Thread by @wearecryptos

1/14 There is so much speculation about the $ARB price on Twitter that I'm tempted to make my own 😎
Enjoy 🪂

2/14 First, the rumors.
I already heard that we have 4 years of vesting. Not true!
4 years old team, investors, etc.
Airdrop is unlocked immediately on March 23.

3/14 Many people talk about $ARB at 0.3 - 0.5$ per token. It would be very disappointing. I don't believe this will happen. If it's for a while.
Why ?
Let's use benchmark.

4/14 When $OP dropped in last year price dropped from 1,3$ to 0.47$. Sentiment was very week. We had big bear then. Optimism is much smaller than Arbitrum ecosystem.

After fall - $OP rise to even 3,5$. It is x7 from dip. Quite nice.

5/14 When $APT dropped in October we had big rocket to sky and then big dump. Dip was on 3,81$. Afterthat $APT rise to even 21$. Its about 6x ? Something like that.

Another example that when weak hands are sold out, organic growth follows. Very large pump.

6/14 This two coins was quite simillar to $ARB.
- Ecosystem
- EVM
- Layer 2
- Airdrop

But...

7/14 If You see on @l2beat You see that #Arbitrum have 55% of market share.
Optimism is 2x smaller.

It is mean that Arbitrum is much bigger than everything which we had dropped beffore.

Its is super bulish !

8/14 You can say "But everyone got this token" - you are right! A lot of people got it.
But we already know such stories. See on $UNI. And that was just the exchange.

Dump after drop. Big pump afterthat.

9/14 @OlimpioCrypto made nice label with his scenario, You can Use it too.
He benchmark to #Optimism, #Matic, #Solana #Fantom

10/14 Ok - my prediction !

I think we have:
- Nice market sentiment
- AirDrop of the biggest ecosystem
- We have/had #Arbitrum narrative
- Listing on a lot of CEX on start
- OTC market on 1.3$
So...

11/14 I think selling $ARB bellow 1$ is stupid.
Because after all weak hands sold, the price will be much higher.

3-5$ $ARB in bull market easy

12/14 On start I see the same scenario as before.
Big Pump, Big Dump, Selling selling selling...
And biggest pump You can imagine 😍

You must be patient !
Make the opposite of what most people do 😎

13/14 Maybe good option is sell 50% and 50% hodl.
You must think about it.
I dont know Your situation 😀

But I think few hours after start $ARB will be undervalue.

14/14 If You like my work 😍
- Like
- Comment
- Retweet

Enjoy 😎