Nate Latshaw Profile picture
Mar 16, 2023 20 tweets 27 min read Read on X
1/ Statistical breakdowns for:

#UFC286 Edwards vs. Usman 3

Every fighter & bout included in 1 thread, featuring:

#MMA & #UFC career overviews
✅Finish, KO, & SUB rates
✅Striking & grappling stats
✅Strength of schedule stats
✅Recent form
✅& more!

Enjoy! 🧵
2/ Before diving into the #UFC286 figures:

I actually already gave #MMATwitter all the figures in this thread (and many, many more) via a downloadable, mobile-friendly PDF.

If you missed it, you can still get it via my prior tweet!
👇
3/ Professional #MMA & #UFC career comparison for:

Leon Edwards vs Kamaru Usman

#UFC286
4/ Professional #MMA & #UFC career comparison for:

Justin Gaethje vs Rafael Fiziev

#UFC286
5/ Professional #MMA & #UFC career comparison for:

Gunnar Nelson vs Bryan Barberena

#UFC286
6/ Professional #MMA & #UFC career comparison for:

Jennifer Maia vs Casey O'Neill

#UFC286
7/ Professional #MMA & #UFC career comparison for:

Marvin Vettori vs Roman Dolidze

#UFC286
8/ Professional #MMA & #UFC career comparison for:

Jack Shore vs Makwan Amirkhani

#UFC286
9/ Professional #MMA & #UFC career comparison for:

Chris Duncan vs Omar Morales

#UFC286
10/ Professional #MMA & #UFC career comparison for:

Sam Patterson vs Yanal Ashmouz

#UFC286
11/ Professional #MMA & #UFC career comparison for:

Muhammad Mokaev vs Jafel Filho

#UFC286
12/ Professional #MMA & #UFC career comparison for:

Lerone Murphy vs Gabriel Santos

#UFC286
13/ Professional #MMA & #UFC career comparison for:

Christian Duncan vs Dusko Todorovic

#UFC286
14/ Professional #MMA & #UFC career comparison for:

Jake Hadley vs Malcolm Gordon

#UFC286
15/ Professional #MMA & #UFC career comparison for:

Joanne Wood vs Luana Carolina

#UFC286
16/ Professional #MMA & #UFC career comparison for:

Jai Herbert vs Ludovit Klein

#UFC286
17/ Professional #MMA & #UFC career comparison for:

Juliana Miller vs Veronica Hardy

#UFC286
18/ For those from #MMATwitter who enjoy statistical comparisons:

I also built a Twitter bot that will reply to your tweeted requests for stats on any two current or former #UFC fighters!

Check out @MMAStatsBot to get started! 👇
19/ Looking for more #UFC286 statistics?

I run a free #UFC stats website that gives #MMATwitter the ability to interactively explore fight data in ways not possible elsewhere!

I update the site often so it always shows the upcoming @ufc event!
👇
20/ That's a wrap - hope you enjoyed these #UFC286 stats & figures!

I post a thread like this prior to each #UFC event!

Now you can jump back to the top of the thread to share, bookmark, & access these insights later!

• • •

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More from @NateLatshaw

Mar 17, 2023
1/ How impactful are KO/TKO losses in the @ufc?

Here I show some quick analysis regarding the frequency of KO/TKO losses.

Initial results have some potentially concerning implications for fighter safety.

More analysis is needed, but this may be of interest to the @UFCPI.

🧵
2/ This figure shows the frequency of each fight outcome following a KO/TKO loss.

We see that the most likely fight outcome following a KO/TKO loss is another KO/TKO loss.

This is concerning - more on that later. Image
3/ This figure shows the frequency of a KO/TKO loss following each type of loss

Following a SUB loss, 15.4% of fighters lose via KO/TKO in their next bout

Following a KO/TKO loss, it's 23.2%

Fighters lose via KO/TKO 50% more often after a KO/TKO loss than after any other loss Image
Read 7 tweets
Mar 15, 2023
1/ Recently got my hands on some @BellatorMMA data courtesy of BD Sport!

This thread walks through some statistical trends over the last 2 years of Bellator fights.

It also includes some unique #MMA data I haven't seen in the public sphere.

Let's jump in 🧵 ImageImageImageImage
2/ @BellatorMMA finish rates in 2021-2022

~1 of every 2 bouts ends via finish

~1 of every 3 bouts ends via KO

~1 of every 5-6 bouts ends via SUB Image
3/ @BellatorMMA 1st round finish rates in 2021-2022

~1 of every 3-4 bouts ends via 1st round finish

~1 of every 5 bouts ends via 1st round KO

~1 of every 10 bouts ends via 1st round SUB Image
Read 7 tweets
Jan 2, 2023
1/ 2022 was a great year for the sport of #MMA

Here's a look at how @ufc, @ONEChampionship, @BellatorMMA, & @PFLMMA all compared!

Which promotion had the most finishes?

What about 1st round finishes, KOs, SUBs, split decisions, etc.?

I cover it all here for #MMATwitter! 🧵
2/ 2022 Finish Rates by Promotion

1⃣ 65.8% - @ONEChampionship
2⃣ 52.9% - @BellatorMMA
3⃣ 52.7% - @ufc
4⃣ 51.4% - @PFLMMA

Note: I collected all stats from Sherdog, so these numbers are unofficial
3/ 2022 Knockout Rates by Promotion

1⃣ 41.0% - @ONEChampionship
2⃣ 36.4% - @PFLMMA
3⃣ 36.2% - @BellatorMMA
4⃣ 33.5% - @ufc

Note: I collected all stats from Sherdog, so these numbers are unofficial
Read 12 tweets
Mar 16, 2022
1/ Thread: Showcasing tons of @ufc statistics for the entire #UFCLondon Volkov vs Aspinall card!

This is your one-stop shop for detailed stats on every fighter & bout, featuring:

✅Overviews of each fighter's #MMA & #UFC career
✅Comparison figure(s) for most bouts

Enjoy!

🧵 ImageImageImageImage
2/ Professional #MMA and #UFC career comparison for Alexander Volkov vs Tom Aspinall

74% finish (65% KO) rate in 34 wins for Volkov who won 3 of his last 4 bouts

100% finish (82% KO) rate in 11 wins for Aspinall who is on a 7 bout win streak

#UFCLondon #NumbersByNate ImageImageImageImage
3/ Professional #MMA and #UFC career comparison for Arnold Allen vs Dan Hooker

53% finish (29% KO) rate in 17 wins for Allen who is on a 10 bout win streak

81% finish (48% KO) rate in 21 wins for Hooker whose last 3 wins went the distance

#UFCLondon #NumbersByNate ImageImageImageImage
Read 15 tweets

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