How to find new investments?

Microcap-focused investment blogs can be really fertile hunting grounds.

Sharing my list of freely accessible and active blogs.

I scan these regularly and have made a handful of lucrative picks already.
👇
1/ Clark Street Value blog is one of the best hunting grounds for event-driven ideas.

The posts are frequent, clear, and always to the point.

A very active community is full of insights on each name covered on the blog.
2/ Recent posts on Clark Street Value.

$MGTA potential liquidation of biopharma at 43% discount to net cash:
clarkstreetvalue.blogspot.com/2023/02/magent…

$SCU potential sale of an asset management firm due to infighting between the founder and the current CEO:
clarkstreetvalue.blogspot.com/2023/02/sculpt…
3/ @alluvialcapital blog and investor letters are equally impressive.

Mostly focused on illiquid, deep-value names with an occasional shift into event-driven space.

Writes up are balanced and easy to read, no matter the size of the pitch itself.
4/ Recent posts on Alluvial Capital.

$CBAV high-quality business with inflecting operating leverage trading at single digit multiples:
alluvial.substack.com/p/clinica-bavi…

$LGT-A small-cap owner-operator of irreplaceable infrastructure assets trading at just 10x PE:
alluvial.substack.com/p/looking-ahead
5/ Value and Opportunity blog by @memyselfandi006.

Blogging on investments for 12 years already.

Focused on undervalued compounders as well as the special situation plays in Europe.
6/ Recent posts on Value and Opportunity.

$RBREW.CO fairly valued regionally dominant beverage company in Nordics:
valueandopportunity.com/2022/11/01/roy…

$SFSN.SW High-quality Swiss manufacturing business trading at 12x PE despite growing EPS at 15% CAGR for a decade:
valueandopportunity.com/2023/02/06/sfs…
7/ Blog by @ToffCap1 is well worth your time if you look for some deeply undervalued picks.

You can expect in-depth research on a multitude of stocks across various countries and industries.

Mostly focused on overlooked and obscure micro/nano-cap stocks.
8/ Recent posts on ToffCap.

$UMDK.DE German nano-cap with a negative EV and roughly 80% FCFE yield:
toffcap.com/united-mobilit…

$FTK.DE one of the largest pan-European online brokers at 15x fwd PE with 25% p.a growth vs peer group at 19x:
toffcap.com/flatexdegiro/
9/ NoNameStocks blog takes the concept of obscure, off-the-beaten-path investments to the extreme.

The blog solely covers dark or OTC-only nanocap stocks with limited visibility.

Writes up are short and focused on the key inflection drivers.
10/ Recent posts on NoNameStocks.

$IVTO profitable, debt-free non-animal-based testing company trading slightly below its $1.2m in net cash:
nonamestocks.com/2022/11/ivro-y…

$BDRL left for a dead firm with 30-year public mkt history at $2m Mcap and $16m sales:
nonamestocks.com/2022/08/keepin…
11/ @tinystockninja mainly covers profitable US-listed microcaps with significant insider ownership.

Well-structured write-ups with a clearly defined thesis and well-thought-out background on a business.

Tiny Stock Ninja insights from mgmt conversations are especially helpful.
12/ Recent posts on Tiny Stock Ninja.

$CRU.L high quality, niche plastics producer led by experienced mgmt and trading at less than 5x FCF:
tinystockninja.substack.com/p/coral-produc…

$KTEL countercyclical company nearing growth inflection and led by mgmt with a 55% stake:
tinystockninja.substack.com/p/konatel-inc-…
13/ The Superinvestors of Augustusville by @augustusville.

The blog focuses on illiquid, undercovered names with an occasional shift to special situations as well as quality compounders.

Industry and largely geographically agnostic with a slight skew towards European names.
14/ Recent posts on @augustusville's blog.

$FEW.F Illiquid hidden champion with ROIC of 40%+ in recent years (up from 18% in 2016):
augustusville.substack.com/p/funkwerk-ag-…

$OTOEL.AT Family-owned quality business with a LT orientation trading at less than 5x EV/EBITDA:
augustusville.substack.com/p/car-rental-c…
15/ Finally my own blog Special Situation Investments.

So far I did not have much free content as all of my currently active investment picks are behind the paywall.

But that is going to change shortly.

Sign up for free SSI newsletter on SSI home page: specialsituationinvestments.com

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More from @InvestSpecial

Mar 10
1/ New investment ideas from VIC 👇

Incl: $WBA, $GIS short & $VCIF

$WBA pitch:
– Wallgreens Boots Alliance - trades near all-time lows on virtually every metric.
– Fundamentals are expected to inflect in the second half of FY23.
...👇
2/ $WBA pitch (cont.):
– Company’s YOY EPS trajectory is projected to flip from about -31% in the first half, to 29% in the back-half.
– This will be driven by lower COVID headwinds, improvements in WBA’s Healthcare business, the timing of reimbursements, and lower COGS.
3/ $WBA pitch (cont.):
– The company has been transitioning under its new CEO into a multi-channel technology-driven healthcare provider and a one-stop shop for all healthcare needs.
– This is expected to drive longer-term EPS growth in the 13-15% range.
Read 13 tweets
Feb 28
1/ Just finished sifting through the Q4 hedge fund letters.

Here are 10 investment pitches that piqued my interest
👇
2/ $FTLF pitch by @alluvialcapital

Health and fitness supplements retailer on a cusp of a transformational acquisition likely to double its sales and increase income by 50%+. Currently, trading at just 11x PE. A highly profitable, fast-growing, and well-managed firm.
@alluvialcapital 3/ This is also a "Jokey" bet on the CEO/controlling shareholder to continue executing. Thus far, the CEO has built a strong distribution channel, nine portfolio brands, and a healthy e-commerce presence.

Alluvial Q4 letter:
alluvialcapital.com/partnership-in…
Read 21 tweets
Feb 8
1/ New investment ideas from VIC 👇

Incl: $IDT, $QRVO and $HUN

$IDT pitch:
– A founder-led company with an incredibly strong history of value creation.
– Every $1 invested in IDT in 2012 is worth over $35 today.
...👇
2/ $IDT pitch (cont.):
– Owning IDT today gives investors exposure to three high-growth subsidiaries within IDT, a traditional communications business run rating around $100mm in EBITDA, as well as a large net cash balance sheet and management’s capital allocation prowess.
3/ $IDT pitch (cont.):
– The company is leveraging its existing customer relationships to launch new products, services and business lines.
– Two straight quarters of meaningful share repurchase for the first time in years is a very positive signal.
Read 13 tweets
Feb 7
1/ New investment ideas from VIC 👇

Incl: $MGM, $TGNA arb and $IMXI

$MGM pitch:
– Casino resort owner/operator.
– Extremely attractive investment – very strong downside protection, line-of-sight to >100% upside, and much greater long-term upside.
...👇
2/ $MGM pitch (cont.):
– Trades at pre-covid levels, despite repurchasing 22% of shares, selling assets at premium valuations, and having the strongest balance sheet ever.
– Robustly cash-flowing domestic casino’s portfolio covers the current market cap fully.
3/ $MGM pitch (cont.):
– 56% stake in SEHK:2282 is worth a further $6 and potentially significantly more given the relaxation of extreme COVID policies that have gutted Macau’s gambling industry over the last 3 years.
Read 14 tweets
Jan 17
1/ New investment ideas from VIC 👇

Incl: $CKHUY, $HLS.TO and $TOST.

$CKHUY pitch:
– A portfolio of infrastructure-like assets at less than 5x P/E and more than 6% dividend yield.
– CKH’s primary businesses today are ports, retail, telecom, infrastructure, and energy.
...👇
2/ $CKHUY pitch (cont.):
– Transitory reasons have caused the stock to go from “discounted” to “severely discounted” since 2017.
– Roughly ~13% of EBIT comes from China/HK, and ~58% from Europe.
3/ $CKHUY pitch (cont.):
– A number of catalysts on the horizon, including IPOs/disposals of assets, buybacks and more active role from the new Chairman.
– If nothing happens, the company is delivering a 6% dividend yield with a 10 year track-record of compounding BV at ~7%.
Read 13 tweets
Jan 16
1/ New investment ideas from VIC 👇

Incl: $KNSL short, $SPT short, and $OABI.

$KNSL short pitch:
– Excess and surplus (E&S) insurer trading at a remarkable 12x book value and 40x earnings.
– E&S insurance cycle is topping out and will likely start turning down next year.
...👇
2/ $KNSL short pitch (cont.):
– Kinsale has rapidly taken share as standard insurer carriers did not want to participate in E&S area in the aftermath of the GFC and during COVID.
– However, competition and E&S supply are quickly ramping up after years of outsized gains.
3/ $KNSL valuation:
– Trades at 12x BV multiple – roughly six times higher than historical average for P&C business.
– At 3x BV and 16x 2024 earnings, KNSL is worth $100/share.

Exp. gain: 67% to $100/share.

Full write-up (free guest account required): valueinvestorsclub.com/idea/KINSALE_C…
Read 12 tweets

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