To start you need to create an execution plan based on the data that is available
In this case the expected data was:
YoY Est. 6.0%
YoY Core Est. 5.5%
$BTC and the crypto market was in an uptrend (for several reasons) so there was at least a clear H1 uptrend-> IM LONG BIAS
IDEAL SCENARIO(1): dump pre CPI -> CPI comes in good -> I will try to long max 3 coins ( 2 lev and 1 spot) depending on which one comes close to my POI
OR hold the line(2) (price hovers in a small range, not giving the pullback) ->CPI FLAT OR BELOW = GOOD -> crypto breaks out
There was also confluence with some of the top "MACRO QUANTS" I follow, some people that are way smarter than me share their own gameplan publicly:
Shared my plan and my altcoin picks in my Free Telegram Trading channel
In these kind of events speed is a priority so you need to be focused on quick execution, no distraction, you execute the plan with risk management in case it backfires
My top picks for lev were:
$OP $ETH
For executing fast enough, first you need to have the fastest free information available (or paid service)
I know I can get a fast Market BUY (cause Im bullish biased) on the 2nd monitor split like this:
$ETH was my Binance lev pick, already had pos size and SL set for Market order (mouse over BUY button)
$LQTY (or others) for spot Binance
$OP Bitget this was on the phone app
As soon as I saw the numbers were as expected:
Press buy on $ETH Binance PC
Press buy at the same time $OP Bitget phone app
(I had already 2 lev fast scalps)
Quickly go to Binance SPOT ( $LQTY broke out,wasnt fast enough, so I waited for retests)
Instant fast profits taken
There are also faster alternatives to "APE" news at a press of a button using a "terminal" type API trade management tool
A tool that does this and is coded by @iam4x which is extremely promising is @tuleep_trade
I am starting real time testing on it to prepare for next event
For the first 2 trades there was no TA involved, only quick news sources and reaction (even if it was manual execution, with experience you can still be profitable)
$OP had a good retest of the 2.7$ (Monthly Open) after the initial breakout and went back in based on m3 TA
I was waiting for a spot opportunity, from the alarms that went off $FTM had a big breakout above the 0.44$ important level (others were interested in it)
Went in oversized on the retest cause invalidation was easy, managed to pull 5%+ of spot account increase in one trade
For #PPI day the market was no longer bullish, so I wasnt expecting such a big impact on positive data, shared the plan again, still bullish biased
28.9% total move (21.7% realized profit)
9 wins / 2 closes around entry
In cases like these when there are news events & high volatility im going for lower number of trades and try to sync high probability setups with $BTC movement
In times of FUD/News events, less trading = more
I take only high probability setups in sync with $BTC movements
Low number of trades but higher probability, a good ex is my 2ndary smaller futures account that Im trying to slowly scale up.
HOW I GOT BACK MY BIG FTX LOSS
(compounding my accounts)
A story sprinkled with alpha about:
-Mental recovery
-Risk management
-Applied TA on narrative trading
-Examples and news trading execution
-Using twitter in my advantage
-The people that helped me along the way🧵
Personal performance review from January2023 to now:
Binance main account Spot+Futures 2.5x
Binance futures acc 2x with 73% winrate
Bitget Febr account +60% profit with 71% winrate
Im sure a lot of you can relate with bits and pieces from this story:
I sold everything in usdt/partial fiat in Dec2021
-Q1 2022 was probably the worse trading quarter,bled out a lot of capital in lev trading (conditions weren`t the same but I was using same strategies)