEO people.
11/16 GD tried to crack down on protests for 2 days using tear gas, pepper spray and water cannons. However, the GEO people showed their determination and the GD was forced to make a U-turn. GD dropped the first draft law and recalled the second as well as released the detainees.
12/16 After this huge blow, the Kremlin activated a disinformation campaign about the protests accusing the West of staging the "Maidan revolution" in Georgia. The Kremlin and Georgian Dream narratives about protests were aligned. medium.com/dfrlab/the-kre…
13/16 The GD made a tactical retreat rather than a surrender. For sure, it is a big interim win for Georgian society. However, the GD might attempt the counter-offensive as they prepare for the 2024 elections, therefore civil society must be vigilant.
14/16 The demonstrations have been self-organized without opposition parties leading them. Gen Z became a driving force for resolute protests as they understand the perks of democracy better than anybody. Hence, the 🇬🇪 democracy is in good hands.
15/16 The protests created a wave in pop-culture too.
📽️ Ziad Aliev
16/16 P.S Georgia and Ukraine will prevail. Vse bude Ukraina and Sakartvelo. 🇬🇪🇺🇦 #TbilisiProtests#NoToRussia
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General Drapatyi, Commander-in-Chief of Ukrainian Armed Forces:
Russia is a nation with a leadership that has no right to exist. Nothing has changed there for thousands of years, neither in its mentality nor in its imperial ambitions and behavior. 1/16
Our historical past is something that, unfortunately, Russian propaganda has tried to erase from our memory and our traditions. We are inconvenient for the Russian Federation from a historical perspective because, in their view, Russia has no history of its own. 2/16
They have long maintained that without Ukraine there can be no Russia, nor any kind of union. That is why Russia continues to try to bring us back under its control. 3/16
Robert "Magyar" Brovdi, Commander of Ukraine's Unmanned Systems Forces:
There is no longer a single kilometer of European Russia that is beyond the reach of Ukraine’s freedom loving birds. 1/15
And despite the scale of their country, there is little they can do about it.
This has led to a lasting psychological strain among the population of the aggressor state. 2/15
The Russian authorities spent years preparing their society for war, and the overwhelming majority of Russians still support Putin’s policies. The difference now is that they support them while living in a constant state of fear. 3/15
General Mykhailo Drapatyi is one of Ukraine’s most experienced combat commanders and represents the "new school" of Ukrainian military leadership. 1/10
A battle-tested general, his candidacy enjoyed particularly strong support from both Ukrainian civil society and the military. 2/10
He has earned a reputation for exceptional military leadership, a modern understanding of warfare, personal courage, integrity, and the ability to successfully conduct some of the most demanding military operations. 3/10
General Syrskyi published an opinion piece in Militarnyi in response to Fedorov:
I was surprised to learn that there had supposedly been a conflict between the Minister and me. 1/17
I viewed our relationship as a professional one, involving difficult issues and differing positions. That is exactly how it should be between two institutions during a major war. 2/17
If I offended anyone in any way, Mykhailo Albertovych, I apologize. I can be tough. But I also ask you, and everyone who is now so captivated by this story, to focus not on personalities, but on the bigger picture, on victory. 3/17
Mykhailo Fedorov on Ukraine's military transformation and achievements:
Today, around 95% of Russian casualties are inflicted by drones. 1/16
In 2022, one of the first unprecedented decisions was to increase profit margins for drone manufacturers by opening the market and allowing margins of up to 25%.
Another major achievement was the development of the Delta battlefield management system. 2/16
Delta had to be defended from repeated attempts to interfere with or replace it under successive military leaderships. There was a persistent institutional tendency to modify or dismantle the system. 3/16
Mykhailo Fedorov's proposed solutions for Ukraine's victory:
The proposed solutions begin with fundamental personnel changes: replacing both the Commander-in-Chief and the Chief of the General Staff. 1/16
There is no other way forward if the objective is to defeat the enemy asymmetrically while minimizing casualties, allowing strong leaders and commanders to develop rather than be suppressed, written off, issued reprimands, or otherwise held back. 2/16
A modern organization built around technology requires leadership in management. It requires managing large numbers of sensors, working with IT specialists, working with talented people, and attracting them even without abundant resources or high salaries. 3/16