Trent Telenko Profile picture
Mar 22 14 tweets 4 min read
This @ChrisO_wiki thread is very useful in explaining the Russian volunteer experience in Ukraine.

Read the whole thing.

I'm going to highlight a portion of it for the long term medical/cultural implications for Russia.
1/
Specifically I'm going to underline the issue of traumatic brain injury.

It is a ubiquitous & almost universal wound infantry suffer in an artillery heavy war.

And because it is internal, it is the most misdiagnosed.

2/
I've gone into what TBI is previously on the Twitter platform.

See:

3/
And I made the point that we didn't have a clue as to how either Ukraine or Russia would treat it's TBI wounded.

4/
Well, @ChrisO_wiki 🧵 just applied the "clue-by-four." Russia not only isn't treating TBI's as wounds.

It is treating TBI as 'malingering' or cowardice & trying to throw it's TBI wounded back into the meat grinder.

5/
A TBI wound caused by blast over pressure will of course get much worse if the man involved is put back in that same artillery heavy environment.

6/
Short form:

These actions by the Russian Federation @ChrisO_wiki translated in his thread are a military policy death sentence for Russia's TBI wounded put back on the front lines.

7/
And this refusal of the Russian Federation to recognize TBI as a wound has horrid implications for the long term medical care of its surviving veterans, likely to be the last waves of Mobiks before the war's armistice is signed.

8/
The violent/mentally ill/homeless Vietnam paradigm of the 1970's and 1980's came from misdiagnosis of TBI.

Too be fair, this was before the advent of medical MRI scanning technology revealed the organic trauma injuries to the brain.

You can't know what you don't know.🤷‍♂️

9/
This isn't true for Russia's TBI wounded.

We know very well where this is going for them.

The Russian state will not properly treat their war wounds. So their veterans will self-medicate with alcohol and other harder drugs.

10/
Russia's coming 'war on drugs' will in fact be a war on it's TBI wounded. Just like the Soviet state did to its Afghan veterans.

Except, the cultural dysfunction caused by this repression of the TBI wounded will be orders of magnitude larger.

11/
Simply because there will be an orders of magnitude larger TBI wounded veteran population to deal with.

At a guess, the social costs of this will knock at least 1% of possible GDP growth a year, for the next 25 years, from the Russian economy.

12/
The longer the Russo-Ukrainian War goes on.

The bigger this TBI based long term social costs will be on the Russian people & state.

And if Russian birth rates are bad now, consider what a longer war with a million plus battle casualties will mean for Russia.

13/
I think the future story of Russia's fall from the ranks of "great powers" has been written.

14/14 End

• • •

Missing some Tweet in this thread? You can try to force a refresh
 

Keep Current with Trent Telenko

Trent Telenko Profile picture

Stay in touch and get notified when new unrolls are available from this author!

Read all threads

This Thread may be Removed Anytime!

PDF

Twitter may remove this content at anytime! Save it as PDF for later use!

Try unrolling a thread yourself!

how to unroll video
  1. Follow @ThreadReaderApp to mention us!

  2. From a Twitter thread mention us with a keyword "unroll"
@threadreaderapp unroll

Practice here first or read more on our help page!

More from @TrentTelenko

Mar 23
This is a useful comment on the logistics of the de-mothballed T-55's being added to Russia's Army in Ukraine.

There is a historical analog for the problems Russia will have with its T-55's:

The US Army Tank force in the first six months of the Korean War.

1/9
George F Hofmann did an article in the US Army Sep/Oct 2000 issue of it's ARMOR branch publication titled:

"Tanks and the Korean War: A case study of unpreparedness"

See this link:

2/9
koreanwaronline.com/arms/Documenta…
To quote the article:

" However, the first three M26s that were rushed to Korea from the Tokyo Ordnance Depot had chronic problems, especially overheating engines and defective fan belts."

The following link gives a specific for what happened.

3/9
Read 10 tweets
Mar 21
A lot of people are looking at the 'bang' and 'bling' in this announcement.

I'm looking at the heavy fuel trucks.

They are the "key logistical enablers" required for a mechanized Ukrainian counter offensive.

AFU offensive🧵
1/
Because when the US Military is talking heavy fuel trucks. It is talking about these.⬇️

It's talking M978 HEMTT fuel trucks with tank rack modules. @battle_order has a nice video explaining moving fuel with them.

2/
There is also the possibility that the palletized loading truck variant of the HEMETT might be used with just tank rack based modular fuel system.

I doubt it, because the older M978 HEMTT fuel trucks with shorter service life are available for shipment to Ukraine.

3/
Read 17 tweets
Mar 17
Senior Lieutenant Andriy Rudykof the Center for the Research of Trophy and Prospective Weapons and Military Equipment of the General Staff of the Armed Forces of Ukraine
Presented this briefing:

"TANK T-90M - FAILURE INSTEAD OF A BREAKTHROUGH"

1/
The people over at 4Chan provided a summary translation, which I will drop over the next several tweets

1. Big focus on propaganda – especially “high-tech” factor
2. Even official specifications for the tank (3:40) bring the Russian claims in questions
2/
boards.4channel.org/k/thread/57514…
3. T-90M is de facto an extensive modernization of T-72B obr. 1989 with some design solutions borrowed from NATO tanks (including “Nakidka”)

4. AFU got a chance to analyze a T-90M captured in September 2022
3/
Read 22 tweets
Mar 15
This is for all the Twitter accounts saying Ukraine isn't getting kill ratios as good as it claims, thus Ukraine should rabbit from Bakhmut ASAP.

See this AFU military performance 🧵
1/
The Ukrainian Defence Ministry has been so kind as to provide an English translation for non-Russian readers.

2/
I've been hearing from various people of this Russian officer operational pattern of taking a a hundred or so Mobiks to the front line and abandoning them (Mobik description - "F--king off") as they attack Ukrainian positions since November 2022.

3/
Read 15 tweets
Mar 14
This is a customer review of the cataract surgical practice that I was supposed to get my left eye cataract removed by today.

=======

DO NOT GO HERE. Masks are a contentious issue, but a business should be upfront about their policies.

I made VERY clear, every time...
1/5
I came here (3 appointments) that I would need to wear an n95 mask during my cataract surgery. The anesthesiologist said this would be fine, and even offered to mask themselves, but didn't know if they still had enough n95's. I offered to supply them, and they said ok.

2/5
When I got to the surgical center, they said I would only be allowed to wear a surgical mask.

They refused the masks we brought (sealed, individually packaged n95's).

Then they cancelled the procedure.

3/5
Read 5 tweets
Mar 14
@maphumanintent Regards this @maphumanintent:

>>we'll call it a win by throwing copium and cyber lightning bolts at the problem while hand-waving away all the thorny details."

I disagree.

There are a lot of new Ukrainian weapon, logistical & Russian vehicle & force design reasons to

1/
@maphumanintent ...think the Russian Army currently lacks the communications and mobility to stop a Ukrainian breakthrough attack.

Looking at the vehicle/force design reasons, the statement:

"The firepower of the Russian Army is in it's vehicles," pretty much covers it.

2/
@maphumanintent All the best Russian digital spread-spectrum & frequency hopping radios were in its newest vehicles. Most of whom have been destroyed in the last year of fighting.

This leaves Russian artillery with older Cold War generation radios, 3G cell phones or Chinese commercial...

3/
Read 19 tweets

Did Thread Reader help you today?

Support us! We are indie developers!


This site is made by just two indie developers on a laptop doing marketing, support and development! Read more about the story.

Become a Premium Member ($3/month or $30/year) and get exclusive features!

Become Premium

Don't want to be a Premium member but still want to support us?

Make a small donation by buying us coffee ($5) or help with server cost ($10)

Donate via Paypal

Or Donate anonymously using crypto!

Ethereum

0xfe58350B80634f60Fa6Dc149a72b4DFbc17D341E copy

Bitcoin

3ATGMxNzCUFzxpMCHL5sWSt4DVtS8UqXpi copy

Thank you for your support!

Follow Us on Twitter!

:(