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Garry Kasparov Profile picture
@Kasparov63
Mar 22, 2023 • 7 tweets • 2 min read • Read on X
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Emperor Xi Jinping paid a royal visit to Pu Tin, regional governor of the northern Chinese province of Ruxia.
That's what it looked like, because that is what is happening. Xi was beaming and Putin looked the servant that he is. This was the greatest humiliation Russia has ever seen.
This isn't an alliance, it's boss and lackey. Xi isn't talking about fighting NATO or the US. He'll take Russia first. Putin is trying to buy extra hours in power by selling Russia to China.
Putin's insane war on Ukraine is worsening the Russian demographic crisis, depopulating the country. China isn't doing well and needs space, resources, and victories. Putin's nationalist supporters see what's happening.
China has issued maps that list swaths of Russian border territory with Chinese names and configurations. Putin would give that up to do what, take Bakhmut temporarily? Why not? He doesn't care about Russia or Russians at all. Image
This will be the choice Russia faces when defeated and ejected from Ukraine. To crawl back to Europe with concessions, accountability, and reparations or to become a gas station province of the Chinese dictatorship.
The US should not make the same mistakes with Xi that it made with Putin. Xi and his gang are self-interested and couldn't care less about Putin or this supposed friendship. They respect strength and will advance if faced by weakness in Ukraine and elsewhere.

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More from @Kasparov63

Garry Kasparov Profile picture
Jan 24
Yes, as I wrote in my "Putinization of America" articles in the Atlantic. ICE is Trump's Rosgvardia, given impunity (or "total immunity" in Vance's words) for loyalty to Trump personally. Encouraged to violate the law, then told they'll be punished only if MAGA loses power, etc.
"This is why the resistance must center the principles at stake. Does America have rule of law or not? The first line in defense of an incipient police state is: “You don’t have anything to fear if you’ve done nothing wrong.” This fallacy is soon replaced by: “It could happen to anybody,” as the regime sees the value of using arbitrary persecution to spread fear. Again, fear is the autocrat’s goal, as is simply doing many things every day. Even if you don’t like him or his policies, the longer he is there, doing things, the more the autocrat starts to feel inevitable, like the sun rising each morning.

In politics, as in physics, force is mass times acceleration. The administration is mounting a barrage of attacks, with great urgency, to break through the resistance of American legal structures, sometimes by using legal and relatively popular policies (deporting convicted criminals, for example) as cover for likely illegal and relatively unpopular policies (deporting immigrants without due process). The fabricated urgency is a tell: No war, no terrible crisis, compels the president to violate the Constitution. But the administration is breaking down norms and setting precedents faster than judges can stop it. Of course, ignoring judges is also part of the plan."

theatlantic.com/international/…
Also, in my Next Move substack in July, more specifically: "In 2016, Vladimir Putin created Rosgvardiya—a new, militarized domestic law enforcement apparatus. Russia had no shortage of police agencies; it inherited several from the Soviet Union, including the Ministry of Internal Affairs (MVD). So what made Rosgvardiya different? It operated directly under Putin’s authority.

Unlike Putin and Rosgvardiya, Trump did not create ICE. However, the 50% boost in ICE’s ranks that Trump is pursuing under OBBBA would change the face of any agency. Now that Gavin Newsom has taken Trump to court over the latter’s deployment of the California National Guard, the president is likely looking for more hassle-free and pliant institutions to do his bidding, and ICE could be the perfect outlet for those ambitions. If nothing else, ICE’s behavior in the past half year ought to make a dramatic expansion of the agency the object of intense public scrutiny."
thenextmove.org/p/dont-miss-th…
Read 4 tweets
Garry Kasparov Profile picture
Jan 24
Trying to predict the outrages of autocrats is hopeless because their superpower is to generate constant shocks to dominate the environment. But what’s happening in Minnesota is method, not madness. Trump wants violence, to radicalize & divide, to create pretext for crackdowns.
First, to claim only he can solve the crisis (that he is creating), a typical formula. Chaos & violence push people toward a "law and order" strongman. Also, as the midterms approach, the grounds must be prepared for interfering with the democratic process for "security" reasons.
Having lived through a similar, nationwide version of this in Trump's model, Putin's Russia, it’s not easy to fight against. And Trump and many of his gang have passed the point at which they feel they can afford to lose power, even in Congress. It’s a perilous moment.
Read 6 tweets
Garry Kasparov Profile picture
Jan 15
When you think of despots and media, it's often of Big Brother on every screen or Pravda publishing the party line. That may be how it ends, but that's not how it starts. Chilling effects, appeasement, producers and publishers toeing the line unquestioningly. My latest:
It's natural to question the source when something is published by an outlet known to be in the tank, or in the pocket, of a partisan owner. But when a previously respected outlet like CBS suddenly starts acting like a White House press shop, few are prepared.
As documented about the fall of Russia's free press, it doesn't all become Pravda overnight. Having nominally critical outlets support the regime in one specific way, or via a few specific people or shows, is more effective early on than blanket censorship or control.
Read 4 tweets
Garry Kasparov Profile picture
Jan 3
Maduro is a dictator who stayed in power by force after losing an election. No one who believes in democracy should mourn his fall. Trump's pretexts and potential geopolitical deals especially w Russia deserve scrutiny, but the Venezuelan people deserve a chance at freedom.
As with everything Trump does, his motivations will be about personal power and enrichment. This does not contradict that Maduro was an illegitimate thug allied with others like him. However his removal was arranged (deal?) it shakes the global forces of dictatorship.
Condemning a nation's people to authoritarianism and repression because of potential bad outcomes after the fall of their dictator is a free world observer's luxury. Democracy and prosperity can never be guaranteed, but the opportunities for them should be promoted.
Read 4 tweets
Garry Kasparov Profile picture
Jan 2
🎯 Mamdani's "warmth of collectivism" line, naive or ominous or both, is becoming a teachable moment. It would be nice if people would learn about the bitter realities of socialism this way instead of the hard way of living through it.
As I explained back when it was Bernie Sanders saying similar things & was defended in similar ways, it's not a matter of rhetoric or intentions. Obv they aren't Mao, it's not the USSR, etc. It's what people in power with a collectivist mindset do when things don't go well.
If the economy does poorly, do they admit error and ease off, try other methods, etc? Or do they invent scapegoats and insist that the system will work if they have more (and more) authority to enforce compliance? We know the answer from history.
Read 5 tweets
Garry Kasparov Profile picture
Dec 17, 2025
Putin has made this clear dozens of times. He wants Ukraine and cannot afford to stop war. Now the usual cycle of Trump officials and Putin‘s European sycophants downplaying or simply ignoring it and saying Russia wants peace in order to delay European action.
Trump has made his alliance clear. He wants Russian money and a peace prize and believes Putin can get both for him. And that Zelensky and Ukraine refusing to surrender to occupation, murder, kidnapping, torture, and national destruction are roadblocks in his way.
The US side is collaborating with Russia against Ukraine and Europe. They are propagating sham negotiations to help prevent Europe from taking the decisive action required to end the war the only way it will ever truly end, with Russia leaving Ukraine.
Read 6 tweets

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