Dr Charlie Gardner Profile picture
Mar 21, 2023 20 tweets 7 min read Read on X
9 years in the making, yesterday's #IPCC 6th assessment report synthesises a 6000-page (?) summary of climate and related sciences, and is arranged around 18 'headline statements'

I'm going to try and summarise it in 18 plain-language tweets 😬
1/ By burning stuff & emitting gasses we’ve DEFINITELY heated the world by 1.1C, but we haven’t stopped doing it. Wealthy countries and individuals have contributed much more to the problem, so we’re not equally to blame
2/ This has already had massive impacts on the weather, the oceans and the living world, everywhere on Earth. These changes have been catastrophic for people and nature, but those who have contributed least to the problem are the ones paying most of the costs
3/ Some people are starting to adapt, and adaptation works, but there’s not nearly enough of it. Already, in some places, adaptation isn’t feasible, in others it’s simply not possible. We need much more spending on adaptation, especially in the Global South
4/ There are increasing policies to mitigate climate change but not nearly enough. Even if all countries met their pledges we’d hit 1.5C and prob. 2C this century. However, countries aren’t even putting in place policies to allow them to meet their pledges, or investing the cash
5/ If we continue to burn stuff we’ll hit 1.5C very soon, and every bit of warming will make all the extreme impacts we’ve seen worse. But if we stop very quickly, warming would start to noticeably slow within 20 years
6/ For any level of warming, things will be much worse than we thought they’d be (in the last report). The damage will be much worse the more it warms and, because the impacts are interacting, they’ll become much more complex and difficult to manage
7/ Some changes are now unavoidable and irreversible, but we can limit them by stopping burning stuff asap. The more we heat the planet, the more likely we’ll cause sudden or irreversible changes, and the greater the chances of unimaginably catastrophic outcomes
8/ The more we heat the planet the greater the damage will be, but nature will be less able to sustain us and we’ll find it harder to adapt. We must be careful to avoid adapting in ways which make the problem worse
9/ To stop the heating we need to stop burning stuff, but it’s not when we stop that matters - it’s how much we burn in the meantime. If we don’t make huge cuts this decade we won’t keep below 2C, and we already have enough fossil fuels to blow past 1.5 without looking for more
10/ The only way we’ll have even half a chance of staying below 1.5C is by immediately stopping burning stuff. Every sector, everywhere around the world, has to do it. To stay below 1.5C we need to have stopped completely within 30 years
11/ If heating goes beyond 1.5C it could potentially be brought down again if we could work out how. This would require CO2 removal, but that might not be feasible. If we do ‘overshoot’, bad things will happen and might be irreversible
12/ Climate change threatens everything and we have very little time to secure a liveable future. To get out of this we need to cooperate, include everybody, and invest massively. What we do in the next few years will determine the future for thousands of years
13/ The more we do now, the less damage there’ll be. The more we delay, the less we’ll be able to do and the more expensive it will be. It won’t be cheap or easy, but governments can make it easier
14/ Everything has to change if we want to survive. We already have many of the solutions but we have to completely transition to them
15/ Many of the things we need to do to reduce mitigate climate change and adapt to its impacts will also help achieve our sustainable development goals
16/ Mitigating and adapting to climate change will be easier if we make it fair and take care of everybody, and the best way to adapt is to help the most vulnerable. Individual behavioural and consumption changes [that's me & you] are important and are also good in other ways
17/ Governments need to get serious and use all their influences – laws, taxes, subsidies, coordination across sectors – to help the rest of society get on with the changes we need. It will be better if diverse people and perspectives are involved in decision-making
18/ We need to be spending much more money on this, and there’s easily enough money around for it, but there are… ‘barriers’
That's it! Forgive me if I missed some nuance or your favourite bit

If any of that makes you want to do something – and if not you, who? – here are some tips

(it's another long thread though, maybe leave it for later)

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More from @CharlieJGardner

Jan 12
1/ Yes the globally wealthy have outsized emissions, and yes that’s a massive problem

But it’s actually only a small part of their devastating influence on the conditions that support life

🧵 Image
Fig 1 from the Nielsen et al 2021 paper cited in the thread, showing that high-socioeconomic status people in fluence the sustainability transition as consumers, investors, role models, organisational participants and citizens
2/ The world's richest 1% burnt through their fair share of the 'carbon budget' in the first 10 days of the year

They generate vastly disproportionate impacts by travelling, owning, and consuming so much

This isn’t trivial, those emissions kill people
theguardian.com/environment/20…
3/ But just as your ability to address climate & ecological breakdown isn’t based on your footprint but your power to influence others & change the institutions, communities and systems you’re part of

So the malign influence of the rich isn’t limited to their footprints either Fig 1 from the Nielsen et al 2021 paper cited in the thread, showing that high-socioeconomic status people in fluence the sustainability transition as consumers, investors, role models, organisational participants and citizens
Read 12 tweets
Jan 9
1/ On 24th January the Climate and Nature Bill will be read in Parliament but – outrageously – @UKLabour may not allow its MPs a free vote

It’s no exaggeration to say the fate of the world depends on urgent political action, so this is no time to be playing party politics
2/ 175 MPs support the bill, but the government doesn’t

"The Government does not support all the proposals in the Bill and so will not be supporting it. As a Government Whip, I am therefore unable to vote for the Bill or put my name to it"
environmentjournal.online/headlines/free…
3/ They believe current legislation and policies are enough. They are not

Both the Climate Change & Environment Acts are woefully lacking in ambition, scope, urgency, synergies, and mechanisms to ensure fairness and accountability

Read 5 tweets
Nov 25, 2024
The Climate and Nature Bill is dream legislation and we - you and I - have the chance to help make it UK law

But what’s so great about it, don’t we have legislation on climate and the environment already? Well...

Here are my Top 10 favourite things about the #CANBill Image
1️⃣ The #CANBill recognises the climate and nature crises as two sides of the same coin, and addresses them together

With separate legislation, nature risks paying the price for the net zero transition - for example, burning forests for electricity

We need joined-up legislation
We do have an Environment Act, which seeks to halt the decline in the abundance of species by 2030

But most of the damage is already done, and stopping declines isn't enough - we must aim higher!

So 2️⃣ the #CANBill seeks to reverse the loss of nature, and bring it back Image
Read 16 tweets
Nov 8, 2024
1/ To maintain all the carbon stored in forests, we just need to stop the trees being cut down, right?

Actually it’s a bit more complicated, because forests are more than just trees

They are whole communities of interacting plants and animals
🧵 Image
2/ That’s a big problem, because many tropical forests are losing or have already lost their largest animals

Many are heavily hunted for ‘bushmeat’, while lots of forests are, targically, now just too small to support populations of the biggest beasts

They are 'empty forests'
3/ Yet the disappearing animals interact with trees

Some are herbivores that graze their seedlings, some are carnivores that control the populations of herbivores

But the most important are frugivores, the fruit eaters, because these disperse the seeds of the trees
Read 8 tweets
Oct 29, 2024
1/ We're rightly terrified of feedback loops and tipping processes in the climate system - but what about climate feedbacks in our social and economic systems?
🧵 Image
2/ The FT reports on how the exceptional drought in South America has led to blackouts in Ecuador and Colombia, since water levels in the hydroelectric reservoirs are too low to generate sufficient electricity

ft.com/content/ed447a…
3/ Similar things are happening around the world, including the USA where drought threatens hydrogeneration at Glen Canyon Dam, and in Zimbabwe which suffers 19 hr electricity blackouts

Read 17 tweets
Oct 21, 2024
1/ If 'humanity is “on the precipice” of shattering Earth’s limits, and will suffer huge costs if we fail to act on biodiversity loss'

Then why is the main message of conservation still 'let's help the pandas and the penguins'? Image
2/ Don't get me wrong, I love penguins - just as I love so many plants and animals (pandas are ok, I guess)

But conservation is about so much more than saving endangered species

Nature underpins our prosperity, wellbeing, and survival - isn't that a big selling point?
3/ We've tried asking society to pay for conservation on the basis of ethical arguments and animals being cute

And society has laughed in our face

We spend 3x more on ice cream than on all the worlds nature reserves
Read 5 tweets

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