Dr Charlie Gardner Profile picture
Mar 21, 2023 20 tweets 7 min read Read on X
9 years in the making, yesterday's #IPCC 6th assessment report synthesises a 6000-page (?) summary of climate and related sciences, and is arranged around 18 'headline statements'

I'm going to try and summarise it in 18 plain-language tweets 😬
1/ By burning stuff & emitting gasses we’ve DEFINITELY heated the world by 1.1C, but we haven’t stopped doing it. Wealthy countries and individuals have contributed much more to the problem, so we’re not equally to blame
2/ This has already had massive impacts on the weather, the oceans and the living world, everywhere on Earth. These changes have been catastrophic for people and nature, but those who have contributed least to the problem are the ones paying most of the costs
3/ Some people are starting to adapt, and adaptation works, but there’s not nearly enough of it. Already, in some places, adaptation isn’t feasible, in others it’s simply not possible. We need much more spending on adaptation, especially in the Global South
4/ There are increasing policies to mitigate climate change but not nearly enough. Even if all countries met their pledges we’d hit 1.5C and prob. 2C this century. However, countries aren’t even putting in place policies to allow them to meet their pledges, or investing the cash
5/ If we continue to burn stuff we’ll hit 1.5C very soon, and every bit of warming will make all the extreme impacts we’ve seen worse. But if we stop very quickly, warming would start to noticeably slow within 20 years
6/ For any level of warming, things will be much worse than we thought they’d be (in the last report). The damage will be much worse the more it warms and, because the impacts are interacting, they’ll become much more complex and difficult to manage
7/ Some changes are now unavoidable and irreversible, but we can limit them by stopping burning stuff asap. The more we heat the planet, the more likely we’ll cause sudden or irreversible changes, and the greater the chances of unimaginably catastrophic outcomes
8/ The more we heat the planet the greater the damage will be, but nature will be less able to sustain us and we’ll find it harder to adapt. We must be careful to avoid adapting in ways which make the problem worse
9/ To stop the heating we need to stop burning stuff, but it’s not when we stop that matters - it’s how much we burn in the meantime. If we don’t make huge cuts this decade we won’t keep below 2C, and we already have enough fossil fuels to blow past 1.5 without looking for more
10/ The only way we’ll have even half a chance of staying below 1.5C is by immediately stopping burning stuff. Every sector, everywhere around the world, has to do it. To stay below 1.5C we need to have stopped completely within 30 years
11/ If heating goes beyond 1.5C it could potentially be brought down again if we could work out how. This would require CO2 removal, but that might not be feasible. If we do ‘overshoot’, bad things will happen and might be irreversible
12/ Climate change threatens everything and we have very little time to secure a liveable future. To get out of this we need to cooperate, include everybody, and invest massively. What we do in the next few years will determine the future for thousands of years
13/ The more we do now, the less damage there’ll be. The more we delay, the less we’ll be able to do and the more expensive it will be. It won’t be cheap or easy, but governments can make it easier
14/ Everything has to change if we want to survive. We already have many of the solutions but we have to completely transition to them
15/ Many of the things we need to do to reduce mitigate climate change and adapt to its impacts will also help achieve our sustainable development goals
16/ Mitigating and adapting to climate change will be easier if we make it fair and take care of everybody, and the best way to adapt is to help the most vulnerable. Individual behavioural and consumption changes [that's me & you] are important and are also good in other ways
17/ Governments need to get serious and use all their influences – laws, taxes, subsidies, coordination across sectors – to help the rest of society get on with the changes we need. It will be better if diverse people and perspectives are involved in decision-making
18/ We need to be spending much more money on this, and there’s easily enough money around for it, but there are… ‘barriers’
That's it! Forgive me if I missed some nuance or your favourite bit

If any of that makes you want to do something – and if not you, who? – here are some tips

(it's another long thread though, maybe leave it for later)

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More from @CharlieJGardner

May 14
This strange paper argues that scientists shouldn't be activists "because scholars should not have a priori interests in the outcomes of their studies"

But many fields of study are explicitly mission and value driven. They exist to make the world a better place
1/ Image
My field, conservation science, is very clear on its purpose

We do our research not for the sake of knowledge but because we have an a priori interest in the outcomes - we are trying to conserve the diversity of life on Earth
2/
When conservation scientists say "we must reduce deforestation because...", or "this pesticide should be banned because..." those are scientific statements

But they are also inherently political statements. They are acts of political advocacy
3/
Read 7 tweets
Apr 22
Yesterday, over 50, 000 people ran the London Marathon

After months of training and mindboggling commitment, they pushed themselves to the absolute limit and achieved something really amazing

What if that effort had gone towards defending life on Earth?
1/ Image
I have incredible respect for marathon runners, I couldn’t do it

The have achieved something amazing and I salute them - it's a testament to the power of human will

But we’re deep in a planetary emergency and that means society has to reconsider its priorities
2/
Many people say they don’t take part in climate action because they just can’t find the time in their busy lives

Yet many marathon runners are overworked professionals with young families, and they still found time to train because they made it a personal priority
3/
Read 9 tweets
Apr 3
1/ Earth at Risk!

As yet another stark and terrifying scientific warning lands to general indifference, here’s a quick thought experiment for anyone who isn't convinced that we should act on these warnings with the utmost urgency and focus

Imagine a civilisation... Image
2/ It's a wondrous civilisation with lots of of lovely people, rich in history, culture and creativity, and with untold gazillions worth of built infrastructure
3/ First question: in such a civilisation, would it be a good idea for some people to act as 'lookouts', collecting evidence of any possible danger or threat and looking out for warning signs?
Read 7 tweets
Mar 12
We all know that plastic is now everywhere, but the great drifts of it on the world’s beaches barely scratch the surface of the plastic pollution problem

Here’s a thread on just how deep the crisis goes

🧵1/ Image
It's in the earth beneath our feet, buried underground

In places it has already become the earth, forming new kinds of rock known as pyroplastics and plastiglomerates

2/


Image
Image
Image
Image
It covers the oceans in great floating islands, and has reached the deepest trenches

It’s in the bellies of
-albatrosses and penguins🐧
-fish 🦈🐟
- turtles
- and whales🐳

And it is killing them

3/


Image
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Read 9 tweets
Jul 28, 2023
1/ Inspired by the arrival of this beauty, here’s a thread of books that help us understand and overcome the barriers that people put up to save ourselves from having to think about climate change and take action
#ClimatePsychology 🧵 Image
2/ Margaret Klein Salamon @ClimatePsych's 'Facing the Climate Emergency' is the most clear-headed guide to understanding ourselves as we face up to this emergency, and commit to taking action, as you could hope for

I'm excited to read this 2nd Ed Image
3/ George Marshall @climategeorge's (2014) classic ‘Don’t Even Think About It' explores how our brains are evolutionarily hard-wired to ignore the danger Image
Read 7 tweets
Jul 27, 2023
1/ It's not annual emissions that ultimately matter but the concentrations of greenhouses gasses in the atmosphere - and these are already dangerously high

That means net zero is not enough
🧵
2/ Net zero means reaching equilibrium at much higher concentrations than they are now

27 years' (!) worth of emissions higher if we're going for 2050 🤯

And the consequences would be unimaginable
3/ Instead, we must aim for net negative, to bring atmospheric concentrations back down to safe levels

It's not enough to slowly brake towards 2050 (even if we actually were). We must slam on the brakes and engage reverse
Read 5 tweets

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