Brief thoughts on likely return to active weather pattern in CA after a much-needed several day break right now. There is *high* confidence that wet and cool conditions will return next week, but right now there is *low* confidence in strength of storms. #CAwx #CAwater (1/4) 
Ensembles suggest that there is very high likelihood that unsettled and occasionally stormy conditions return to most of CA by early next wk. But vast majority of ensemble members suggest this will involve series of weak to moderate systems vs. major storms. #CAwx #CAwater (2/4)
Also, for the moment, it looks like these are more likely to be colder (snow-accumulating) storms once again, with less runoff than recent events. So this pattern might actually stave off substantial snowpack melting yet further-at least into April. #CAwx #CAwater (3/4)
So for the moment, I am not seeing a hugely concerning flood signal for next wk despite return of a rainy/snowy pattern. That said, soils are saturated & rivers are already running high--so it wouldn't take much of an upward shift in predictions to cause problems. (4/4) #CAwx
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