“The source said the arrest warrants could include the crime of genocide, and were expected to arrive in the “short term” if the court prosecutor’s request was approved by a pre-trial judge at the Hague-based court.” theglobeandmail.com/world/article-…
A word of caution: the #ICC works fast & slow. It’s not the most predictable court. Warrants could be approved by judges next week or in six months. That this story is leaking now matters & may be pressure on judges to quickly give the ✅ for warrants. But let’s not jump the gun.
The leak that 2 cases may be forthcoming (leaks I should add are *rare* for the #ICC), may also be a way to signal to 🇷🇺 that the Prosecutor is acting and won’t back down. He meets & hugs Zelensky with PR videos made of his 🇺🇦 trips. But he doesn’t & can’t speak to the Kremlin.
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For those coming to #ISA2023, welcome to Montreal!
I called the city home until recently, so put together this 🧵 on things you can do. Hope it's helpful.
The city has tons to offer – especially beyond the trap of conference halls and Ste. Catherine’s street!
MTL is a city of neighbourhoods.
Explore them!
Three I recommend are Verdun, Little Italy, & the Plateau (esp Mont Royal street). All have great, quirky bars, some of the best restaurants in Canada, and are just plain beautiful and fun.
A visit to MTL is not complete without heading up Mont Royal (that big bump in the middle of the city).
From the conference, your best bet is to head up and through McGill, so you can check out the university.
Event on domestic investigations and prosecutions of international crimes in Ukraine, by Ukraine, featuring Ukrainians. #ASP21 🇺🇦
Sharp, smart line: “as a country at war, Ukraine doesn’t need the international community to tell us what international standards are, we need them to help us meet those standards.” #ASP21
Really interesting point by Thierry Cruvellier that the history of the war in Ukraine is being written in local courts where war crimes are being prosecuted.
Liechtenstein’s Christian Wenaweser: it’s time to bring the jurisdiction of the crime in line w the other three core crimes under the Rome Statute.
Me: Would love to see those that neutered the crime - incl Canada - take the lead. #ASP21
Wenaweser says the UNGA is the avenue to choose to create a special tribunal on the crime of aggression for Ukraine, to circumvent issue of 🇷🇺 (and 🇧🇾) immunities. #ASP21
Jennifer Trahan of Global Institute for the Prevention of Aggression: tribunal should not be hybrid but made via UNGA as an international court w non-Ukrainian judges, would look back to 2014 w no forward temporal limitations on jurisdiction, & would be based in The Hague. #ASP21
I was recently asked about the possible effects of the #ICC's intervention on resolving the conflict in Ukraine and de-escalating violence.
So, a few thoughts 🧵👇
First, the #ICC's investigation won't solve the war or likely even do much for peace.
Peace isn't on the table and the effects of the Court are often much more modest than people imagine.
Any suggestion otherwise is wrong and unnecessary for support of the Court.
The ICC's effects on belligerents depends on how they view the Court.
Putin's well aware that the ICC likely has him in its cross-hairs, if not for what is happening now, then for Crimea and Georgia. There's no reason to believe he cares. He has stayed silent on the subject.