Giorgi Revishvili Profile picture
Political-Military Analyst • Former Senior Advisor to NSC of Georgia • Focused on Russian Foreign and Security Policy • Views my own
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Dec 15 16 tweets 3 min read
A must-read assessment of the current state of the war by General Hennadiy Shapovalov, Commander of the Ground Forces of Ukraine:

Modern warfare is defined by constant adaptation. 1/15 Image The most difficult challenge has been the need for continuous adjustment to changes in both enemy and friendly tactics, as success now depends on the ability to evolve faster than the opponent. 2/15
Dec 11 15 tweets 2 min read
General Syrskyi on the transformation of modern warfare:

We are witnessing a rapid and fundamental shift in the very paradigm of warfare. 1/15 Image At the beginning of the full-scale invasion, combat was conducted in a largely traditional manner: battalion tactical groups, armored columns, and large concentrations of infantry. Today, the battlefield has been transformed by the mass introduction of drones of every type. 2/15
Mar 15 4 tweets 1 min read
Macron's very important statements regarding Ukraine

If Ukraine decides and asks for allied forces to be on its territory, it is not up to Russia to accept or not. 1/4 ⬇️ Image A thirty-day ceasefire has made it possible to reconcile views and agree on a process that allows for the establishment of trust. 2/4
Mar 14 13 tweets 3 min read
Oleksandr Bevz, Advisor to the Head of the Office of the President of Ukraine, shares exclusive details of the U.S.-Ukraine negotiations:

There was no discussion of Ukraine being expected to make any territorial concessions or recognize any territory as part of Russia. 1/12⬇️ Image The conversation began with a clear reaffirmation that Ukraine will never recognize occupation. Not a single piece of Ukrainian land occupied by Russia since 2014 will ever be recognized as part of the Russian Federation. 2/12
Mar 12 14 tweets 2 min read
General Zaluzhnyi's comprehensive perspective on the war, security guarantees, and a new security architecture.

Ukraine is bleeding out, but miraculously continuing to fight. Yet, we are already seeing critical points that could shake its ability to defend itself. 1/14⬇️ Image And still, Ukraine fights—it’s some kind of miracle—against the Axis of Evil.
In 2024, Russia entered with what we are told are supposedly insignificant strategic agreements with Iran, China, and North Korea, merging their economies. Has Ukraine joined any alliance? No.
Mar 10 14 tweets 2 min read
Robert Brovdi, Commander of the Ukrainian 414th Separate Brigade of Unmanned Combat Aerial Systems - Madyar's Birds, shares valuable insights into the evolution of drone warfare:

Drones have fundamentally changed the doctrine of the Russia-Ukraine war. 1/14 ⬇️ Image The timely appearance of drones and their increasing role in combat effectiveness—now responsible for over 50% of confirmed kills, even by conservative estimates—has made commanders highly dependent on them. 2/14
Mar 6 14 tweets 3 min read
General Zaluzhnyi's very interesting remarks

The failure to qualify the actions of Russia as aggression is a huge challenge for the entire world and Europe in particular. Not just the axis of evil are trying to revise the world order, but ultimately U.S. is destroying it. 1/13⬇️ Image Formal conditions for the revision of the world order are clear, and the reference point for this is the potential end of the war in Ukraine. The world order is now ruined; Look at the U.S., the White House has questioned the unity of the Western world. 2/13
Mar 5 6 tweets 2 min read
Very significant statements by President Macron:

We cannot forget that Russia began to invade Ukraine in 2014 and we then negotiated a ceasefire in Minsk. And the same Russia did not respect this ceasefire.

Today, we can no longer take Russia's word for it. 1/5⬇️ Image Ukraine has the right to peace and security for itself, and it is in our interest and in the interest of the security of the European continent. It is in this sense that we are working with our British, German and several other European friends. 2/5
Mar 4 16 tweets 3 min read
Commander-in-Chief Oleksandr Syrskyi shares interesting details about the dynamics of the war:

Discussions about potential negotiations impact the military, as they do everyone. However, our task is to stay focused and not succumb to weakness. 1/14 ⬇️ Image We are conducting active defense, particularly in sectors where the enemy has a numerical advantage, such as the Pokrovsk area, where Russian forces have outnumbered us 4.5 to 1. Notably, Russia expended more resources in 2024 than the previous two years (2022-2023) combined. 2/
Mar 3 17 tweets 3 min read
Vadym Skibitsky, Deputy Chief of Ukraine's Defense Intelligence, shares invaluable insights on the war:

Russia's strategic plans remain unchanged - seeking full occupation or control of Ukraine. Their goal is to ensure Ukraine becomes either neutral or pro-Russian. 1/17⬇️ Image The key shift after the full-scale invasion was Russia's initial belief that they could quickly seize all of Ukraine's territory. However, once fighting began and they encountered resistance, their plans began to adjust. Russia’s objectives are constantly being modified. 2/17
Mar 3 14 tweets 2 min read
Colonel Pavlo Palytsa, a seasoned officer and Deputy Head of the Ukrainian Presidential Office, discusses war, reforms, and mobilization.

I believe that to fully analyze the Battle of Bakhmut, we need more time, and it should be done thoroughly. 1/14⬇️ Image Honestly, I sometimes reflect on how the battle would have unfolded if we had then the technologies, forces, and resources that we have now. 2/14
Feb 27 12 tweets 3 min read
Oleh Ivashchenko, Chief of Ukraine's Foreign Intelligence Service, assesses the course of the war:

Russia needs ceasefire. They require a break to restore their economy, accumulate new supplies, prepare their army, regroup forces, and resume aggression against Ukraine. 1/8⬇️ Image Russia, without Ukraine and Belarus, which it has nearly occupied, is no longer an empire. We are aware of the future plans, and we know about them at least until 2030. 2/8
Feb 26 19 tweets 4 min read
Kyrylo Budanov, Ukraine’s Chief of Defense Intelligence, on the current state of the war and its future trajectory:

Russia has not managed to achieve their goal yet. Has Russia's strategic goal changed? Unfortunately, the answer is still "No". 1/17⬇️ Image I think, this objective will never change.

The Russian Federation does not see itself as a federation, it sees itself as an empire.
An empire needs at least three states to exist: Russia, which is there, Belarus, which is partially there, and what’s missing is Ukraine. 2/17
Feb 26 18 tweets 3 min read
Kyrylo Budanov, Ukraine’s Chief of Defense Intelligence, on the current state of the war and its future trajectory:

Russia has not managed to achieve their goal yet. Has Russia's strategic goal changed? Unfortunately, the answer is still "No". 1/17⬇️ Image I think, this objective will never change.

The Russian Federation does not see itself as a federation, it sees itself as an empire.
An empire needs at least three states to exist: Russia, which is there, Belarus, which is partially there, and what’s missing is Ukraine. 2/17
Feb 26 11 tweets 2 min read
Ukraine's Defense Intelligence on Russian plans against Ukraine:

Russian propaganda, including state-owned media, is actively promoting the narrative that the goals of the so-called Special Military Operation have already been achieved or are about to be achieved. 1/10⬇️ Image While this may not have been explicitly stated by the Kremlin, pro-government media and state-affiliated analysts are pushing this message in real time, reinforcing the official propaganda line. 2/10
Feb 25 10 tweets 2 min read
Ukraine's Defense Intelligence on Russian plans against Ukraine:

Russian propaganda, including state-owned media, is actively promoting the narrative that the goals of the so-called Special Military Operation have already been achieved or are about to be achieved. 1/10⬇️ Image While this may not have been explicitly stated by the Kremlin, pro-government media and state-affiliated analysts are pushing this message in real time, reinforcing the official propaganda line. 2/10
Feb 24 8 tweets 2 min read
Kyrylo Budanov’s insights on the beginning of the full-scale invasion.

The battles in Hostomel, Moshchun, and Irpin at the start of Russia’s full-scale invasion prevented Moscow from executing its "Kyiv in three days" plan. 1/8⬇️ Image There were two key events that changed the course of Russia’s operation. The first was in Hostomel. This thwarted their plan. Why was this 'three plus ten' strategy—'Kyiv in three days'—conceived? 2/8
Feb 23 16 tweets 3 min read
Kyrylo Budanov, Chief of Ukraine's Defense Intelligence (HUR), reflects on the past years and analyzes the future trajectory of the war.

There are two reasons there could be a ceasefire in Ukraine this year: At the very least, Russia requires a break - a ceasefire. 1/14 ⬇️ Image Another reason is its lack of sufficient strength, and the second is the immense financial burden it faces.

Russia acknowledged relying on entirely false data [prior to invasion], marking a complete failure of its special and intelligence services. 2/14
Feb 23 14 tweets 2 min read
Annual assessment and forecasts from the Chiefs of Ukraine’s intelligence services. (Part 1)

Kyrylo Budanov, Chief of HUR:
Russia acknowledged relying on entirely false data [prior to invasion], marking a complete failure of its special and intelligence services. 1/14⬇️ Image These assessments were based on information from agents operating within Ukraine, leading to the expenditure of vast sums of money. Consequently, Russia's analysts drew flawed and irrational conclusions. 2/14
Feb 21 19 tweets 3 min read
The Battle of Avdiivka: firsthand accounts from Ukrainian soldiers

Vladimir Kalibri, former deputy commander of the 110th Brigade (Apr 2022 – Feb 2023) said Russian forces dropped up to 100 guided bombs daily, while Ukrainian troops faced severe weapon and ammo shortages. 1/19⬇️ Image Of course, one of the key factors was our lack of ammunition, weapons, and aviation support. I personally experienced guided aerial bombs (KABs). They are highly demoralizing and played a significant role. The enemy could drop up to 100 KABs on Avdiivka in a single day. 2/19
Feb 20 7 tweets 2 min read
Ukraine's Chief of Defense Intelligence, Kyrylo Budanov about ceasefire, potential peacekeepers in Ukraine and new Russian attempts of destabilization:
"While the Ukrainian and Russian sides currently hold diametrically opposed positions, a ceasefire is likely achievable" 1/6 ⬇️ Image How long it will last and how effective it will be is another matter. But I believe something will happen, as most of the necessary conditions are in place. 2/6