Swann Marcus Profile picture
Mar 24, 2023 9 tweets 2 min read Read on X
My CHAZ research is incredibly surreal. Here are crimes that CHAZ medics or security have been either accused or convicted of: rape, sex trafficking, forced starvation, kidnapping, false imprisonment, grand theft auto, robbery in the second degree
second degree assault with “substantial bodily harm,” fourth degree assault on an intimate partner, second degree assault by strangulation, attempting to elude the police, trafficking in counterfeit drugs, endangerment while attempting to elude the police
possession with intent to distribute, criminal trespass, assaulting a law enforcement officer, assault of a household member, criminal harassment, statutory rape, distribution of drugs on school property, terroristic threats, and cocaine distribution
These are only people I've been able to identify and only crimes I've been able to confirm they were accused or convicted of in court (both civil and criminal). It doesn't include the vast majority I haven't identified or crimes committed in unknown jurisdictions
A decent number of these are just Raz or Zay Huncho, but you've also got all the crimes committed by Dan Baker, DeJaun Young, and Jaymie Jameson and a few minor convictions of other people for drug stuff.
DeJuan Young claimed that he was shot outside CHAZ by white supremacists, but the guy had a gofundme after getting shot in a totally different incident two years earlier and he's got a bunch of drug charges from New Jersey.

He clearly got shot because he's a fucking drug dealer
The reason this is important is because prior to the June 20th shootings (after which media outlets basically stopped talking about CHAZ) the media was claiming it was safe, like a street festival.

It was being patrolled by armed felons, wannabe terrorists, and drug dealers.
Dan Baker was in CHAZ with a gun. He was claiming to be a "medic" but he was also there for security stuff. While he was there, he told Gavin John (one of the only people to do serious journalism in CHAZ) that he was mad other CHAZians wouldn't help him build explosives
He openly told someone who was in CHAZ to do journalism that he was armed, that he'd fought with foreign militias, and that he wanted to build bombs. If journalists had done any research into who these people are, they would have known it would inevitably end in murder.

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More from @SwannMarcus89

Oct 28, 2024
The funniest thing would be if there's a polling miss where Kamala overperforms because pollsters don't know how to poll low propensity voters during presidential cycles due to automatic/same day registration and overcorrected after missing pro-Trump low-propensities in '16/'20
This would explain literally every weird thing about polls since 2016. Why did they miss 2016/2020 presidential cycles by so much but excel in the 2018/2022 midterms? Low propensities don't vote in midterms
Why are polls finding weird age and race crosstabs that don't show up in direct polling of those populations? They overcorrected to try and capture pro-Trump low propensities and currently have a polling error concentrated among low-propensity Democratic constituencies
Read 4 tweets
Oct 27, 2024
Uhhhhh how is the GOP supposed to win Georgia lol

It's got insane racial polarization, 26% of voters are currently black (only 3% below their 2020 percentage), the median black Georgian is 33, and under-40 voters are half their 2020 turnout but surging rapidly with 10 days to go
"But what if young people don't vote!"

The under 40 share of the vote in Georgia went from 17.5% of the vote two days ago to 20.7% of the vote today despite low weekend turnout and their vote share was 31.6% in 2020

I think they'll exceed that and the electorate will be blacker
I don't see how the Democrats don't hit 30% vote share for African-Americans which is above 2020. Black people are simply too high a share of the under 40 electorate and the under-40 vote share is spiking. Georgia has the same number of votes cast today as the same date in 2020
Read 4 tweets
Oct 25, 2024
It's incredibly easy to prove that I am correct about Nevada's early vote being much bluer than ppl think

Here's party reg of new 18-29 yr old voters in NV by election cycle. Notice how the unaffiliated % went from 38 to 60 in 2022? Automatic registration took effect in 2021Image
There are tens of thousands of 18-29 year olds alone in NV who are Democrats but are misidentified as independents because they didn't bother to fill out an extra form when they were automatically registered at the DMV. The Dems will win the independent vote by record numbers
Let's keep going. Here's the partisanship of newly registered black voters in Nevada. The GOP percent stayed basically the same but the Democratic percent was cut in half between 2020 and 2022 by automatic registration. Only the strongest partisans bother registering with a party Image
Read 4 tweets
Oct 16, 2024
So 58% of newly registered PA voters this year are 18-29 years old compared to 48% in 2020 and they're 3.5 points less male (only 45.9% male this year)

Can someone please explain to me where the fuck those low propensity MAGA voters Presler was supposed to be registering are?
The expected partisanship of newly registered voters in Georgia on TargetSmart is D+14 vs. D +0.5 in 2020 because 18-29 is up 4 points, the % who are white fell from 55-49%, and it went from 51-49 female vs. male to 52.5-47.

Younger, more female, and substantially less white
I was dooming hard before Biden dropped out and thought he needed to go for the Dems to win, so I'm not someone who just assumes what I want to happen will happen

That said, newly registered voter stats in swing states are astronomically worse for the GOP than 4 years ago
Read 8 tweets
Sep 15, 2024
Trump's alleged shooter appears to have been a pro-Ukraine covid conspiracy theorist who thought China released the coronavirus on purpose as a bioweapon and supported a Nikki Haley/Vivek Ramaswamy presidential ticket Image
UPDATE: Ryan Routh is a firm supporter of Ukraine and Taiwan but also North Korea for some reason Image
My entire point was that he has beliefs from across the political spectrum and is just generally incoherent so of course right-wingers are mad I’m not helping them lie about Routh being some kind of straight-ticket Democrat
Read 4 tweets
Sep 8, 2024
So rightoids claimed Haitian immigrants are eating pets in Springfield, Ohio and their evidence of this is a video of a woman who wasn't Haitian who allegedly ate a cat in Canton, Ohio

Other than the location and who committed the crime we were correct - checkmate, libtards!
Image
Canton is 200 miles from Springfield and this woman had the extremely Haitian name of Allexis Farrell

In the full body cam footage she also talks to officers and is clearly a native-born American
A cursory glance at Latin America would tell you it's by far the most violent place on Earth, but Hispanics in the US have a homicide rate comparable to the American average

Immigrants self-select and are not the average person from a country

Read 4 tweets

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