1/ 🧵#Stablecoin regulation by Congress can bring clarity and consumer protection, unlocking benefits for consumers & SMEs. Faster, affordable payments await! (see papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cf…).
3/ #1: You need a robust reserve design that can weather market storms 🌪️ and a major run (papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cf…). The plan by the now-defunct @DiemAssociation was short-term US Treasuries (90 days or less) & repos for liquidity.
4/ Diem would not have de-pegged🔗! Over months of work, @FINMA_media & a regulatory college, which convened dozens of regulators across the globe, provided feedback, asked for improvements to Diem's design, and discussed extreme events exactly like the ones we've now witnessed.
5/ As a testament to the quality of work by @FINMA_media and the bank-like review process Diem completed — same risk, same regulation! — when the US President's Working Group released its stablecoin report (home.treasury.gov/news/press-rel…)... it mirrored Diem's design.🤔
6/ So while money market funds are convenient, even if they only invest in short-term USTs, they introduce counterparty risk and can levy gates and fees in a crisis — leaving coin holders to absorb losses. 🚨 That is why we dropped MMFs from the Diem design early in our journey.
7/ 🏦 Bank deposits run into the same issues we've seen over the last days with Silicon Valley Bank, as stablecoin issuers need liquidity for mint and burn operations well above the @FDICgov insured limit. 🚨
8/ In lieu of a @federalreserve master account, stablecoin issuers should therefore use 90 days or less US Treasuries, repos, and minimal cash distributed across multiple banks. 🏦🏦🏦🏦🏦🏦🏦
9/ #2: Stablecoin issuers need to be able to absorb losses due to credit, market, and operational risk. The Basel III framework provides clear guidance for calculating 🧮 the first two (probably <0.5% capital charge), and losses are limited if USTs are short-term.
10/ Operational risk capital requirements are more significant and require carefully identifying and estimating 🔍 losses from idiosyncratic scenarios that don't exist in traditional banking.
11/ Examples range from failures in mint/burn 🔥🔥 operations to unauthorized minting, attacks on the underlying blockchain infrastructure, errors in smart contracts, AML/CFT violations, data privacy breaches, legal fines, and more.
12/ Overall, operational risk can add anywhere between 0.5% and 1.5% to the issuer's capital requirements 🪙, depending on who the issuer mints & burns with, the blockchains it operates on, and, of course, operational, compliance, and other risk controls and mitigations in place.
13/ #3: Regulation needs to address AML/CFT concerns 👮 and how KYC 🪪 has to be implemented on open networks. Diem addressed this by dropping unhosted wallets from its design, but that solution had negative side-effects on the potential for the network to democratize access.
14/ Deposit tokens similarly solve this by bringing #stablecoins within the banking framework. 🏦 However, doing so eliminates any upside in terms of increased competition and lower costs. If deposit tokens are the only path, expect no benefits to consumers & businesses.
15/ New identity protocols 🆔 and verified credentials can better address the tension between AML/CFT requirements and open networks. 🌐 Stablecoins need open networks to deliver their benefits! (annualreviews.org/doi/abs/10.114… and hbr.org/2021/08/stable…)
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1/ The US risks squandering its technological leadership in the crypto domain. The @WhiteHouse's economic report exemplifies the insufficient research conducted to offer a balanced perspective on its underlying economics: whitehouse.gov/wp-content/upl…
2/ Like any General Purpose Technology (GPT), crypto presents immense potential but also poses new challenges. For instance, it could reintroduce competition to economic sectors that haven't seen it in decades! nber.org/papers/w22952
3/ Emerging technologies necessitate updated regulatory frameworks and constructive engagement between regulators and industry participants seeking regulation and clarity. theregreview.org/2021/05/10/mas…
1/13 Four years ago we came together as the founding team of ≋Libra to use crypto to democratize access to the financial system. As the last person from the original ≋ founding team involved in this phase of Diem, here are some personal thoughts and reflections on the journey.
2/13 A longer account is for another day, as the dust will need to settle for an objective assessment of the contributions (if any!) to the space. It has been an incredible learning experience and rollercoaster 🎢, and one that allowed me to meet some truly amazing people 😉.
3/13 We started with a very bold — and possibly ahead of its time — white paper that had a number of gaps, but was also responsible for accelerating progress on the public sector side towards central bank digital currencies. We followed with our own fair share of mistakes...
1/7 There is substantial confusion & FUD around what stablecoins could look like if they were only backed by high quality, liquid assets. Robust stablecoin design based on short-term US Treasuries can minimize counterparty risk & support meaningful scale. insights.som.yale.edu/insights/how-s…
2/7 As of September, there are $3.15T in Treasuries with a residual maturity under ~3 months. The total market capitalization of all stablecoins (including algorithmic and crypto-collateralized ones) is ~$130B, or ~4% of the supply,...
3/7 ...and there are additional mechanisms (including overnight reverse repo, etc.) if supply is too constrained. Extending maturity to one year expands the stock to $6.3T in Treasuries. HT @theshah39fiscaldata.treasury.gov/datasets/month…
1/8 The word stablecoin has become somewhat of a misnomer, as it is currently being used for a range of coins with drastically different economic properties. We discuss robust economic design w/@alonsodegortari: papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cf…
2/8 Stablecoins are cryptocurrencies designed to trade at par with a reference asset, typically the U.S. Dollar. While they all share the same fundamental objective of maintaining stability against their reference assets...
3/8 ...stablecoins differ substantially in terms of their economic design, quality of backing, stability assumptions and legal protections for coin holders.
2/15 DeFi projects go further by seeking to eliminate the need for intermediaries in financial transactions — replacing exchanges, market-makers, asset managers, banks, and other lenders with software protocols.
3/15 Although DeFi may hold great promise, it also raises novel policy and regulatory considerations. U.S. financial regulation assumes the presence of intermediaries, and it applies regulation to intermediaries as a way to regulate financial markets and related activities.
1/10 "In my judgment, we do not need to fear stablecoins. The Federal Reserve has traditionally supported responsible private-sector innovation. Consistent with this tradition, I believe that we must take strong account of the potential benefits of stablecoins, including..."
2/10 "the possibility that a U.S. dollar stablecoin might support the role of the dollar in the global economy. For example, a global U.S. dollar stablecoin network could encourage use of the dollar by making cross-border payments faster and cheaper, and it potentially could..."
3/10 "be deployed much faster and with fewer downsides than a CBDC. And the concern that stablecoins represent the unprecedented creation of private money and thus challenge our monetary sovereignty is puzzling, given that our existing system involves — indeed depends on —..."