FATALLY FLAWED ARTICLE: This is where journos start with an assumption and make the narrative fit. Saying Ukraine has FEW combat experienced troops is ludicrous. They interviewed one commander & 2 anonymous soldiers to spell DOOM for the AFU. Bullshit. washingtonpost.com/world/2023/03/…
I want to put some focus on a fact about Ukrainian casualties. Out of my 20 man platoon 100% have been injured. 90% were small shrapnel & they were back in operation in 2 weeks BUT the Ukrainian medevac system puts them in hospital to heal then 2 weeks convalescent leave.
A slightly wounded guy is off the line for 2-4 weeks. The 2 who were really injured had partial deafness. As much as 50% have had 2+ small wounds over 3 mos. So Ukrainian wounded to killed ratio is high bc the Ukr med system takes them off line for minor injuries. A Good system
BUT THEY ALMOST ALL COME BACK. I believe the AFU are nearing 17,000 KIA but the number of REPORTED wounded was always going to be sky high, like 10-1, bc that’s the way AFU medical system works. But most noncritical injuries go back to the unit. & some skill gaps w/replacements.
The article seems to say that the AFU had been whittled down to a pool of unskilled replacements. That’s absolute rubbish! Almost 100% of that army now blooded combat veterans. Some new guys come & learn quickly.
What @washingtonpost left out is WHY Ukraine has this skills & manpower edge … Russians who are critically or even moderately wounded are abandoned OR THEY ALL DIE. 160,000 RU KIA is not a joke. But putting the AFU total KIA/WIA # next to Ru totals is looking for false “parity”
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CATASTROPHIC: 1st day after picture of Moskva listing port & settling down to sink. Explosions blew off all massive radar arrays & masts! Fires raging on mid ships missile deck & hole at waterline shows where NEPTUN struck. It went in hull THEN exploded. This ship will def roll.
TOP PAIR radar is still present but this photo is not from day of attack. This is a dead ship being towed. All lifeboats & motor whale boats gone. How it held together & didn’t crack in half is a naval mystery.
Both NEPTUN missiles hit amidships. That’s where ALL the damage is fm multiple explosions. Blast debris everywhere! Good chance of survivors aft of rear stacks but foward? No way. Blasts, Fire, smoke would’ve killed them all. Maybe in the fwd gun mount or the bow lookout but…
SITUATION REPORT FM KYIV: WH actions likely based on Enemy Most Dangerous Course of Action. MY VIEW: US Intell can see all moves but Putin’s GO Order will not be seen quickly. Definitive signs: 1) Ru Air Force Weapons depots will load up at multiple air bases. #UkraineConflict
2) Bastion/Kalibr Cruise msls & Iskander Ballistic msls units will receive orders & set up real firing positions. 3) Blinding Jamming/Cyber atk on all cell/internet. 4) armor assault units move to 10km fm border. 5) MASSIVE air strikes & fighter sweeps all over Ukraine.
6) Russian Army SSO commandos & parachute forces may drop/helicopter directly on KBP airport, comms, mm gov & key centers in central Kyiv. Hope for quick capitulation of gov or disorganized response. It won’t happen. Fighting WILL break out Nation wide w/Locals hunting Russians
My Assessment fm Kyiv: #UkraineCrisis if Putin wants to take this country by force. My prelim findings: Russian forces are formidable & may be able to take Chernihiv-Sumy-Kharkiv-Luhansk-Donetsk axis but at massive cost & can take Kyiv at a terrible cost. Insurgency will follow.
Initial assault will likely come from simultaneous: 1) Nation blinding Cyber atk on cell/internet/TV. 2) Ballistic msl attacks (SS-21, SS-26) & Kalibr cruise msls & drones on UKR bases 3) Air supremacy blitz/fighter sweeps on airbases in Eastern & central Ukraine. 4) Land War
Land War options: 1) LIMITED-Armor attack w/PDR rebels to take last of of Donetsk/Luhansk. Russian army will link up Crimea region by taking Kherson-Melitopol-Mariupol axis to Donetsk. 2) SERIOUS- Seize all East border via Chernihiv-Sumy-Kharkiv axis fm E/NE & link to Donbas.
Ok America. Trump’s former, accurately titled, “acting DNI” asks where is the proof Trump supporters want to kill Americans. Let’s recalibrate him since he has clearly been in a coma in between subverting democracy and betraying the Constitution. I’ll start:
HERE IS WHY I’m going to delete this tweet. Today we lost 12 brave Americans & many Afghans. I deeply regret how callous it now sounds. I would never intentionally disrespect my brothers & sisters in arms. I also sincerely apologize to their families, and I pray for them. 1/
As proud combat veteran whose family has served the U.S. military for 150 years, I spent almost all of my adult hood in defense of our country & its freedoms & guarded it w/my own life. Yes, I posted before there were any serious casualties reported. I should’ve waited. 2/
Over 70,000 Afghan civilians, 40,000 Afghan soldiers, and 2,743 Americans have died in this conflict. I am heartsick about the lives we have already lost and those we lost today. 3/
TOP SECRET STORY TIME: Today #DesertStorm30 I moved from the slightly sinking USS Tripoli to the battleship USS Missouri’s SIGINT team to watch reactions of Iraqi 11th & 19th Infantry divisions to a fake amphibious attack we would make to hold them while Kuwait was invaded.
My space was the STRIKE WARFARE on 03 Deck, a WW2 Battle bridge w/18” steel walls/doors aft of the 16” gun Mount 162. The Big Mo RQ-2 Pioneer Drone team asked me to help identify viable targets. First mission: bombard a Iraqi weps depot. 16” shells hit it within 200m fm 23 miles
16” gun shells were called “bullets”. We fired bullets all night 24-25. At 0400ish I hear a terrifyingly familiar radio call “ALL STATIONS THIS IS HMS GLOUCSTER! VAMPIRE! VAMPIRE! VAMPIRE!” It means Volkswagen sized Iraqi SILKWORM anti ship missiles are flying at us. Unhealthy!!