Paul Maidowski Profile picture
Mar 15 11 tweets 5 min read
A. #LongCovidAwarenessDay.

Time for people with LongCovid to speak. Here just one high-level lesson I can add:

Use precise medical language to access care. Demand change from an establishment that hung you out to dry.

Eg, it's SAND, equivalent to HAND in HIV, not 'brain fog'.
B. Beware, few understand SARS viral persistence as cause of LongCovid (etiology). IDK why!

MDs then treat symptoms, not causes. Be sure not to waste time you don't have.

Demand a viral load test. HIV T cell depletion tests can diagnose Long Covid, just as it did for Long SARS.
C. Always teach the relevant scales and dynamics.

65 million patients!?!

That's twice as many as people living with HIV, and you're treated far worse: often gaslit, no POC T cell test, people mostly ignore you.

On the AIDS timeline, we are in the early 1980s.

Read this again.
D. That's why charming little people like me have no qualms about comparing SARS-CoV and HIV even if it makes bigger people who wrote terrible policies over the past three years uncomfortable.

Send this to biomed researchers.

We need $ and good people. mdpi.com/1422-0067/24/3…
E. Even as a climate policy expert, {climate is going badly, icymi}

the state of COVID-19 policymaking and lack of institutionalization stunned me.

1 COVID-19 PHEIC may end soon.
2 No one picked up the UNCOVID idea yet.

SOMETHING like it will be needed.
F. The Lancet has been quite outstanding - various links here with the above caveats.

Overall, science and international cooperation among scientists/labs/volunteers (like me, haha) has been the one bright light in this pandemic.

Enough talk. Good luck!
thelancet.com/journals/lance…
G. What funding?? $5-10 billion *per year* in USA, China, Europe *each* needed for research alone.

What is happening in reality?

Surveillance and genetic sequencing is being dismantled. Community PCR tests - how we see what the virus is doing - a rarity.
H. That's the state of COVID-19 politics as we enter Year Four of a pandemic that (1) should never have gone past summer 2020, had states followed their own pandemic playbooks, as they did for SARS 2003 (see thesis) and H1N1 2009.
I. There should never have been 10,000s of LongCovid patients, even; never mind millions.

Some of these questions are hard. Others, really not.

Happy organizing everyone!

I'll shut up now 🤣
J. COVID-19 (1) should never have gone past summer 2020 and (2) could still end any day by existing law (IHR 2005). We're the only people consistently making this point.

It doesn't show us to be smart; but something to be deeply wrong in current politics.
K. Hope this thread helps or motivates. Always have simple system dynamics diagram in mind, eg sketch by @bethsawin:

Think in such models—they can help and clarify.

Or draw your own. Ending transmission is priority.

Be your own messengers if no one else does it.

Be well, 🖖💁‍♂️

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More from @_ppmv

Mar 17
1. Life expectancy in a world Living with Covid

People want citations for the claim survival rates 20 years post infection at age 50 may be less than 30%. Look at emerging trends. =>Lawyers and epidemiologists’ job

=>Precautionary principle. Don’t wait to demand policy change ImageImage
2. I encourage folks to ask smart economists like @lajohnstondr who know trends in China for analysis of these demographic transitions. You can literally see the moment when policymakers got bored with protecting the population in the data!

See old societies like Japan, Germany. Image
3. @adam_tooze is right. Pay attention to what the pandemic does to rich/old and poor/old countries. You’d expect major societal decline if a country suddenly (subconsciously) decides to throw their old under the bus. Russia already got there; the rest I hope is redeemable. Image
Read 7 tweets
Mar 16
$2k scientific rap €4 billion airline revenue

🤝
Address causes of a SARS pandemic ImageImage
You see how public health and science are not on equal footing, right?

Some are flying higher than others! Time to ground them in facts again.
Some may think I’m joking in saying there is a tradeoff between climate and society, or my identities as climate scholar/activist and other roles in life.

We may be transparent on Twitter, but wider society is not.

Public health makes this clear. We need to address it clearly.
Read 4 tweets
Mar 16
1. Where is the art of COVID?

Project alert! Good things on the way, perhaps @BabaBrinkman-grade scientific rap: Idea is a track on molnupiravir, a public health risk since the (useless) drug can create supermutated variants and exacerbate the pandemic.

Might do this. DM open🔥
3. Previous @BabaBrinkman rap: I shared some on climate/COVID, but leave you to discover yourself.

Great format for scicomm.

Perhaps more important, ask folks younger than us. I think @nephologue used one of Baba’s tracks in atmospheric science class?
Read 10 tweets
Mar 16
Good news! XBB.1.5 now classified as VoI. Criteria for VoC classification updated (=>new Greek letter)

Appreciate great work by volunteers. Now it's time to professionalize: Names matter in politics and coordinating public responses.

States need to deliver sufficient resources.
Quality memes 🤣 ImageImage
Criteria: this only took a several minutes and multiple clicks / downloads. By WHO's labyrinthine standards user-friendly! who.int/publications/m…
Read 4 tweets
Mar 16
1. Azvudine. Requires medical supervision and competent governance. It's no free-pass to end COVID-19. (Only share with this context.)

Fosun and Genuine Biotech donated ~400,000 bottles of Azvudine tablets worth RMB 100 million to rural counties in China. prnewswire.com/news-releases/…
2. This overview of COVID-19 antivirals for patients with chronic kidney disease notes that Azvudine may be used also for patients with HIV or CKD and COVID-19 coinfection. frontiersin.org/articles/10.33… Image
3. Nucleoside reverse transcriptase inhibitor (NRTI) with broad-spectrum antiviral activity against HIV,
HCV, EV71, and HBV infection that modulates the expression of P-glycoprotein (P-gp). Also effective against SARS-CoV-2. ImageImageImageImage
Read 7 tweets
Mar 15
Two types of systems thinking.

One completely irrational. The other rational—or so we think.

(1) I must admit watching systemic failure live makes it easier to apply for $ for ideas to stop total systemic failure. (2) 1-10% that we (I) are deluded, and I mix up the ir/rational. Image
Not always smoothly, but reality is forcing folks to get real.

Decarbonization by design or disaster?

We have been trying to warn you all for three years and counting.
If you're remotely aware of LongCOVID, read this timeline attentively.

You can read current COVID-19 incidence data as (order of magnitude) 1:1 LC incidence, because no one is collecting data anymore.

10-20% LC per infection, vs. 10-25 fold undercount for almost the past year. Image
Read 5 tweets

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