Trent Telenko Profile picture
Mar 23, 2023 10 tweets 3 min read Read on X
This is a useful comment on the logistics of the de-mothballed T-55's being added to Russia's Army in Ukraine.

There is a historical analog for the problems Russia will have with its T-55's:

The US Army Tank force in the first six months of the Korean War.

1/9
George F Hofmann did an article in the US Army Sep/Oct 2000 issue of it's ARMOR branch publication titled:

"Tanks and the Korean War: A case study of unpreparedness"

See this link:

2/9
koreanwaronline.com/arms/Documenta…
To quote the article:

" However, the first three M26s that were rushed to Korea from the Tokyo Ordnance Depot had chronic problems, especially overheating engines and defective fan belts."

The following link gives a specific for what happened.

3/9
"Three M26 Pershing tanks founded in an ordnance depot in Japan were hurriedly rebuilt & sent to Korea. In their first engagement around Chinji on July 28, all three of the Pershing tanks were abandoned after overheating due to incorrect fan belts"
4/9
mikesresearch.com/2019/11/30/us-…
The Ford engine on the M26 Pershing was the same as the Sherman for a tank weighing 10 tons more.

A new M26 ran very hot and ate new fan belts at a far higher rate than the Sherman as a result of dealing with the extra heat of a redlined 500hp engine.

4/9 Image
The engines on these 1950 M26's were not new and their rubber fan belts had dry rotted in the 5-years since WW2.

The Tokyo Ordinance Depot did its best to kludge fan belts for these tanks.

The problem is kludges are not as good as new fan belts and there were no spares.

5/9
So three M26 tanks were lost not only for the lack of fan belts.

But also for the lack of trained drivers who knew enough to nurse these tanks to preserved the life of the fan belts they did have.

6/9
There is no way that the Russian T-55's heading for Ukraine in 2023 are going to be in any better shape in terms of consumable rubber seals & fan belt spares or trained crew skills than those M26 Perishing's were in 1950.

7/9
If the American M3 Grant tank was the "Coffin for seven brothers."

The Russian T-55 being sent to Ukraine will be the "Immobile coffin for four Mobiks."

8/9 Image
If only because T-55's are facing a completely different threat environment that needs daily relocating & thermal camouflage nets without the spares to move, the camouflage to use & Mobik crews who lack the skills to use them even if they had them



9/9

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More from @TrentTelenko

Jul 31
"Russian exceptionalism"⬇️

The Russians see themselves as immune to the consequences of their own actions.

The previous case studies in this were the Nazis and Imperial Japanese in WW2.

1/
Both polities had monumental hubris, the conviction that all was permitted, and that they were invincible.

The committed Nazis still believed they were winning in March-April 1945.

Japanese 'Yamato-damashii' beliefs took nukes to break.

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Image
This Russian exceptionalist belief in the immunity to the consequences of their own actions is also why the Russians continue their insane suicidal assaults.

3/3 Image
Read 4 tweets
Jul 29
What is interesting for me is that the pre-2022 Western intelligence assessments of the Russian Army credited it with lots of tactical pipelines to move fuel.

Those would be far more useful in moving water than trucks...yet...where are they?

1/
These pipelines seem to have fallen into that same logistical 'assume they exist but don't' black hole as Russian truck D-rings & pallets, tactical truck trailers, and Russia's "superior" tooth to tail ratio that acts more like 1863 Union Army where...

2/
..."every soldier is a logistical manual laborer when not in combat".

Water is heavy. Pipelines are more efficient that trucks. Yet all we are seeing is Russian water trucks?

Who stole the Russian Army tactical pipelines? Or were they nothing but disinformation?

3/3
Read 4 tweets
Jul 29
Russia is showing signs of being at "end run production."

It has run out of serious motor transport & even the smallest scale we are seeing kludged together trailers to make ends meet.

Note also: Water bottles & potatoes are the high priority transport items⬇️

End run🧵
1/
While we are getting Western intelligence assessments that continue to point out Russia's vast increases in production of military materiel, especially tanks, IFVs and APCs (from the same people who claimed Russia would over run Ukraine in 3-to-5 days)

2/
...claiming Russia is "obviously winning."

We are at the same time seeing economic signs of Russian "End Run Production."

The Russian wartime economy is functioning hand to mouth with oil sales revenues because all of the foreign exchange reserves are spent or frozen.

3/
Read 11 tweets
Jul 27
Given what happened to DoD procurement after the 2nd Clinton Adm. annihilation of military specifications, which killed the configuration mgt, systems engineering & production engineering disciplines in defense contractors.

I shudder to see what DOGE's AI will do.

Mil-spec🧵
1/
I've written about this issue for seven years starting on the Chicagoboyz weblog with a post titled:

"The 737 MAX and the Death of MIL-STD-499A SYSTEM ENGINEERING MANAGEMENT
March 24th, 2019"

2/
In 2020 I was talking how the decay of systems engineering skills are affecting US Navy nuclear sub safe programs due to the lack of good systems engineering talent in Defense contractors.

3/
Read 14 tweets
Jul 24
So, the Thai Army is now ahead of the US Army in using heavy multi-copter drones?

This underscores the vulnerability of the West to drones due to its bureaucratically bloated and infinitely slow military procurement systems.

1/
The snail like pace of Western military procurement versus the Ukrainian fielding of an all-aspect stealth shaped OWA drone in less than a couple of years is very noticeable.

2/
Read 4 tweets
Jul 22
On the morning of 20 July 2025, a AFGSC airman at Minot AFB took his M18, still inside it's issued holster; and placed it on a desk.

It then went off, struck him in chest, and killed him

AFGSC issued a halt order on 21 July 2025 for use of M17/18 Modular Handgun System.

1/ Image
As an ex-DoD procurement official, that letter is a procurement killing hammer.

This is going to hit SIG Sauer like a moderate sized asteroid in terms of DCMA corrective actions requests or "CAR."

2/ Image
This AFGSC halt use order letter will be grounds for a level three corrective action request (CAR).

A DCMA level III CAR is defined as follows:

"A Level III Corrective Action Request (CAR) issued by the Defense Contract Management Agency (DCMA) is a serious action taken when there are significant contractual nonconformities.

It is directed to the supplier's top management and is just one step below the possibility of contract suspension or termination.

This type of CAR serves as a management tool to address critical issues that need immediate attention."

3/Image
Read 11 tweets

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