Share this page!

Trent Telenko Profile picture
Twitter logo
Mar 21 • 17 tweets • 7 min read
A lot of people are looking at the 'bang' and 'bling' in this announcement.

I'm looking at the heavy fuel trucks.

They are the "key logistical enablers" required for a mechanized Ukrainian counter offensive.

AFU offensive🧵
1/
Because when the US Military is talking heavy fuel trucks. It is talking about these.⬇️

It's talking M978 HEMTT fuel trucks with tank rack modules. @battle_order has a nice video explaining moving fuel with them.

2/
There is also the possibility that the palletized loading truck variant of the HEMETT might be used with just tank rack based modular fuel system.

I doubt it, because the older M978 HEMTT fuel trucks with shorter service life are available for shipment to Ukraine.

3/
What is really interesting for me is that possibilities of the M978 fuel truck combined with AMX-10RC. Which has twice the road speed and well over two times the road range of a Leopard 2A4 or a Challenger 2 tank.

See the Task & Purpose YouTube⬇️
4/
If Ukraine can use it's new Western tanks to open a hole in the Russian line to tactical depths.

The presence of AMX-10RC & Strykers means they can push through an operational maneuver group deep into the Russian operational depths in hours.

5/
Now before people make all the usual harrumph's about Ukrainian combined arms tactics and lack of recon.

I'm going to point them to these puppies used by Ukrainian Special Forces for deep recce, partisan support and GMLRS spotting.

6/
Strategy page -dot- com had a really nice May 2022 article titled "Special Operations: Cossack Revival" giving a deep history of ATV use in Western Special forces that Ukrainian 'neo-Cossacks' picked up and ran with.

7/
 strategypage.com/htmw/htsf/arti…
I touched upon these Ukrainian neo-Cossack light mechanized raiding forces in this Oct 3, 2022 tweet thread.

8/
And just as these light motorized recon units will had local partisan "road watchers" as guides to assist with their movements during the Kharkiv offensive in Sept 2022.

Any future Ukrainian offensives will have similar support.

9/
And Kharkiv wasn't the first time the Ukrainians pulled this off.

In the dark days of March 2022, the Ukrainians slipped company-sized BTR-3 & BTR-4 based raiding forces into the Russians’ rear areas to take out the bridges required to supply the Russian set-piece attacks

10/
...being prepared for Kyiv.

It didn't stop the Russians then, but it did force them to garrison bridges and do escorted truck convoys on main supply routes and abandon the occupation of secondary roads for Ukrainian 'road watchers' to provide those raiding companies

11/
...'steers' onto routes that avoided Russian forces.

An AMX-10RC plus Stryker column supported 122mm Grad launchers, M978 fuel trucks, AN/TVK-1/M1097 Avenger and

12/
...maybe a "Crotale NG" is going to be an operationally mobile force versus Russian VKS force interdiction attempts for the first three days of an exploitation.

Given 'neo-Cossack ATV intel', such a force can ravage Russian artillery logistics
13/
...laterally within the GMLRS range foot print of the Ukrainian front lines.

Thus unhinging long sections of Russian front line fortifications due to the extermination of the logistics providing Russian artillery support.

14/
Even more important, such lateral exploitations movement can also exterminate a large area of Russian S-300/Buk SAM coverage behind Russian lines via those 122mm Grad rockets I mentioned this column would be motoring along with them.

15/
The ability of a AMX-10RC to exploit a breakthrough with a thermal site equipped 105mm gun far exceeds something like a armored Humvee with a pintle .50 caliber HMG and a few AT-4 rockets like was seen during Ukraine's Kharkiv offensive.

16/
And with M978 HEMTT fuel trucks providing support, AMX-10RC based mechanized exploitation columns can go a lot farther with that firepower.

This is why you always pay attention to "key logistical enablers."

17/17/ End

• • •

Missing some Tweet in this thread? You can try to force a refresh
　

Keep Current with Trent Telenko

Trent Telenko Profile picture

Stay in touch and get notified when new unrolls are available from this author!

Read all threads

This Thread may be Removed Anytime!

PDF

Twitter may remove this content at anytime! Save it as PDF for later use!

Try unrolling a thread yourself!

how to unroll video
  1. Follow @ThreadReaderApp to mention us!

  2. From a Twitter thread mention us with a keyword "unroll"
@threadreaderapp unroll

Practice here first or read more on our help page!

More from @TrentTelenko

Trent Telenko Profile picture
Mar 23
This is a useful comment on the logistics of the de-mothballed T-55's being added to Russia's Army in Ukraine.

There is a historical analog for the problems Russia will have with its T-55's:

The US Army Tank force in the first six months of the Korean War.

1/9
George F Hofmann did an article in the US Army Sep/Oct 2000 issue of it's ARMOR branch publication titled:

"Tanks and the Korean War: A case study of unpreparedness"

See this link:

2/9
 koreanwaronline.com/arms/Documenta…
To quote the article:

" However, the first three M26s that were rushed to Korea from the Tokyo Ordnance Depot had chronic problems, especially overheating engines and defective fan belts."

The following link gives a specific for what happened.

3/9
Read 10 tweets
Trent Telenko Profile picture
Mar 22
This @ChrisO_wiki thread is very useful in explaining the Russian volunteer experience in Ukraine.

Read the whole thing.

I'm going to highlight a portion of it for the long term medical/cultural implications for Russia.
1/
Specifically I'm going to underline the issue of traumatic brain injury.

It is a ubiquitous & almost universal wound infantry suffer in an artillery heavy war.

And because it is internal, it is the most misdiagnosed.

2/
I've gone into what TBI is previously on the Twitter platform.

See:

3/
Read 14 tweets
Trent Telenko Profile picture
Mar 17
Senior Lieutenant Andriy Rudykof the Center for the Research of Trophy and Prospective Weapons and Military Equipment of the General Staff of the Armed Forces of Ukraine
Presented this briefing:

"TANK T-90M - FAILURE INSTEAD OF A BREAKTHROUGH"

1/
The people over at 4Chan provided a summary translation, which I will drop over the next several tweets

1. Big focus on propaganda – especially “high-tech” factor
2. Even official specifications for the tank (3:40) bring the Russian claims in questions
2/
 boards.4channel.org/k/thread/57514…
3. T-90M is de facto an extensive modernization of T-72B obr. 1989 with some design solutions borrowed from NATO tanks (including “Nakidka”)

4. AFU got a chance to analyze a T-90M captured in September 2022
3/
Read 22 tweets
Trent Telenko Profile picture
Mar 15
This is for all the Twitter accounts saying Ukraine isn't getting kill ratios as good as it claims, thus Ukraine should rabbit from Bakhmut ASAP.

See this AFU military performance 🧵
1/
The Ukrainian Defence Ministry has been so kind as to provide an English translation for non-Russian readers.

2/
I've been hearing from various people of this Russian officer operational pattern of taking a a hundred or so Mobiks to the front line and abandoning them (Mobik description - "F--king off") as they attack Ukrainian positions since November 2022.

3/
Read 15 tweets
Trent Telenko Profile picture
Mar 14
This is a customer review of the cataract surgical practice that I was supposed to get my left eye cataract removed by today.

=======

DO NOT GO HERE. Masks are a contentious issue, but a business should be upfront about their policies.

I made VERY clear, every time...
1/5
I came here (3 appointments) that I would need to wear an n95 mask during my cataract surgery. The anesthesiologist said this would be fine, and even offered to mask themselves, but didn't know if they still had enough n95's. I offered to supply them, and they said ok.

2/5
When I got to the surgical center, they said I would only be allowed to wear a surgical mask.

They refused the masks we brought (sealed, individually packaged n95's).

Then they cancelled the procedure.

3/5
Read 5 tweets
Trent Telenko Profile picture
Mar 14
@maphumanintent Regards this @maphumanintent:

>>we'll call it a win by throwing copium and cyber lightning bolts at the problem while hand-waving away all the thorny details."

I disagree.

There are a lot of new Ukrainian weapon, logistical & Russian vehicle & force design reasons to

1/
@maphumanintent ...think the Russian Army currently lacks the communications and mobility to stop a Ukrainian breakthrough attack.

Looking at the vehicle/force design reasons, the statement:

"The firepower of the Russian Army is in it's vehicles," pretty much covers it.

2/
@maphumanintent All the best Russian digital spread-spectrum & frequency hopping radios were in its newest vehicles. Most of whom have been destroyed in the last year of fighting.

This leaves Russian artillery with older Cold War generation radios, 3G cell phones or Chinese commercial...

3/
Read 19 tweets

Did Thread Reader help you today?

Support us! We are indie developers!

This site is made by just two indie developers on a laptop doing marketing, support and development! Read more about the story.

Become a Premium Member ($3/month or $30/year) and get exclusive features!

Become Premium

Don't want to be a Premium member but still want to support us?

Make a small donation by buying us coffee ($5) or help with server cost ($10)

Donate via Paypal

Or Donate anonymously using crypto!

Ethereum

0xfe58350B80634f60Fa6Dc149a72b4DFbc17D341E copy

Bitcoin

3ATGMxNzCUFzxpMCHL5sWSt4DVtS8UqXpi copy

Thank you for your support!

Follow Us on Twitter!

Send Email!

:(